Why This Leveraged S&P 500 ETF Can Lose Money Even When Stocks Rise
Leveraged ETFs promise amplified gains, but SPXL hides a counterintuitive flaw that can turn a rising market into a losing β¦
285.07 USD
USD per share
Trend Flat Sentiment Neutral
Why This Leveraged S&P 500 ETF Can Lose Money Even When Stocks Rise
1 open call across the models tracking this asset.
2 of 129 calls on this asset have reached a verdict (2%).
1 of 1 open model calls on SPXL record no directional lean. Average recorded confidence is 30%. Most were logged against a 24h window.
A description of what the tracked models have logged. Not a recommendation, and not personalised to any reader.
Scored incorrect
Scored incorrect
Expired: no stored price within Β±6h of maturity (2026-08-29 10:40 UTC) for SPXL
Expired: no stored price within Β±6h of maturity (2026-08-29 07:48 UTC) for SPXL
Timezone America/New_York
AI-curated news influencing SPXL price, sentiment, and trend
Leveraged ETFs promise amplified gains, but SPXL hides a counterintuitive flaw that can turn a rising market into a losing β¦
Markets are gearing up for the busiest week of second-quarter earnings season.
SPXL sells a simple promise: three times the daily move of the S&P 500. What its factsheet does not sell β¦
Stocks are already up more than 10% this year. Most strategists would call that a good run and leave it β¦
The S&P 500 is having its worst weekly stretch in a year. Oil prices are surging. Iran war fears are β¦
Explore how sector exposure and risk profiles set these leveraged ETFs apart for traders seeking distinct portfolio dynamics.
Every call logged on SPXL, traced from the source that triggered it to the outcome it was scored against.
rule-based-analysisv1.0rule-based-analysis #296762rule-based-analysisv1.0rule-based-analysis #295058rule-based-analysisv1.0rule-based-analysis #293865rule-based-analysisv1.0rule-based-analysis #292069rule-based-analysisv1.0rule-based-analysis #291718rule-based-analysisv1.0rule-based-analysis #291353rule-based-analysisv1.0rule-based-analysis #290051rule-based-analysisv1.0rule-based-analysis #288334129 calls logged on SPXL, newest first. Nothing is filtered out.
| Logged | Provider | Direction | Confidence | Reference price | Evaluated price | Lifecycle | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2026 11:19 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 189.60 | 285.07 | Verified | Incorrect +50.35% |
| Sep 1, 2026 08:21 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 189.60 | 281.35 | Verified | Incorrect +48.39% |
| Aug 31, 2026 20:30 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 189.60 | 281.35 | Awaiting evaluation | Pending +48.39% |
| Aug 28, 2026 13:40 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 189.60 | 281.35 | Excluded from scoring | Expired: no stored price within Β±6h of maturity (2026-08-29 10:40 UTC) for SPXL +48.39% |
| Aug 28, 2026 10:48 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 189.60 | 281.35 | Excluded from scoring | Expired: no stored price within Β±6h of maturity (2026-08-29 07:48 UTC) for SPXL +48.39% |
| Aug 28, 2026 07:18 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 189.60 | 281.35 | Excluded from scoring | Expired: no stored price within Β±6h of maturity (2026-08-29 04:18 UTC) for SPXL +48.39% |
| Aug 27, 2026 17:03 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 189.60 | 281.35 | Excluded from scoring | Expired: no stored price within Β±6h of maturity (2026-08-28 14:03 UTC) for SPXL +48.39% |
| Aug 27, 2026 00:54 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 189.60 | 281.35 | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: reference price integrity check failed: no stored price within Β±72h of 2026-08-26 21:54:25.533223+00:00 for SPXL (stock) to verify the reference price 189.60000000 against +48.39% |
| Aug 25, 2026 18:37 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 189.60 | β | Excluded from scoring | No price movement recorded for SPXL in the 2 days after its timeframe closed; the symbol appears to have no active price feed |
| Aug 23, 2026 15:51 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 189.60 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Aug 22, 2026 09:47 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 189.60 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Aug 19, 2026 15:00 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 189.60 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Aug 17, 2026 13:47 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 189.60 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Aug 16, 2026 07:09 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 189.60 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Aug 13, 2026 00:07 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 189.60 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Aug 12, 2026 23:48 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 189.60 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Aug 12, 2026 10:01 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 189.60 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Aug 11, 2026 03:28 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 189.60 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Aug 10, 2026 21:51 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 189.60 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Aug 7, 2026 06:27 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 189.60 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Aug 6, 2026 04:19 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 189.60 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Aug 6, 2026 04:06 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 189.60 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Aug 6, 2026 02:19 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 189.60 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Aug 6, 2026 02:13 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 189.60 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Aug 6, 2026 01:43 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 189.60 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Aug 3, 2026 03:00 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 189.60 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Aug 1, 2026 21:30 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 189.60 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Jul 31, 2026 16:22 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 189.60 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Jul 30, 2026 11:31 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 189.60 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Jul 29, 2026 12:42 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 189.60 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Jul 29, 2026 06:21 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 189.60 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Jul 27, 2026 01:55 | Rule-Based Analysis | Bullish | 70% | 189.60 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Jul 26, 2026 17:00 | Llama 3.3 70B Versatile (Groq) | Neutral | 70% | 189.60 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Jul 26, 2026 16:07 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 189.60 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Jul 24, 2026 09:51 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 189.60 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Jul 24, 2026 05:02 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 189.60 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Jul 21, 2026 23:06 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 189.60 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Jul 21, 2026 20:25 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 189.60 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Jul 19, 2026 12:10 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 189.60 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Jul 16, 2026 14:32 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 189.60 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Jul 16, 2026 09:59 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 189.60 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Jul 14, 2026 12:21 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 189.60 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Jul 13, 2026 23:16 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 189.60 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Jul 13, 2026 16:19 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 189.60 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Jul 13, 2026 09:40 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 189.60 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Jul 13, 2026 07:20 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 189.60 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Jul 12, 2026 13:16 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 189.60 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Jul 12, 2026 03:42 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 189.60 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Jul 11, 2026 19:34 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 189.60 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Jul 10, 2026 20:27 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 189.60 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
0.0% 0 correct of 2 verified predictions
| Timeframe | Total | Correct | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24h | 2 | 0 | 0.0% Not ranked |
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