Backtest History
Transparent record of AI sentiment predictions evaluated against actual market movements.
Total Evaluated
2985
Correct
1051
Win Rate
35.2%
30-Day Daily Win Rate
| Day | Total | Correct | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-15 | 2985 | 1051 | 35.2% |
By Provider (All-Time)
| Provider | Total | Correct | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|
| groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | 2083 | 817 | 39.22% |
| rule-based-analysis | 902 | 234 | 25.94% |
Recent Correct Predictions
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OIL ✓ bullishgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-15 14:00Forget the oil spike — the Iran conflict could unlock a generational Middle Eas…
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OIL ✓ bullishgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-15 14:00Aramco Explores Plan to Export Oil Via Red Sea to Avoid Hormuz
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NASDAQ ✓ bullishgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-15 14:00AI pullback a buying opportunity? GinsGlobal's Ginsberg says yes
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NASDAQ ✓ bullishgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-15 14:00Tonix Pharmaceuticals Announces Uplisting from Nasdaq Capital Market to Nasdaq …
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COPPER ✓ bullishgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-15 14:00MMG Profit More Than Triples on Copper Rally, Strong Mine Output
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OIL ✓ bullishgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-15 14:00Brent Premium to Mideast Oil Benchmark Surges to Most Since 2022
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OIL ✓ bullishgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-15 14:00Galp Co-CEO: Oil Sector Better Prepared for Shocks
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BTC ✓ bullishgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-15 14:00Riot reports record $647M revenue in 2025 as other Bitcoin miners struggle
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BTC ✓ bullishgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-15 14:00Bitcoin climbs as BTC ETFs post one of the quarter’s biggest inflow days amid I…
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XRP ✓ bearishrule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-05-15 14:00
Recent Incorrect Predictions
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OIL ✗ bearishgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-15 14:00Asian Refiners Mull Slashing Crude Processing as Iran War Threatens Supply
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ETH ✗ bearishgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-15 14:00Ether price again rejected at $2K: How low can ETH go in March?
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ETH ✗ neutralrule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-05-15 14:00
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OIL ✗ bearishgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-15 14:00Trump has less than 30 days to end the Iran conflict or he’ll lose his inflatio…
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OIL ✗ bearishgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-15 14:00Iraq Halts Crude Oil Shipments Via Key Pipeline to Turkish Port
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DOW ✗ bearishgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-15 14:00Stock Market Today: Dow Dives 700 Points On U.S.-Iran Fears; Credo, MongoDB Fal…
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NASDAQ ✗ neutralgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-15 14:00Antelope Enterprise Holdings Limited Announce Reverse Split Record Date
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META ✗ bullishrule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-05-15 14:00
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OIL ✗ bearishgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-15 14:00Global Diesel Prices Surge Higher as Iran War Disrupts Supplies
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NASDAQ ✗ bearishgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-15 14:00Nasdaq futures plunge as market takes Iran war more seriously
All Evaluated Predictions
| Symbol | Provider | Predicted | Movement | Change % | Result | Evaluated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OIL | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bearish | up | 14.07% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 14:00 |
| ETH | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bearish | up | 10.31% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 14:00 |
| OIL | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bullish | up | 14.07% | ✓ | 2026-05-15 14:00 |
| ETH | rule-based-analysis | neutral | down | -6.97% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 14:00 |
| OIL | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bearish | up | 14.07% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 14:00 |
| OIL | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bearish | up | 14.07% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 14:00 |
| DOW | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bearish | up | 5.58% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 14:00 |
| NASDAQ | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | neutral | up | 17.25% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 14:00 |
| META | rule-based-analysis | bullish | down | -5.38% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 14:00 |
| OIL | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bearish | up | 14.07% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 14:00 |
| NASDAQ | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bearish | up | 17.25% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 14:00 |
| OIL | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bullish | up | 14.07% | ✓ | 2026-05-15 14:00 |
| OIL | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | neutral | up | 14.07% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 14:00 |
| OIL | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bearish | up | 14.07% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 14:00 |
| OIL | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bearish | up | 14.07% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 14:00 |
| OIL | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bearish | up | 14.07% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 14:00 |
| OIL | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | neutral | up | 14.07% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 14:00 |
| NASDAQ | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bullish | up | 17.25% | ✓ | 2026-05-15 14:00 |
| OIL | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | neutral | up | 14.07% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 14:00 |
| META | rule-based-analysis | bullish | down | -5.38% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 14:00 |
| OIL | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bearish | up | 14.07% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 14:00 |
| BTC | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bearish | up | 14.95% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 14:00 |
| OIL | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bearish | up | 14.07% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 14:00 |
| NASDAQ | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bullish | up | 17.25% | ✓ | 2026-05-15 14:00 |
| OIL | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bearish | up | 14.07% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 14:00 |