Backtest History
Transparent record of AI sentiment predictions evaluated against actual market movements.
Total Evaluated
3405
Correct
1210
Win Rate
35.5%
30-Day Daily Win Rate
| Day | Total | Correct | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-15 | 3350 | 1188 | 35.5% |
| 2026-05-16 | 55 | 22 | 40.0% |
By Provider (All-Time)
| Provider | Total | Correct | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|
| groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | 2385 | 927 | 38.87% |
| rule-based-analysis | 1019 | 283 | 27.77% |
| huggingface-ProsusAI/finbert | 1 | 0 | 0.00% |
Recent Correct Predictions
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TSLA ✓ bullishrule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-05-16 09:00
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BTC ✓ bullishgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-16 07:00Bitcoin bears 'annihilated' as analysis sees $65K support test next
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NASDAQ ✓ bullishgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-16 06:00Virtuix Reports Third Quarter and Nine-Month Fiscal 2026 Financial Results
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NASDAQ ✓ bullishgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-16 06:00Versamet Royalties to Commence Trading on Nasdaq
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BTC ✓ bullishgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-16 05:00These 4 Bitcoin charts say BTC price is forming a bottom
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OIL ✓ bullishgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-16 04:00Oil Climbs as Disruptions Mount From Iran War
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OIL ✓ bullishgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-16 03:00Why Iran war oil price shock won't stop Fed pick Kevin Warsh from cutting inter…
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OIL ✓ bullishgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-16 03:00Oil prices rise again as conflict in Middle East escalates
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OIL ✓ bullishgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-16 03:00Traders Turn to Canada’s Dollar As Iran War Risks Jolt Market
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VIX ✓ bearishgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-16 03:00Stock Futures Slip, Oil Rallies After Mixed Messages on Iran Peace Talks
Recent Incorrect Predictions
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OIL ✗ bearishgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-16 08:00US Equity Rout Shows No Signs of Easing as Iran War Rages On
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OIL ✗ neutralgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-16 08:00The S&P 500 Just Hit a 3-Month Low, But Oil Stocks Are Surging. Should Investor…
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DOW ✗ bearishgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-16 08:00Stock Market Today: Dow Falls Ahead Of Jobless Claims; AI Leader Broadcom Jumps…
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BTC ✗ neutralgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-16 08:00US Bitcoin reserve still has no plan to stack sats
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OIL ✗ neutralgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-16 07:00The 2 indicators Wall Street is watching amid unfolding uncertainty
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NASDAQ ✗ neutralgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-16 07:00The 2 indicators Wall Street is watching amid unfolding uncertainty
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OIL ✗ neutralgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-16 06:00US Premarket Movers: Broadcom, Ciena, Stubhub, Trade Desk, Veeva
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OIL ✗ neutralgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-16 06:00India Seeks Clarity From US on Strait of Hormuz Insurance Plan
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META ✗ bullishgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-16 06:00Virtuix Reports Third Quarter and Nine-Month Fiscal 2026 Financial Results
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OIL ✗ neutralgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-16 05:00Dow Jones Futures Fall, Oil Prices Rise Again; AI Chip Giant Broadcom Jumps
All Evaluated Predictions
| Symbol | Provider | Predicted | Movement | Change % | Result | Evaluated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSLA | rule-based-analysis | bullish | up | 4.02% | ✓ | 2026-05-16 09:00 |
| OIL | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bearish | up | 15.00% | ✗ | 2026-05-16 08:00 |
| OIL | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | neutral | up | 15.00% | ✗ | 2026-05-16 08:00 |
| DOW | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bearish | up | 4.45% | ✗ | 2026-05-16 08:00 |
| BTC | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | neutral | up | 12.82% | ✗ | 2026-05-16 08:00 |
| BTC | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bullish | up | 12.82% | ✓ | 2026-05-16 07:00 |
| OIL | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | neutral | up | 15.16% | ✗ | 2026-05-16 07:00 |
| NASDAQ | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | neutral | up | 15.45% | ✗ | 2026-05-16 07:00 |
| OIL | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | neutral | up | 15.16% | ✗ | 2026-05-16 06:00 |
| OIL | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | neutral | up | 15.16% | ✗ | 2026-05-16 06:00 |
| META | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bullish | down | -5.89% | ✗ | 2026-05-16 06:00 |
| NASDAQ | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bullish | up | 15.45% | ✓ | 2026-05-16 06:00 |
| NASDAQ | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bullish | up | 15.45% | ✓ | 2026-05-16 06:00 |
| BTC | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bullish | up | 12.82% | ✓ | 2026-05-16 05:00 |
| OIL | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | neutral | up | 15.16% | ✗ | 2026-05-16 05:00 |
| DOW | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | neutral | up | 4.45% | ✗ | 2026-05-16 05:00 |
| OIL | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bearish | up | 15.16% | ✗ | 2026-05-16 05:00 |
| OIL | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | neutral | up | 15.16% | ✗ | 2026-05-16 05:00 |
| VIX | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | neutral | down | -24.68% | ✗ | 2026-05-16 04:00 |
| OIL | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | neutral | up | 15.16% | ✗ | 2026-05-16 04:00 |
| OIL | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bullish | up | 15.16% | ✓ | 2026-05-16 04:00 |
| OIL | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bearish | up | 15.16% | ✗ | 2026-05-16 04:00 |
| OIL | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bearish | up | 15.16% | ✗ | 2026-05-16 04:00 |
| OIL | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bullish | up | 15.16% | ✓ | 2026-05-16 03:00 |
| OIL | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bullish | up | 15.16% | ✓ | 2026-05-16 03:00 |