Backtest History
Transparent record of AI sentiment predictions evaluated against actual market movements.
Total Evaluated
2888
Correct
1032
Win Rate
35.7%
30-Day Daily Win Rate
| Day | Total | Correct | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-15 | 2888 | 1032 | 35.7% |
By Provider (All-Time)
| Provider | Total | Correct | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|
| groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | 2013 | 803 | 39.89% |
| rule-based-analysis | 875 | 229 | 26.17% |
Recent Correct Predictions
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NASDAQ ✓ bullishgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-15 13:00PayPay, 40% owner of Binance Japan, seeks up to $1.1 billion in Nasdaq IPO
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OIL ✓ bullishgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-15 13:00BWET: World's Top-Performing ETF This Year
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OIL ✓ bullishgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-15 13:00Brazil’s Oil Production Keeps Growing
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NASDAQ ✓ bullishgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-15 13:00Michael Saylor Once Said You Should Master This Technology To Get Wealthy: Bitc…
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OIL ✓ bullishgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-15 13:00Energy Shares Surge Alongside Oil Futures | Closing Bell
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OIL ✓ bullishgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-15 13:00Oil Producers Pounce on Price Surge to Lock In Future Revenue
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AAPL ✓ bullishrule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-05-15 13:00
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DOW ✓ bullishgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-15 13:00The Dow Jones Industrial Average Just Did Something That's Been Witnessed Only …
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OIL ✓ bullishgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-15 13:00Morgan Stanley stays bullish on US stocks despite Middle East tensions, sees he…
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AMZN ✓ bullishgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-15 13:00Is Amazon (AMZN) a Buy, Sell, or Hold in 2026?
Recent Incorrect Predictions
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NASDAQ ✗ neutralgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-15 13:00Defense stocks, geopolitical pressures, oil: Market Takeaways
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OIL ✗ neutralgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-15 13:00Defense stocks, geopolitical pressures, oil: Market Takeaways
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OIL ✗ neutralgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-15 13:00Tesla Stock Eked Out Small Gain. Why It No Longer Gets a Boost From Higher Oil …
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DOW ✗ bearishgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-15 13:00Dow Jones Futures: U.S.-Iran Conflict Sparks Market Upheaval As Nvidia Rallies;…
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OIL ✗ bearishgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-15 13:00Equities Mixed, Oil Prices Rally as Report Says Strait of Hormuz Closed
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BTC ✗ bearishgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-15 13:00Bitcoin futures demand falls to 2024 lows: Are institutions exiting the market?
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VIX ✗ neutralgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-15 13:00March seasonality: What to expect from stocks this month
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NASDAQ ✗ neutralgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-15 13:00March seasonality: What to expect from stocks this month
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OIL ✗ neutralgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-15 13:00Iran conflict unlikely to hurt U.S. economy or boost inflation — but the Fed wo…
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BTC ✗ neutralrule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-05-15 13:00
All Evaluated Predictions
| Symbol | Provider | Predicted | Movement | Change % | Result | Evaluated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOOGL | rule-based-analysis | bearish | up | 31.12% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 13:00 |
| BTC | rule-based-analysis | neutral | up | 2.59% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 13:00 |
| NASDAQ | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | neutral | up | 17.25% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 13:00 |
| AAPL | rule-based-analysis | bullish | up | 12.05% | ✓ | 2026-05-15 13:00 |
| OIL | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bearish | up | 14.42% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 13:00 |
| DOW | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | neutral | up | 5.58% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 13:00 |
| OIL | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | neutral | up | 14.42% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 13:00 |
| DOW | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bullish | up | 5.58% | ✓ | 2026-05-15 13:00 |
| OIL | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bullish | up | 14.42% | ✓ | 2026-05-15 13:00 |
| OIL | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bearish | up | 14.42% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 13:00 |
| AMZN | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bullish | up | 25.63% | ✓ | 2026-05-15 13:00 |
| BTC | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bullish | up | 14.95% | ✓ | 2026-05-15 13:00 |
| NFLX | rule-based-analysis | bullish | down | -10.69% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 13:00 |
| AAPL | rule-based-analysis | bullish | up | 12.39% | ✓ | 2026-05-15 13:00 |
| ETH | rule-based-analysis | neutral | down | -6.97% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 13:00 |
| BTC | rule-based-analysis | neutral | up | 2.59% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 13:00 |
| GOOGL | rule-based-analysis | bearish | up | 30.82% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 13:00 |
| TSLA | rule-based-analysis | neutral | up | 10.39% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 13:00 |
| NVDA | rule-based-analysis | bullish | up | 29.29% | ✓ | 2026-05-15 13:00 |
| NFLX | rule-based-analysis | bullish | down | -10.54% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 13:00 |
| MSFT | rule-based-analysis | bullish | up | 2.48% | ✓ | 2026-05-15 13:00 |
| META | rule-based-analysis | bullish | down | -5.66% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 13:00 |
| INTC | rule-based-analysis | bearish | up | 157.05% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 13:00 |
| AMZN | rule-based-analysis | bearish | up | 27.93% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 13:00 |
| XRP | rule-based-analysis | bearish | down | -30.16% | ✓ | 2026-05-15 13:00 |