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MSFT Stock

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MSFT market intelligence

Chart context, AI evidence, sentiment, related news, and verified outcome history are grouped into one asset dossier.

Current $386.74
Trend Down
Sentiment Bearish
AI Accuracy on MSFT 27.8% (36 verified predictions)
View Leaderboard → View accuracy history →

Price Chart

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Detailed Market Analysis

Key Levels

Support
$367.40
Resistance
$406.08

Volume & Momentum

Volume
Weak
0.8x avg
Momentum
-1%
Weak

Technical Context

Current price
$386.74
RSI context
50

Market Sentiment

44
Bearish

Stock Metrics

Daily Vol
1%
VIX Est
20
Weekly
-1%

Asset Intelligence Dossier

Over the last 30 days, AI sentiment for MSFT skewed bullish (25 of 52 scored calls). The most accurate provider on this asset is groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant at 40.0% across 5 verified calls.

Provider track record

groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant
2/5 verified calls
40.0%
rule-based-analysis
8/31 verified calls
25.8%

Confidence trend

34%
▼ 16.8 pts vs previous week
Avg confidence across 127 calls in the last 7 days

What sources say

Bullish 25 articles
Wall Street closes higher as Broadcom rallies
S&P 500, Nasdaq End Higher On Support From Strong Tech Gains Led By Nvidia, Dow Hits Record Highs — MSFT, NVDA, LMT, AVGO, SPCX In Focus
Macron and Modi turn on personal charm offensives as France and India race to secure AI investment
Bearish 14 articles
Why This Bank of America Strategist Sees S&P 500 Risks Ahead
Mark Zuckerberg tells staff that AI agents haven’t progressed as quickly as he’d hoped
Oracle Extends Seven-Day Slide
Neutral 13 articles
Microsoft Is Cutting 4,800 Jobs to Feed the AI Machine. Should You Still Own It?
Reddit is using LLMs to solve a problem LLMs largely created
Vanguard Growth ETF vs Small-Cap Growth: Is a Large Cap or Small Cap ETF the Better Choice?

Insider Trading

Insider Role Date Type Value
Numoto Takeshi EVP, Chief … Jun 10 '26 Sale 1812780.0
Numoto Takeshi EVP, Chief … Jun 08 '26 Sale 1031125.0
Numoto Takeshi Officer Jun 05 '26 Proposed Sale 2988100.0
Althoff Judson CEO Microsoft … Jun 01 '26 Sale 7145314.0
Althoff Judson Officer Jun 01 '26 Proposed Sale 7145316.0
Coleman Amy EVP, Chief … May 14 '26 Sale 519242.0
Coleman Amy Officer May 14 '26 Proposed Sale 519242.0
Hogan Kathleen T EVP, Strategy Mar 06 '26 Sale 5045643.0
Hogan Kathleen T Officer Mar 06 '26 Proposed Sale 5045643.0
STANTON JOHN W Director Feb 18 '26 Buy 1986750.0

Source: FinViz — Data may be delayed

Technical Observations

Refreshing technical observations from FinViz...

MSFT News Intelligence (199 articles)

AI-curated news influencing MSFT price, sentiment, and trend

Explore All MSFT News with AI Analysis
AI & Machine Learning
2 months, 3 weeks ago

Stanford report highlights growing disconnect between AI insiders and everyone else

Stanford’s latest AI Index shows a widening gap between experts and the public, with rising anxiety over jobs, healthcare, and …

Impact on MSFT: The report's findings may lead to a negative price reflection for AI-related …
A Stanford report reveals a growing disconnect between AI insiders and the general public, with … Medium (60%)
View full analysis →
TechCrunch 60% confidence
Economy
2 months, 3 weeks ago

Investors’ Concerns Hurt Microsoft (MSFT) in Q1

Mar Vista Investment Partners, LLC, an investment management company, released its “Mar Vista U.S. Quality Strategy” first-quarter 2026 investor letter. …

Impact on MSFT: Neutral market sentiment indicated
FinBERT analysis of financial text showing neutral sentiment with 94.1% confidence. High (94%)
View full analysis →
Yahoo Finance 94% confidence
Economy
2 months, 3 weeks ago

Morgan Stanley Says Earnings Shield S&P 500 From Iran War

Accelerating earnings are protecting the S&P 500 from deeper losses and masking a broader pullback in US equities, according to …

Impact on MSFT: The S&P 500 is experiencing a cushioning effect from strong earnings, limiting …
Morgan Stanley strategists believe accelerating earnings are shielding the S&P 500 from deeper losses despite … High (70%)
View full analysis →
Bloomberg 70% confidence
Global Markets & Finance
2 months, 3 weeks ago

Anthropic closes in on OpenAI as US business use surges

Divergence reflects company’s recent rapid growth owing to strong interest in its Claude Code products

Impact on MSFT: The increased adoption of Anthropic's products may lead to a surge in …
Anthropic's rapid growth, driven by strong interest in its Claude Code products, is closing the … High (70%)
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Financial Times 70% confidence
Economy
2 months, 3 weeks ago

HIVE outlines dual engine strategy for AI growth

Artificial intelligence (AI) has officially shifted from a Silicon Valley experiment to the primary engine of the global economy. As …

Impact on MSFT: The announcement may positively impact stocks like NVIDIA (NVDA) and Advanced Micro …
HIVE outlines a dual engine strategy for AI growth, indicating a significant shift in the … High (70%)
View full analysis →
Yahoo Finance 70% confidence
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AI Analysis

Multi-Provider AI Analysis

Neutral

AI Summary

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Confidence
0%
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