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BTC Crypto

Current 81016.84 USD

Trend Down

Sentiment Neutral

AI Accuracy on BTC 36.4% (5,475 verified predictions)

View Leaderboard → View accuracy history →

BTC at a glance

80,942.00 USD

USD per coin

Market: Open
Data: Live Stored snapshot (BTC) · 2 minutes ago
Range: 24h 80,669.45 – 81,427.75
Volatility regime: Normal 2.43% daily deviation over 29 sessions

Dominant narrative

BlackRock clients purchase $454M worth of Bitcoin in a single transaction

CryptoBriefing · 29 minutes ago · Article tone: Neutral · Model direction: Bullish

The transaction provides direct evidence of large-scale institutional capital flow into Bitcoin, potentially supporting price stability or appreciation for BTC.

Related events

Stories on this asset that a model actually logged a call against.

Bitcoin’s volatility ratio against gold collapses to 6-year low as traditional safe haven turbulence … Sep 4 · Neutral · Awaiting evaluation
Fed Rate Hike Odds Fall to 50/50: Will Bitcoin's Rally Above 80,000 Hold? Sep 4 · Neutral · Awaiting evaluation
Parked Coldcard loot begins moving as attacker routes $1.6M in stolen Bitcoin to Ethereum Sep 4 · Bearish · Awaiting evaluation
Bitcoin Bear Market May Not Yet Be Over, Says Fidelity Sep 4 · Bearish · Awaiting evaluation
BitMEX Co-Founder Funded Reform UK Before Shutting Down the Exchange Sep 4 · Neutral · Awaiting evaluation

Model agreement

21 open calls across the models tracking this asset.

Neutral 12 · 57%
Bullish 7 · 33%
Bearish 2 · 10%

The models do not agree. The split is shown rather than a single direction.

Mistral Small Latest Neutral
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) Neutral

Verification state

5475 of 10968 calls on this asset have reached a verdict (50%).

Generated 10968
Awaiting evaluation 21
Verified 5475
Excluded 5472

How these are scored

Observed bias

Neutral

12 of 21 open model calls on BTC record no directional lean. Average recorded confidence is 66%. Most were logged against a 24h window.

Agreement: 12 of 21 open calls
Confidence: 66% What confidence means
Horizon: 24h
Invalidating condition: The reading holds while price stays inside the observed 80,648.28 – 81,406.58 USD band; a close outside it would remove its basis.

Supporting evidence

Bitcoin’s volatility ratio against gold collapses to 6-year low as traditional safe haven turbulence surges Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) · Sep 4 08:10
Fed Rate Hike Odds Fall to 50/50: Will Bitcoin's Rally Above 80,000 Hold? Mistral Small Latest · Sep 4 04:17
Parked Coldcard loot begins moving as attacker routes $1.6M in stolen Bitcoin to Ethereum Mistral Small Latest · Sep 4 01:50
Bitcoin Bear Market May Not Yet Be Over, Says Fidelity Mistral Small Latest · Sep 4 01:19
BitMEX Co-Founder Funded Reform UK Before Shutting Down the Exchange Mistral Small Latest · Sep 4 01:14
ProCap Financial sells 50 Bitcoin to repurchase shares at 40% discount Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) · Sep 4 01:06

A description of what the tracked models have logged. Not a recommendation, and not personalised to any reader.

Calls on this asset

How these are scored

Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) Neutral 75% Sep 4 08:10 · 24h

Generated 6h 24h Verified
Mistral Small Latest Neutral 85% Sep 4 04:17 · 6h

Generated 6h Verified
Mistral Small Latest Bearish 95% Sep 4 01:50 · 6h

Generated 6h Verified
Mistral Small Latest Bearish 75% Sep 4 01:19 · 6h

Generated 6h Verified
Mistral Small Latest Neutral 85% Sep 4 01:14 · 6h

Generated 6h Verified

Price Chart

📈

Loading chart for BTC...

Quick Overview

Trend ↘ Down

Volatility Low

Sentiment 😐 Neutral

Data Status

Live

Stored snapshot (BTC)

Detailed Market Analysis

Key Levels

Support

80648.28 USD

Resistance

81406.58 USD

Volume & Momentum

Volume

Weak

0.8x avg

Momentum

Weak

Technical Context

Current price

81016.84 USD

RSI context

Market Sentiment

Neutral

Crypto Metrics

24H VOL

7D CHANGE

+4%

VOLATILITY

Low

Asset Intelligence Dossier

Currency: USD
Quoted in: USD per coin
Exchange: crypto
Timezone: UTC
Market: Open

Over the last 30 days, AI sentiment for BTC skewed neutral (131 of 339 scored calls). The most accurate provider on this asset is FinBERT at 51.0% across 151 verified calls.

Provider track record

FinBERT

77/151 verified calls

51.0%

Mistral Small Latest

41/83 verified calls

49.4%

Llama 3.3 70B Versatile (Groq)

214/549 verified calls

39.0%

Rule-Based Analysis

57/160 verified calls

35.6%

Rule-Based Analysis

1591/4492 verified calls

35.4%

GPT-OSS 120B (Groq)

4/8 verified calls

Insufficient sample · n=8

Gemini 2.5 Flash

4/11 verified calls

Insufficient sample · n=11

Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)

6/21 verified calls

Insufficient sample · n=21

Confidence trend

63%

▲ 27.4 pts vs previous week

Avg confidence across 178 calls in the last 7 days

What sources say

Neutral 131 articles

Bitcoin’s volatility ratio against gold collapses to 6-year low as traditional safe haven turbulence surges

Fed Rate Hike Odds Fall to 50/50: Will Bitcoin's Rally Above 80,000 Hold?

BitMEX Co-Founder Funded Reform UK Before Shutting Down the Exchange

Bullish 120 articles

Crypto Market Today, Sept. 3: Bitcoin Reclaims $81,000 on Fed Rate Pause Signals

Bitcoin Surges Above Key Moving Average, Key Resistance About to Crack

Block reports $433M in unrealized Bitcoin gains under Dorsey

Bearish 88 articles

Parked Coldcard loot begins moving as attacker routes $1.6M in stolen Bitcoin to Ethereum

Bitcoin Bear Market May Not Yet Be Over, Says Fidelity

Bitcoin experiences extreme fund flows for six consecutive days, a pattern that historically precedes price drops

BTC News Intelligence (8261 articles)

AI-curated news influencing BTC price, sentiment, and trend

Explore All BTC News with AI Analysis

Cryptocurrency

29 minutes ago

BlackRock clients purchase $454M worth of Bitcoin in a single transaction

Institutional Bitcoin investments are reshaping financial strategies, highlighting digital assets' growing role in diversified portfolios. The post BlackRock clients purchase …

Impact on BTC: The transaction provides direct evidence of large-scale institutional capital flow into Bitcoin, …

The article reports that BlackRock clients purchased $454 million worth of Bitcoin in a single … Medium (60%)

View full analysis →

CryptoBriefing 60% confidence

Cryptocurrency ⭐ FEATURED

43 minutes ago

Bitcoin and Ethereum Hit Multi-Month Highs but Traders Cap 2026 Upside Bets

Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) climbed to multi-month highs again this week, but prediction market traders still assign low odds …

Impact on BTC: Neutral market sentiment indicated

Analysis of Bitcoin market analysis, cryptocurrency market trends showing neutral sentiment. Medium (50%)

View full analysis →

BeInCrypto 50% confidence

Cryptocurrency

1 hour, 1 minute ago

Bitcoin’s volatility ratio against gold collapses to 6-year low as traditional safe haven turbulence surges

Bitcoin and gold are trading more like each other than at any point since 2020, even as their latest divergence …

Impact on BTC: The convergence of Bitcoin and gold price movements may attract traditional institutional …

Bitcoin's 90-day correlation with gold has reached approximately 0.55, the highest level in nearly six … High (75%)

View full analysis →

CryptoSlate 75% confidence

Cryptocurrency

1 hour, 1 minute ago

One full bitcoin now buys a little more than 18 ounces of gold, the most since January

Bitcoin is pulling ahead of gold even as both hard assets rally together, driven by fears that governments will inflate …

Impact on BTC: Neutral market sentiment indicated

Analysis of Bitcoin market analysis showing neutral sentiment. Medium (50%)

View full analysis →

CoinDesk 50% confidence

Cryptocurrency

1 hour, 39 minutes ago

Bitcoin Hits $82,000 and Fidelity Says It's Unsure If the Bear Market Is Over

Bitcoin touched $82,000 as Fidelity Digital Assets says the rally doesn't confirm the crypto bear market has ended. The post …

Impact on BTC: Neutral market sentiment indicated

Analysis of Bitcoin market analysis, cryptocurrency market trends showing neutral sentiment. Medium (50%)

View full analysis →

BeInCrypto 50% confidence

Cryptocurrency

1 hour, 50 minutes ago

Bitcoin back above $81,000 as hike odds fade, Zcash leads with 15% jump

Every major token gained on Friday as traders cut bets on a September Federal Reserve rate increase to a coin …

Impact on BTC: Potentially positive price action expected

Analysis of Bitcoin market analysis showing bullish sentiment. Medium (60%)

View full analysis →

CoinDesk 60% confidence

1 2 3 Next

AI evidence

Every call logged on BTC, traced from the source that triggered it to the outcome it was scored against.

Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) Awaiting evaluation Sep 4, 2026 08:10

Claim

Bitcoin’s volatility ratio against gold collapses to 6-year low as traditional safe haven turbulence surges

Direction
Neutral

Confidence
75%

Reference price
80,970.01

Verification window
24h

Outcome

Not yet due

Evidence

Source CryptoSlate

Claim Bitcoin’s volatility ratio against gold collapses to 6-year low as traditional safe haven turbulence surges

Affected assets BTC, GLD, IBIT

AI inference Neutral · 75%

Generated 2026-09-04 05:10

AI inference Neutral · 75%

Reference price 80,970.01

Verification window 24h

Actual outcome Awaiting evaluation

Provenance

Provider
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)

Model version

Not recorded for this call

Methodology version

Scored before versions were recorded

Record

groq-reasoning-qwen/qwen3.8-27b #299197
Mistral Small Latest Awaiting evaluation Sep 4, 2026 04:17

Claim

Fed Rate Hike Odds Fall to 50/50: Will Bitcoin's Rally Above 80,000 Hold?

Direction
Neutral

Confidence
85%

Reference price
80,851.15

Verification window
6h

Outcome

Not yet due

Evidence

Source BeInCrypto

Claim Fed Rate Hike Odds Fall to 50/50: Will Bitcoin's Rally Above 80,000 Hold?

Affected assets BTC

AI inference Neutral · 85%

Generated 2026-09-04 01:17

AI inference Neutral · 85%

Reference price 80,851.15

Verification window 6h

Actual outcome Awaiting evaluation

Provenance

Provider
Mistral Small Latest

Model version

Not recorded for this call

Methodology version

Scored before versions were recorded

Record

mistral-small-latest #298974
Mistral Small Latest Awaiting evaluation Sep 4, 2026 01:50

Claim

Parked Coldcard loot begins moving as attacker routes $1.6M in stolen Bitcoin to Ethereum

Direction
Bearish

Confidence
95%

Reference price
80,963.29

Verification window
6h

Outcome

Not yet due

Evidence

Source CryptoSlate

Claim Parked Coldcard loot begins moving as attacker routes $1.6M in stolen Bitcoin to Ethereum

Affected assets BTC, ETH

AI inference Bearish · 95%

Generated 2026-09-03 22:50

AI inference Bearish · 95%

Reference price 80,963.29

Verification window 6h

Actual outcome Awaiting evaluation

Provenance

Provider
Mistral Small Latest

Model version

Not recorded for this call

Methodology version

Scored before versions were recorded

Record

mistral-small-latest #299034
Mistral Small Latest Awaiting evaluation Sep 4, 2026 01:19

Claim

Bitcoin Bear Market May Not Yet Be Over, Says Fidelity

Direction
Bearish

Confidence
75%

Reference price
81,395.00

Verification window
6h

Outcome

Not yet due

Evidence

Source Bitcoin Magazine

Claim Bitcoin Bear Market May Not Yet Be Over, Says Fidelity

Affected assets BTC, COIN, MSTR

AI inference Bearish · 75%

Generated 2026-09-03 22:19

AI inference Bearish · 75%

Reference price 81,395

Verification window 6h

Actual outcome Awaiting evaluation

Provenance

Provider
Mistral Small Latest

Model version

Not recorded for this call

Methodology version

Scored before versions were recorded

Record

mistral-small-latest #298917
Mistral Small Latest Awaiting evaluation Sep 4, 2026 01:14

Claim

BitMEX Co-Founder Funded Reform UK Before Shutting Down the Exchange

Direction
Neutral

Confidence
85%

Reference price
81,360.00

Verification window
6h

Outcome

Not yet due

Evidence

Source BeInCrypto

Claim BitMEX Co-Founder Funded Reform UK Before Shutting Down the Exchange

Affected assets BTC, BITO, MSTR, COIN, RIOT

AI inference Neutral · 85%

Generated 2026-09-03 22:14

AI inference Neutral · 85%

Reference price 81,360

Verification window 6h

Actual outcome Awaiting evaluation

Provenance

Provider
Mistral Small Latest

Model version

Not recorded for this call

Methodology version

Scored before versions were recorded

Record

mistral-small-latest #298923
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) Awaiting evaluation Sep 4, 2026 01:06

Claim

ProCap Financial sells 50 Bitcoin to repurchase shares at 40% discount

Direction
Neutral

Confidence
60%

Reference price
81,456.00

Verification window
6h

Outcome

Not yet due

Evidence

Source CryptoBriefing

Claim ProCap Financial sells 50 Bitcoin to repurchase shares at 40% discount

Affected assets BTC

AI inference Neutral · 60%

Generated 2026-09-03 22:06

AI inference Neutral · 60%

Reference price 81,456

Verification window 6h

Actual outcome Awaiting evaluation

Provenance

Provider
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)

Model version

Not recorded for this call

Methodology version

Scored before versions were recorded

Record

groq-reasoning-qwen/qwen3.8-27b #298939
Mistral Small Latest Verified Sep 4, 2026 00:31

Claim

Bitcoin-Gold Correlation Hits Six-Year High as Debasement Fears Mount

Direction
Neutral

Confidence
75%

Reference price
81,608.00

Verification window
6h

Outcome

Correct -0.90%

Evidence

Source Bitcoin Magazine

Claim Bitcoin-Gold Correlation Hits Six-Year High as Debasement Fears Mount

Affected assets BTC

AI inference Neutral · 75%

Generated 2026-09-03 21:31

AI inference Neutral · 75%

Reference price 81,608

Verification window 6h

Actual outcome Correct · -0.90%

Provenance

Provider
Mistral Small Latest

Model version

mistral-small-latest

Methodology version

v1.0

Record

mistral-small-latest #298878
Mistral Small Latest Verified Sep 4, 2026 00:06

Claim

Crypto Market Today, Sept. 3: Bitcoin Reclaims $81,000 on Fed Rate Pause Signals

Direction
Bullish

Confidence
85%

Reference price
81,458.00

Verification window
6h

Outcome

Incorrect -0.65%

Evidence

Source The Motley Fool

Claim Crypto Market Today, Sept. 3: Bitcoin Reclaims $81,000 on Fed Rate Pause Signals

Affected assets BTC

AI inference Bullish · 85%

Generated 2026-09-03 21:06

AI inference Bullish · 85%

Reference price 81,458

Verification window 6h

Actual outcome Incorrect · -0.65%

Provenance

Provider
Mistral Small Latest

Model version

mistral-small-latest

Methodology version

v1.0

Record

mistral-small-latest #298890

Prediction history

10968 calls logged on BTC, newest first. Nothing is filtered out.

Logged model predictions for BTC
Logged	Provider	Direction	Confidence	Reference price	Evaluated price	Lifecycle	Outcome
Sep 4, 2026 08:10	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Neutral	75%	80,970.01	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 4, 2026 04:17	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	85%	80,851.15	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 4, 2026 01:50	Mistral Small Latest	Bearish	95%	80,963.29	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 4, 2026 01:19	Mistral Small Latest	Bearish	75%	81,395.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 4, 2026 01:14	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	85%	81,360.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 4, 2026 01:06	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Neutral	60%	81,456.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 4, 2026 00:31	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	75%	81,608.00	80,871.00	Verified	Correct -0.90%
Sep 4, 2026 00:06	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	85%	81,458.00	80,928.00	Verified	Incorrect -0.65%
Sep 3, 2026 23:39	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	70%	81,442.00	80,729.00	Verified	Incorrect -0.88%
Sep 3, 2026 22:41	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Bullish	75%	81,461.00	80,851.15	Verified	Incorrect -0.75%
Sep 3, 2026 22:23	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	85%	81,535.00	80,851.15	Verified	Incorrect -0.84%
Sep 3, 2026 22:03	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	85%	81,250.00	80,924.28	Verified	Incorrect -0.40%
Sep 3, 2026 21:07	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	95%	81,156.00	80,924.28	Verified	Incorrect -0.29%
Sep 3, 2026 20:20	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	90%	81,055.00	81,231.00	Verified	Incorrect 0.22%
Sep 3, 2026 20:10	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Neutral	40%	81,030.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 3, 2026 19:38	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	85%	80,835.00	81,127.00	Verified	Incorrect 0.36%
Sep 3, 2026 19:27	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Bullish	80%	80,662.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 3, 2026 19:24	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Bearish	40%	80,802.00	81,277.00	Verified	Incorrect 0.59%
Sep 3, 2026 19:19	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	65%	80,802.00	81,395.00	Verified	Incorrect 0.73%
Sep 3, 2026 19:09	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	75%	81,078.00	81,459.00	Verified	Incorrect 0.47%
Sep 3, 2026 18:58	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	95%	81,177.00	81,621.00	Verified	Incorrect 0.55%
Sep 3, 2026 18:14	GPT-OSS 120B (Groq)	Bullish	75%	80,552.00	81,521.00	Verified	Correct 1.20%
Sep 3, 2026 17:50	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	85%	79,948.00	81,445.00	Verified	Incorrect 1.87%
Sep 3, 2026 17:37	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	60%	81,144.01	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 3, 2026 16:59	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	85%	78,804.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 3, 2026 15:32	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	65%	78,225.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 3, 2026 15:30	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	90%	77,933.00	80,989.00	Verified	Incorrect 3.92%
Sep 3, 2026 14:43	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Neutral	75%	77,936.00	81,135.00	Verified	Incorrect 4.10%
Sep 3, 2026 14:42	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	75%	77,878.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 3, 2026 14:19	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	75%	77,843.00	81,055.00	Verified	Correct 4.13%
Sep 3, 2026 14:01	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	75%	77,700.00	80,924.00	Verified	Incorrect 4.15%
Sep 3, 2026 13:29	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	90%	77,597.00	80,662.00	Verified	Correct 3.95%
Sep 3, 2026 13:24	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	85%	77,612.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 3, 2026 13:15	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Bullish	65%	77,560.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 3, 2026 12:13	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	95%	77,865.00	80,552.00	Verified	Incorrect 3.45%
Sep 3, 2026 12:11	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	75%	77,775.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 3, 2026 12:00	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	55%	77,812.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 3, 2026 11:33	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Neutral	40%	77,924.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 3, 2026 10:45	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	85%	78,008.00	78,706.00	Verified	Correct 0.89%
Sep 3, 2026 10:37	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	60%	77,889.00	78,611.00	Verified	Correct 0.93%
Sep 3, 2026 10:01	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	60%	77,779.00	78,671.00	Verified	Incorrect 1.15%
Sep 3, 2026 08:50	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Bullish	75%	77,423.00	77,932.00	Verified	Incorrect 0.66%
Sep 3, 2026 07:58	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Neutral	60%	77,707.00	77,604.00	Verified	Correct -0.13%
Sep 3, 2026 07:22	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Neutral	60%	77,577.00	77,612.00	Verified	Correct 0.05%
Sep 3, 2026 04:04	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Bullish	40%	77,311.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 3, 2026 03:01	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	50%	77,051.00	77,782.00	Verified	Correct 0.95%
Sep 3, 2026 01:10	Rule-Based Analysis	Bearish	30%	77,124.86	81,459.00	Verified	Incorrect 5.62%
Sep 3, 2026 00:31	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	90%	77,279.00	77,753.00	Verified	Correct 0.61%
Sep 2, 2026 23:56	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	65%	77,279.00	77,830.00	Verified	Incorrect 0.71%
Sep 2, 2026 23:19	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Bullish	60%	77,370.00	77,429.00	Verified	Incorrect 0.08%

BTC · AI Prediction Accuracy

36.4%

1994 correct of 5475 verified predictions

Verified outcomes Tracked across all timeframes No cherry-picking

Per-provider accuracy

Provider	Total	Correct	Accuracy
FinBERT	151	77	51.0%
GPT-OSS 120B (Groq)	8	4	50.0%
Mistral Small Latest	83	41	49.4%
Llama 3.3 70B Versatile (Groq)	549	214	39.0%
Gemini 2.5 Flash	11	4	36.4%
Rule-Based Analysis not AI	4652	1648	35.4%
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	21	6	28.6%

By timeframe

24h 35.7%

1707 of 4780 predictions

6h 41.3%

280 of 678 predictions

7d 41.2%

7 of 17 predictions