Trailing 7 days · Auto-generated
Weekly AI Accuracy Report
May 13, 2026 — May 20, 2026
How the AI providers did this week — every sentiment outcome scored against the real market move. Best and worst provider, notable misses, and per-asset narratives.
This Week at a Glance
3,405
Predictions verified
36%
Overall accuracy
1,210/3,405 correct
2,386
News-based AI
39% accurate
1,019
Technical heuristic
28% accurate
Best & Worst Provider
Top performer
groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant
39%
Needs work
rule-based-analysis
28%
Notable Misses
| Provider | Symbol | Predicted | Confidence | Actual move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant AI | NASDAQ | Neutral | 95% | +15.90% |
| groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant AI | DOW | Bearish | 95% | +5.58% |
| huggingface-ProsusAI/finbert AI | NASDAQ | Neutral | 95% | +17.25% |
| groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant AI | NASDAQ | Neutral | 95% | +17.25% |
| groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant AI | OIL | Bearish | 95% | +14.30% |
| groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant AI | NASDAQ | Bearish | 95% | +17.25% |
By Asset Class
Indices
43%
995 verified predictions · led by groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant (43%)
Commodities
34%
920 verified predictions · led by groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant (34%)
Crypto
26%
831 verified predictions · led by groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant (41%)
Stocks
38%
659 verified predictions · led by rule-based-analysis (38%)
Methodology — how we score AI outcomes
- Each AI sentiment outcome is logged at the moment of generation with: provider, symbol, sentiment (bullish/bearish/neutral), confidence, timeframe (6 h / 24 h / 7 d), and entry price.
- After the timeframe elapses, the actual market price is fetched and the real percentage move is computed.
- Bullish is correct only if price rose more than 1%. Bearish if price fell more than 1%. Neutral if price stayed within ±1% movement bands.
- If price data is unavailable, the outcome is excluded — never counted as correct or incorrect.
- Outcomes are scored deterministically once the window closes, are immutable, and are never edited or deleted.