MSFT · AI Prediction Accuracy
27.8%

10 correct of 36 verified predictions

Verified outcomes Tracked across all timeframes No cherry-picking

Per-provider accuracy

Provider Total Correct Accuracy
groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant 5 2 40.0%
rule-based-analysis 31 8 25.8%

By timeframe

24h 25.8%
8 of 31 predictions
6h 40.0%
2 of 5 predictions

Recent verified predictions

neutral rule-based-analysis · 30% conf. · 24h
May 15, 2026 22:00 UTC · Move: 5.07%
bullish rule-based-analysis · 30% conf. · 24h
May 15, 2026 19:00 UTC · Move: 3.36%
neutral rule-based-analysis · 30% conf. · 24h
May 15, 2026 19:00 UTC · Move: 4.00%
neutral rule-based-analysis · 30% conf. · 24h
May 15, 2026 18:00 UTC · Move: 4.65%
bullish rule-based-analysis · 30% conf. · 24h
May 15, 2026 18:00 UTC · Move: 4.51%
bullish rule-based-analysis · 30% conf. · 24h
May 15, 2026 17:00 UTC · Move: 2.45%
neutral rule-based-analysis · 30% conf. · 24h
May 15, 2026 15:00 UTC · Move: 3.00%
bullish rule-based-analysis · 30% conf. · 24h
May 15, 2026 14:00 UTC · Move: 2.73%
bullish rule-based-analysis · 30% conf. · 24h
May 15, 2026 13:00 UTC · Move: 2.48%
bearish rule-based-analysis · 30% conf. · 24h
May 15, 2026 12:00 UTC · Move: 4.25%