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MSFT market intelligence

Chart context, AI evidence, sentiment, related news, and verified outcome history are grouped into one asset dossier.

Current $386.74

Trend Down

Sentiment Bearish

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Detailed Market Analysis

Key Levels

Support

$367.40

Resistance

$406.08

Volume & Momentum

Volume

Weak

0.8x avg

Momentum

-1%

Weak

Technical Context

Current price

$386.74

RSI context

50

Market Sentiment

44

Bearish

Stock Metrics

Daily Vol

1%

VIX Est

20

Weekly

-1%

Asset Intelligence Dossier

Over the last 30 days, AI sentiment for MSFT skewed bullish (25 of 52 scored calls). The most accurate provider on this asset is groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant at 40.0% across 5 verified calls.

Provider track record

groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant

2/5 verified calls

40.0%

rule-based-analysis

8/31 verified calls

25.8%

Confidence trend

34%

▼ 17.2 pts vs previous week

Avg confidence across 125 calls in the last 7 days

What sources say

Bullish 25 articles

Wall Street closes higher as Broadcom rallies

S&P 500, Nasdaq End Higher On Support From Strong Tech Gains Led By Nvidia, Dow Hits Record Highs — MSFT, NVDA, LMT, AVGO, SPCX In Focus

Macron and Modi turn on personal charm offensives as France and India race to secure AI investment

Bearish 14 articles

Why This Bank of America Strategist Sees S&P 500 Risks Ahead

Mark Zuckerberg tells staff that AI agents haven’t progressed as quickly as he’d hoped

Oracle Extends Seven-Day Slide

Neutral 13 articles

Microsoft Is Cutting 4,800 Jobs to Feed the AI Machine. Should You Still Own It?

Reddit is using LLMs to solve a problem LLMs largely created

Vanguard Growth ETF vs Small-Cap Growth: Is a Large Cap or Small Cap ETF the Better Choice?

Insider Trading

Insider	Role	Date	Type	Value
Numoto Takeshi	EVP, Chief …	Jun 10 '26	Sale	1812780.0
Numoto Takeshi	EVP, Chief …	Jun 08 '26	Sale	1031125.0
Numoto Takeshi	Officer	Jun 05 '26	Proposed Sale	2988100.0
Althoff Judson	CEO Microsoft …	Jun 01 '26	Sale	7145314.0
Althoff Judson	Officer	Jun 01 '26	Proposed Sale	7145316.0
Coleman Amy	EVP, Chief …	May 14 '26	Sale	519242.0
Coleman Amy	Officer	May 14 '26	Proposed Sale	519242.0
Hogan Kathleen T	EVP, Strategy	Mar 06 '26	Sale	5045643.0
Hogan Kathleen T	Officer	Mar 06 '26	Proposed Sale	5045643.0
STANTON JOHN W	Director	Feb 18 '26	Buy	1986750.0

Source: FinViz — Data may be delayed

Technical Observations

Refreshing technical observations from FinViz...

MSFT News Intelligence (199 articles)

AI-curated news influencing MSFT price, sentiment, and trend

Explore All MSFT News with AI Analysis

Economy

2 months, 1 week ago

CEO turnover is near record highs, and more experienced execs are making for the exits

CEO turnover is near highs, and the average tenure of departing leaders is also on the rise.

Impact on MSFT: The high CEO turnover rate may lead to increased market volatility, particularly …

CEO turnover is nearing record highs, with more experienced executives leaving their positions, potentially leading … Medium (60%)

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Yahoo Finance 60% confidence

Stocks

2 months, 2 weeks ago

ServiceNow stock sinks 14% as subscription revenue takes hit from Iran war

The software company beat expectations for earnings and revenue as it continued to expand its artificial intelligence offerings.

Impact on MSFT: The 14% decline in ServiceNow's stock (NOW) may lead to a sector-wide …

ServiceNow's stock price plummeted 14% despite beating earnings and revenue expectations, as the Iran war … High (80%)

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CNBC 80% confidence

Economy

2 months, 2 weeks ago

Report: In the S&P 500, Disclosure of AI Risks Surges from 12% to 83%

From 2023 to 2025, the share of S&P 500 companies disclosing AI as a risk jumped from 12% to 83%.

Impact on MSFT: The increased disclosure of AI risks by S&P 500 companies could lead …

The surge in AI risk disclosure by S&P 500 companies from 12% to 83% between … High (70%)

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Yahoo Finance 70% confidence

Economy

2 months, 2 weeks ago

Prediction: Investors Rotating Out of Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stocks Made a Costly Mistake. The Nasdaq Proves It.

It's key to look at the Nasdaq's long-term potential.

Impact on MSFT: The potential rebound in AI stocks could lead to a sector rotation, …

The Nasdaq's long-term potential suggests that investors who rotated out of Artificial Intelligence (AI) stocks … High (70%)

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Yahoo Finance 70% confidence

Economy

2 months, 2 weeks ago

Goldman expects U.S. equity market to continue making new highs

Investing.com -- Goldman Sachs said in a note Monday that it expects the U.S. equity market to continue climbing, with …

Impact on MSFT: The predicted 7% upside in the S&P 500 could lead to increased …

Goldman Sachs expects the U.S. equity market to continue its upward trend, with a year-end … High (80%)

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Yahoo Finance 80% confidence

AI & Machine Learning

2 months, 2 weeks ago

Anthropic takes $5B from Amazon and pledges $100B in cloud spending in return

Amazon has made another circular AI deal: It's investing another $5 billion in Anthropic. Anthropic has agreed to spend $100 …

Impact on MSFT: The deal is likely to positively impact Amazon's stock (AMZN) due to …

Amazon invests $5 billion in Anthropic, with Anthropic committing to $100 billion in cloud spending … High (80%)

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TechCrunch 80% confidence