BTC at a glance
77,718.01
USD
USD per coin
- Market
-
Open
- Data
-
Stale
Database (BTC)
·
3 hours, 10 minutes ago
- Range
-
24h 76,968.00 – 77,900.00
- Volatility regime
-
Normal
2.3%
daily deviation over 29 sessions
Related events
Stories on this asset that a model actually logged a call against.
Model agreement
9 open calls across the models tracking this asset.
-
Neutral
6 · 67%
-
Bullish
2 · 22%
-
Bearish
1 · 11%
The models do not agree. The split is shown rather than a single direction.
- Mistral Small Latest Neutral
- Rule-Based Analysis Bearish
- qwen/qwen3.8 27B (Groq) Bullish
Verification state
601 of 10921 calls on this asset have reached a verdict
(6%).
-
Generated
10921
-
Awaiting evaluation
9
-
Verified
601
-
Excluded
10311
How these are scored →
Observed bias
■
Neutral
6 of 9 open model calls on BTC record no directional lean. Average recorded confidence is 50%. Most were logged against a 7d window.
- Agreement
- 6 of 9 open calls
- Horizon
- 7d
- Invalidating condition
-
The reading holds while price stays inside the observed 77,157.34 – 78,089.34 USD band; a close outside it would remove its basis.
Supporting evidence
-
Arthur Hayes Reaffirms Bitcoin Long, Sets $10,000 Ether Target for 2026
qwen/qwen3.8 27B (Groq) · Sep 3, 04:04
-
Dogecoin (DOGE), Hyperliquid (HYPE), Shiba Inu (SHIB) and Bitcoin (BTC) Price Analysis for September 2: Recapturing …
Mistral Small Latest · Sep 3, 03:01
-
Technical reading logged by Rule-Based Analysis
Rule-Based Analysis · Sep 3, 01:10
-
Japan’s Remixpoint Dumps Ethereum, XRP in Shift to Bitcoin-Only Treasury
Mistral Small Latest · Sep 3, 00:31
-
When the Banks Don’t Work, Bitcoin Does: Cornell University’s Adoption Index
qwen/qwen3.8 27B (Groq) · Sep 2, 22:15
-
Bitcoin decouples from NASDAQ, aligns more with gold
qwen/qwen3.8 27B (Groq) · Sep 2, 18:13
-
qwen/qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
Bullish
40%
Sep 3, 04:04 · 7d
Generated
→
6h
→
24h
→
7d
→
Verified
-
Mistral Small Latest
Neutral
50%
Sep 3, 03:01 · 6h
Generated
→
6h
→
Verified
-
Rule-Based Analysis
not AI
Bearish
30%
Sep 3, 01:10 · 24h
Generated
→
6h
→
24h
→
Verified
-
Mistral Small Latest
Neutral
90%
Sep 3, 00:31 · 6h
Generated
→
6h
→
Verified
-
Mistral Small Latest
Bullish
65%
Sep 2, 23:56 · 6h
Generated
→
6h
→
Verified
Scored incorrect
Price Chart
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Detailed Market Analysis
Current price
77718.01 USD
Asset Intelligence Dossier
- Currency
- USD
- Quoted in
- USD per coin
- Exchange
- crypto
- Timezone
- UTC
- Market
-
Open
Over the last 30 days, AI sentiment for BTC skewed neutral (115 of 312 scored calls). The most accurate provider on this asset is Mistral Small Latest at 45.6% across 57 verified calls.
Provider track record
Mistral Small Latest
26/57 verified calls
45.6%
Rule-Based Analysis
30/500 verified calls
6.0%
Free Analysis Rule Based Analysis
13/22 verified calls
Insufficient sample · n=22
Openai/gpt Oss 120B (Groq)
2/7 verified calls
Insufficient sample · n=7
qwen/qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
3/14 verified calls
Insufficient sample · n=14
Confidence trend
48%
▲
10.2 pts vs previous week
Avg confidence across 219 calls in the last 7 days
What sources say
Neutral
115 articles
Dogecoin (DOGE), Hyperliquid (HYPE), Shiba Inu (SHIB) and Bitcoin (BTC) Price Analysis for September 2: Recapturing Bullish Momentum
Japan’s Remixpoint Dumps Ethereum, XRP in Shift to Bitcoin-Only Treasury
When the Banks Don’t Work, Bitcoin Does: Cornell University’s Adoption Index
Bullish
105 articles
Arthur Hayes Reaffirms Bitcoin Long, Sets $10,000 Ether Target for 2026
CZ Says AI Money Is Rotating Back to Crypto as $840,000 Case Builds for Bitcoin
Strive’s SATA raises enough to buy 143 Bitcoin in 10-day streak
Bearish
92 articles
Fed Rate Cut Odds Slashed as Kalshi September Hike Bets Reach 60%–68%
Morning Minute: Bitcoin Enters ‘Rektember’ After Best August Since 2017
Bitcoin slips below $76,500 as U.S. strikes on Iran send oil above $93
AI evidence
Every call logged on BTC, traced from the source that triggered it to the outcome it was scored against.
-
qwen/qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
Awaiting evaluation
Sep 3, 2026 04:04
- Direction
- Bullish
- Confidence
- 40%
- Reference price
- 77,311.00
- Verification window
- 7d
- Outcome
-
Not yet due
Evidence
Claim
Arthur Hayes Reaffirms Bitcoin Long, Sets $10,000 Ether Target for 2026
Affected assets
BTC, ETH
AI inference
Bullish · 40%
Generated
2026-09-03 01:04
AI inference
Bullish · 40%
Reference price
77,311
Verification window
7d
Actual outcome
Awaiting evaluation
Provenance
- Provider
- qwen/qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
- Model version
- Not recorded for this call
- Methodology version
- Scored before versions were recorded
- Record
groq-reasoning-qwen/qwen3.8-27b #298057
-
Mistral Small Latest
Awaiting evaluation
Sep 3, 2026 03:01
- Direction
- Neutral
- Confidence
- 50%
- Reference price
- 77,051.00
- Verification window
- 6h
- Outcome
-
Not yet due
Evidence
Claim
Dogecoin (DOGE), Hyperliquid (HYPE), Shiba Inu (SHIB) and Bitcoin (BTC) Price Analysis for September 2: Recapturing Bullish Momentum
Affected assets
DOGE, BTC
AI inference
Neutral · 50%
Generated
2026-09-03 00:01
AI inference
Neutral · 50%
Reference price
77,051
Verification window
6h
Actual outcome
Awaiting evaluation
Provenance
- Provider
- Mistral Small Latest
- Model version
- Not recorded for this call
- Methodology version
- Scored before versions were recorded
- Record
mistral-small-latest #298009
-
Rule-Based Analysis
Awaiting evaluation
Sep 3, 2026 01:10
- Direction
- Bearish
- Confidence
- 30%
- Reference price
- 77,124.86
- Verification window
- 24h
- Outcome
-
Not yet due
Evidence
Source
Technical analysis pipeline
Claim
Bearish reading on BTC
Affected assets
BTC
AI inference
Bearish · 30%
Reference price
77,124.86
Verification window
24h
Actual outcome
Awaiting evaluation
Provenance
- Provider
- Rule-Based Analysis
- Model version
- Not recorded for this call
- Methodology version
- Scored before versions were recorded
- Record
rule-based-analysis #297866
-
Mistral Small Latest
Awaiting evaluation
Sep 3, 2026 00:31
- Direction
- Neutral
- Confidence
- 90%
- Reference price
- 77,279.00
- Verification window
- 6h
- Outcome
-
Not yet due
Evidence
Claim
Japan’s Remixpoint Dumps Ethereum, XRP in Shift to Bitcoin-Only Treasury
Affected assets
BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, DOGE
AI inference
Neutral · 90%
Generated
2026-09-02 21:31
AI inference
Neutral · 90%
Reference price
77,279
Verification window
6h
Actual outcome
Awaiting evaluation
Provenance
- Provider
- Mistral Small Latest
- Model version
- Not recorded for this call
- Methodology version
- Scored before versions were recorded
- Record
mistral-small-latest #297823
-
Mistral Small Latest
Verified
Sep 2, 2026 23:56
- Direction
- Bullish
- Confidence
- 65%
- Reference price
- 77,279.00
- Verification window
- 6h
- Outcome
-
Incorrect
0.58%
Evidence
Claim
CZ Says AI Money Is Rotating Back to Crypto as $840,000 Case Builds for Bitcoin
Affected assets
BTC
AI inference
Bullish · 65%
Generated
2026-09-02 20:56
AI inference
Bullish · 65%
Reference price
77,279
Verification window
6h
Actual outcome
Incorrect · +0.58%
Provenance
- Provider
- Mistral Small Latest
- Model version
mistral-small-latest
- Methodology version
v1.0
- Record
mistral-small-latest #297835
-
qwen/qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
Verified
Sep 2, 2026 23:19
- Direction
- Bullish
- Confidence
- 60%
- Reference price
- 77,370.00
- Verification window
- 6h
- Outcome
-
Incorrect
0.46%
Evidence
Claim
Strive’s SATA raises enough to buy 143 Bitcoin in 10-day streak
Affected assets
BTC, MSTR
AI inference
Bullish · 60%
Generated
2026-09-02 20:19
AI inference
Bullish · 60%
Reference price
77,370
Verification window
6h
Actual outcome
Incorrect · +0.46%
Provenance
- Provider
- qwen/qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
- Model version
qwen/qwen3.8-27b
- Methodology version
v1.0
- Record
groq-reasoning-qwen/qwen3.8-27b #297733
-
qwen/qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
Awaiting evaluation
Sep 2, 2026 22:15
- Direction
- Neutral
- Confidence
- 40%
- Reference price
- 77,236.00
- Verification window
- 7d
- Outcome
-
Not yet due
Evidence
Claim
When the Banks Don’t Work, Bitcoin Does: Cornell University’s Adoption Index
Affected assets
BTC
AI inference
Neutral · 40%
Generated
2026-09-02 19:15
AI inference
Neutral · 40%
Reference price
77,236
Verification window
7d
Actual outcome
Awaiting evaluation
Provenance
- Provider
- qwen/qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
- Model version
- Not recorded for this call
- Methodology version
- Scored before versions were recorded
- Record
groq-reasoning-qwen/qwen3.8-27b #297661
-
Mistral Small Latest
Verified
Sep 2, 2026 22:15
- Direction
- Neutral
- Confidence
- 85%
- Reference price
- 77,236.00
- Verification window
- 6h
- Outcome
-
Correct
0.10%
Evidence
Claim
'The Right Trade': Strategy CEO Has No Regrets Selling Bitcoin at $60K Before Buying Back Higher
Affected assets
BTC
AI inference
Neutral · 85%
Generated
2026-09-02 19:15
AI inference
Neutral · 85%
Reference price
77,236
Verification window
6h
Actual outcome
Correct · +0.10%
Provenance
- Provider
- Mistral Small Latest
- Model version
mistral-small-latest
- Methodology version
v1.0
- Record
mistral-small-latest #297662
Prediction history
10921 calls logged on BTC, newest first. Nothing is filtered out.
Logged model predictions for BTC
| Logged |
Provider |
Direction |
Confidence |
Reference price |
Evaluated price |
Lifecycle |
Outcome |
| Sep 3, 2026 04:04 |
qwen/qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Bullish |
40% |
77,311.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 03:01 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
50% |
77,051.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 01:10 |
Rule-Based Analysis |
Bearish |
30% |
77,124.86 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 00:31 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
90% |
77,279.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 2, 2026 23:56 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
65% |
77,279.00 |
77,727.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.58%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 23:19 |
qwen/qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Bullish |
60% |
77,370.00 |
77,727.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.46%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 22:15 |
qwen/qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Neutral |
40% |
77,236.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 2, 2026 22:15 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
85% |
77,236.00 |
77,311.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.10%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 21:38 |
qwen/qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Bullish |
60% |
77,326.00 |
77,051.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
-0.36%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 21:30 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
60% |
77,326.00 |
77,051.00 |
Verified |
Correct
-0.36%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 20:24 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
65% |
77,341.00 |
77,280.00 |
Verified |
Correct
-0.08%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 19:58 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
50% |
77,341.00 |
77,007.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
-0.43%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 19:21 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bearish |
90% |
77,251.00 |
77,007.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
-0.32%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 18:13 |
qwen/qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Bullish |
40% |
77,205.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 2, 2026 17:39 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
75% |
77,150.00 |
77,370.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.29%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 17:00 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
30% |
77,150.00 |
77,236.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.11%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 16:30 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
65% |
77,102.00 |
77,236.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.17%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 16:00 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
75% |
77,102.00 |
77,326.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.29%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 15:31 |
qwen/qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Bullish |
60% |
76,632.00 |
77,326.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.91%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 15:13 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
30% |
76,632.00 |
77,326.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.91%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 15:00 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
95% |
76,632.00 |
77,326.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.91%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 15:00 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
95% |
76,632.00 |
77,326.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.91%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 14:55 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bearish |
60% |
76,632.00 |
77,326.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.91%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 14:35 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
60% |
76,726.00 |
77,326.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.78%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 14:30 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
90% |
76,726.00 |
77,326.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.78%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 14:08 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
85% |
76,726.00 |
77,326.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.78%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 13:50 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bearish |
95% |
76,726.00 |
77,326.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.78%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 13:26 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
60% |
76,337.00 |
77,326.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
1.30%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 12:57 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bearish |
95% |
76,337.00 |
77,326.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
1.30%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 12:23 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
95% |
76,669.00 |
77,326.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.86%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 12:08 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
95% |
76,337.00 |
77,326.00 |
Verified |
Correct
1.30%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 11:31 |
qwen/qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Bearish |
85% |
76,815.00 |
77,326.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.67%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 09:53 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
60% |
77,537.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 2, 2026 08:43 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
65% |
77,535.00 |
77,326.00 |
Verified |
Correct
-0.27%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 08:01 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bearish |
95% |
77,683.00 |
77,326.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
-0.46%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 07:40 |
qwen/qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Neutral |
60% |
77,541.00 |
77,341.00 |
Verified |
Correct
-0.26%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 06:05 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
65% |
77,553.00 |
77,251.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
-0.39%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 04:21 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
60% |
76,747.00 |
77,251.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.66%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 04:21 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
60% |
77,253.00 |
77,251.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.00%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 01:53 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
65% |
77,458.00 |
77,541.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.11%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 01:10 |
Rule-Based Analysis |
Bearish |
30% |
77,276.58 |
77,007.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
-0.35%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 00:42 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bearish |
85% |
77,210.00 |
77,279.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.09%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 00:27 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bearish |
65% |
77,210.00 |
77,553.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.44%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 00:06 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
60% |
77,210.00 |
77,553.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.44%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 00:00 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bearish |
75% |
77,210.00 |
77,253.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.06%
|
| Sep 1, 2026 23:31 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
70% |
77,425.00 |
77,253.00 |
Verified |
Correct
-0.22%
|
| Sep 1, 2026 23:31 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
70% |
77,520.00 |
77,341.00 |
Verified |
Correct
-0.23%
|
| Sep 1, 2026 23:25 |
qwen/qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Neutral |
60% |
77,425.00 |
77,253.00 |
Verified |
Correct
-0.22%
|
| Sep 1, 2026 22:59 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bearish |
95% |
77,425.00 |
76,747.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
-0.88%
|
| Sep 1, 2026 22:15 |
qwen/qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Neutral |
40% |
77,425.00 |
76,747.00 |
Verified |
Correct
-0.88%
|
