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MSFT market intelligence

Chart context, AI evidence, sentiment, related news, and verified outcome history are grouped into one asset dossier.

Current $386.74

Trend Down

Sentiment Bearish

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Detailed Market Analysis

Key Levels

Support

$367.40

Resistance

$406.08

Volume & Momentum

Volume

Weak

0.8x avg

Momentum

-1%

Weak

Technical Context

Current price

$386.74

RSI context

50

Market Sentiment

44

Bearish

Stock Metrics

Daily Vol

1%

VIX Est

20

Weekly

-1%

Asset Intelligence Dossier

Over the last 30 days, AI sentiment for MSFT skewed bullish (24 of 51 scored calls). The most accurate provider on this asset is groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant at 40.0% across 5 verified calls.

Provider track record

groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant

2/5 verified calls

40.0%

rule-based-analysis

8/31 verified calls

25.8%

Confidence trend

34%

▼ 16.5 pts vs previous week

Avg confidence across 129 calls in the last 7 days

What sources say

Bullish 24 articles

Wall Street closes higher as Broadcom rallies

S&P 500, Nasdaq End Higher On Support From Strong Tech Gains Led By Nvidia, Dow Hits Record Highs — MSFT, NVDA, LMT, AVGO, SPCX In Focus

Macron and Modi turn on personal charm offensives as France and India race to secure AI investment

Bearish 14 articles

Why This Bank of America Strategist Sees S&P 500 Risks Ahead

Mark Zuckerberg tells staff that AI agents haven’t progressed as quickly as he’d hoped

Oracle Extends Seven-Day Slide

Neutral 13 articles

Microsoft Is Cutting 4,800 Jobs to Feed the AI Machine. Should You Still Own It?

Reddit is using LLMs to solve a problem LLMs largely created

Vanguard Growth ETF vs Small-Cap Growth: Is a Large Cap or Small Cap ETF the Better Choice?

Insider Trading

Insider	Role	Date	Type	Value
Numoto Takeshi	EVP, Chief …	Jun 10 '26	Sale	1812780.0
Numoto Takeshi	EVP, Chief …	Jun 08 '26	Sale	1031125.0
Numoto Takeshi	Officer	Jun 05 '26	Proposed Sale	2988100.0
Althoff Judson	CEO Microsoft …	Jun 01 '26	Sale	7145314.0
Althoff Judson	Officer	Jun 01 '26	Proposed Sale	7145316.0
Coleman Amy	EVP, Chief …	May 14 '26	Sale	519242.0
Coleman Amy	Officer	May 14 '26	Proposed Sale	519242.0
Hogan Kathleen T	EVP, Strategy	Mar 06 '26	Sale	5045643.0
Hogan Kathleen T	Officer	Mar 06 '26	Proposed Sale	5045643.0
STANTON JOHN W	Director	Feb 18 '26	Buy	1986750.0

Source: FinViz — Data may be delayed

Technical Observations

Refreshing technical observations from FinViz...

MSFT News Intelligence (199 articles)

AI-curated news influencing MSFT price, sentiment, and trend

Explore All MSFT News with AI Analysis

Global Markets & Finance

3 months ago

The professional negotiators who do deals with cyber criminals

With ransomware attacks on the rise, businesses are calling on a new class of security expert to help with high-stakes …

Impact on MSFT: The growing demand for professional negotiators in ransomware attacks may positively impact …

The rise of ransomware attacks has led to the emergence of professional negotiators who specialize … Medium (50%)

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Financial Times 50% confidence

Stocks

3 months ago

Microsoft executive touts Copilot sales traction as AI anxiety weighs on stock

Analysts have said adoption of the $30-per-month Microsoft 365 Copilot is in the early stage.

Impact on MSFT: The early sales traction of Microsoft 365 Copilot may positively impact Microsoft's …

Microsoft's Copilot sales show early traction, but AI anxiety affects the stock. The $30-per-month Microsoft … High (70%)

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CNBC 70% confidence

Technology

3 months ago

NASA astronauts prove that sending an email really is rocket science

NASA Artemis II commander Reid Wiseman faced the most earthly possible conflict while in outer space: his Outlook wasn't working.

Impact on MSFT: There is no significant market impact from this news, as it does …

A NASA astronaut experienced an email issue with Outlook while in space, but this event … Low (10%)

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TechCrunch 10% confidence

Cryptocurrency

3 months ago

OpenAI raises a record $122 billion as revenue crosses $2 billion per month

The funding round, anchored by Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank, is the largest private funding in history.

Impact on MSFT: The funding round is likely to positively impact the stock prices of …

OpenAI's record $122 billion funding round, backed by tech giants Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank, marks … High (80%)

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CoinDesk 80% confidence

Stocks

3 months ago

OpenAI closes record-breaking $122 billion funding round as anticipation builds for IPO

The round totaled $122 billion of committed capital, up from the $110 billion figure that was previously announced.

Impact on MSFT: The funding round is likely to have a positive impact on the …

OpenAI has secured a record-breaking $122 billion funding round, surpassing the previously announced $110 billion, … High (80%)

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CNBC 80% confidence

Economy

3 months, 1 week ago

Cathie Wood sells $36 million of megacap tech stock

Cathie Wood, head of Ark Investment Management, usually buys the dip during market selloffs. But last week, she shifted course, …

Impact on MSFT: The sale of $36 million in megacap tech stock by Cathie Wood …

Cathie Wood's Ark Investment Management sold $36 million of megacap tech stock last week, deviating … High (70%)

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Yahoo Finance 70% confidence