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MSFT Stock

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MSFT market intelligence

Chart context, AI evidence, sentiment, related news, and verified outcome history are grouped into one asset dossier.

Current $386.74
Trend Down
Sentiment Bearish
AI Accuracy on MSFT 27.8% (36 verified predictions)
View Leaderboard → View accuracy history →

Price Chart

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Detailed Market Analysis

Key Levels

Support
$367.40
Resistance
$406.08

Volume & Momentum

Volume
Weak
0.8x avg
Momentum
-1%
Weak

Technical Context

Current price
$386.74
RSI context
50

Market Sentiment

44
Bearish

Stock Metrics

Daily Vol
1%
VIX Est
20
Weekly
-1%

Asset Intelligence Dossier

Over the last 30 days, AI sentiment for MSFT skewed bullish (25 of 52 scored calls). The most accurate provider on this asset is groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant at 40.0% across 5 verified calls.

Provider track record

groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant
2/5 verified calls
40.0%
rule-based-analysis
8/31 verified calls
25.8%

Confidence trend

34%
▼ 17.5 pts vs previous week
Avg confidence across 120 calls in the last 7 days

What sources say

Bullish 25 articles
Wall Street closes higher as Broadcom rallies
S&P 500, Nasdaq End Higher On Support From Strong Tech Gains Led By Nvidia, Dow Hits Record Highs — MSFT, NVDA, LMT, AVGO, SPCX In Focus
Macron and Modi turn on personal charm offensives as France and India race to secure AI investment
Bearish 14 articles
Why This Bank of America Strategist Sees S&P 500 Risks Ahead
Mark Zuckerberg tells staff that AI agents haven’t progressed as quickly as he’d hoped
Oracle Extends Seven-Day Slide
Neutral 13 articles
Microsoft Is Cutting 4,800 Jobs to Feed the AI Machine. Should You Still Own It?
Reddit is using LLMs to solve a problem LLMs largely created
Vanguard Growth ETF vs Small-Cap Growth: Is a Large Cap or Small Cap ETF the Better Choice?

Insider Trading

Insider Role Date Type Value
Numoto Takeshi EVP, Chief … Jun 10 '26 Sale 1812780.0
Numoto Takeshi EVP, Chief … Jun 08 '26 Sale 1031125.0
Numoto Takeshi Officer Jun 05 '26 Proposed Sale 2988100.0
Althoff Judson CEO Microsoft … Jun 01 '26 Sale 7145314.0
Althoff Judson Officer Jun 01 '26 Proposed Sale 7145316.0
Coleman Amy EVP, Chief … May 14 '26 Sale 519242.0
Coleman Amy Officer May 14 '26 Proposed Sale 519242.0
Hogan Kathleen T EVP, Strategy Mar 06 '26 Sale 5045643.0
Hogan Kathleen T Officer Mar 06 '26 Proposed Sale 5045643.0
STANTON JOHN W Director Feb 18 '26 Buy 1986750.0

Source: FinViz — Data may be delayed

Technical Observations

Refreshing technical observations from FinViz...

MSFT News Intelligence (199 articles)

AI-curated news influencing MSFT price, sentiment, and trend

Explore All MSFT News with AI Analysis
Economy
1 month, 3 weeks ago

Trump Says 'Jobs & 401-K's' Are Booming, President Touts Stock Market At 'All-Time High'

President Donald Trump celebrated record stock market gains, saying strong job growth and rising retirement accounts reflected continued economic momentum. …

Impact on MSFT: The president's statement may lead to a positive market impact, with potential …
President Trump touts the US stock market reaching an all-time high, citing strong job growth … Medium (60%)
View full analysis →
Economy
1 month, 4 weeks ago

Why the Gap Between Chip and Software Stocks Keeps Getting Wider

Investors can’t get enough of Nvidia, AMD, Intel, and Micron as earnings season widens the divide between chip and software …

Impact on MSFT: The widening gap between chip and software stocks is likely to lead …
The gap between chip and software stocks continues to widen, driven by strong earnings from … High (80%)
View full analysis →
Economy
1 month, 4 weeks ago

Hyperscalers’ Free Cash Flow Dips as AI Arms Race Hits Balance Sheets

Hyperscalers' free cash flow heads to 2014 lows as Morgan Stanley lifts Big Tech AI capex to $1.1T by 2027.

Impact on MSFT: The decline in free cash flow may lead to a decrease in …
Hyperscalers' free cash flow is declining to 2014 lows due to increased capital expenditures on … High (70%)
View full analysis →
Economy
2 months ago

Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) Slid Amid Broad-Based Sell-Off in Software Companies

Aristotle Capital Management, LLC, an investment management company, released its “Value Equity Fund” first-quarter 2026 investor letter. A copy of …

Impact on MSFT: May pressure downward momentum
Analysis of stock market developments showing bearish sentiment. High (80%)
View full analysis →
Economy
2 months ago

Microsoft Is a Mess. Is the "Magnificent Seven" Stock a Buy in May or Better Avoided?

It continues to lag its megacap peers as investors question its artificial intelligence (AI) spending plans.

Impact on MSFT: Microsoft's (MSFT) underperformance may lead to a decrease in its stock price, …
Microsoft's lagging performance compared to its megacap peers raises questions about its artificial intelligence spending … Medium (60%)
View full analysis →
Technology
2 months ago

Farewell, Jeeves: Ask.com shuts down

Owner IAC says it's discontinuing its search business.

Impact on MSFT: The shutdown of Ask.com may lead to a slight increase in market …
IAC is shutting down Ask.com, discontinuing its search business. This move may have implications for … Medium (50%)
View full analysis →
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AI Analysis

Multi-Provider AI Analysis

Neutral

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Confidence
0%
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