The Bond Market Just Flashed a Rare Warning Seen Twice in 20 Years. History Says the Stock Market Will Do This Next.
History says the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite could be headed for a correction.
26,563.21 USD -0.08% 7d
index points
Trend Down Sentiment Neutral
AI Accuracy on NASDAQ 43.8% 1,759 verified predictions View Leaderboard View accuracy history
Stories on this asset that a model actually logged a call against.
1759 of 4523 calls on this asset have reached a verdict (39%).
Scored correct
Scored incorrect
No price movement recorded for NASDAQ in the 2 days after its timeframe closed; the symbol appears to have no active price feed
No price movement recorded for NASDAQ in the 2 days after its timeframe closed; the symbol appears to have no active price feed
No price movement recorded for NASDAQ in the 2 days after its timeframe closed; the symbol appears to have no active price feed
Timezone America/New_York
Over the last 30 days, AI sentiment for NASDAQ skewed neutral (168 of 345 scored calls). The most accurate provider on this asset is FinBERT at 91.6% across 321 verified calls.
AI-curated news influencing NASDAQ price, sentiment, and trend
History says the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite could be headed for a correction.
Stocks were headed for weekly losses after a bond sell-off this week put pressure on tech and AI stocks.
The benchmark indexes are on track to end the week lower, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq likely to snap …
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The Nasdaq Composite fell 1%. The bond market was a major reason stocks took a tumble. Treasury yields rose on …
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Every call logged on NASDAQ, traced from the source that triggered it to the outcome it was scored against.
rule-based-analysisv1.0rule-based-analysis #297869rule-based-analysisv1.0rule-based-analysis #296110mistral-small-latestv1.0mistral-small-latest #294920mistral-small-latestv1.0mistral-small-latest #294806mistral-small-latestv1.0mistral-small-latest #294810mistral-small-latestv1.0mistral-small-latest #294813rule-based-analysisv1.0rule-based-analysis #294332rule-based-analysisv1.0rule-based-analysis #2942824523 calls logged on NASDAQ, newest first. Nothing is filtered out.
| Logged | Provider | Direction | Confidence | Reference price | Evaluated price | Lifecycle | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2026 01:11 | Rule-Based Analysis | Bullish | 30% | 26,217.83 | 26,584.06 | Verified | Correct +1.40% |
| Sep 2, 2026 01:10 | Rule-Based Analysis | Bearish | 30% | 26,099.77 | 26,217.83 | Verified | Incorrect +0.45% |
| Sep 1, 2026 06:46 | Mistral Small Latest | Bullish | 85% | 26,370.89 | 26,055.44 | Excluded from scoring | No price movement recorded for NASDAQ in the 2 days after its timeframe closed; the symbol appears to have no active price feed -1.20% |
| Sep 1, 2026 06:05 | Mistral Small Latest | Neutral | 60% | 26,370.89 | 26,055.44 | Excluded from scoring | No price movement recorded for NASDAQ in the 2 days after its timeframe closed; the symbol appears to have no active price feed -1.20% |
| Sep 1, 2026 06:02 | Mistral Small Latest | Neutral | 60% | 26,370.89 | 26,055.44 | Excluded from scoring | No price movement recorded for NASDAQ in the 2 days after its timeframe closed; the symbol appears to have no active price feed -1.20% |
| Sep 1, 2026 05:45 | Mistral Small Latest | Neutral | 60% | 26,370.89 | 26,055.44 | Excluded from scoring | No price movement recorded for NASDAQ in the 2 days after its timeframe closed; the symbol appears to have no active price feed -1.20% |
| Sep 1, 2026 01:06 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 26,370.89 | 26,099.77 | Verified | Incorrect -1.03% |
| Sep 1, 2026 00:32 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 26,370.89 | 26,099.77 | Verified | Incorrect -1.03% |
| Sep 1, 2026 00:09 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 26,370.89 | 26,099.77 | Verified | Incorrect -1.03% |
| Sep 1, 2026 00:01 | Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) | Bullish | 85% | 26,370.89 | 26,055.44 | Excluded from scoring | No price movement recorded for NASDAQ in the 2 days after its timeframe closed; the symbol appears to have no active price feed -1.20% |
| Aug 31, 2026 23:44 | Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) | Bearish | 85% | 26,370.89 | 26,099.77 | Verified | Correct -1.03% |
| Aug 31, 2026 23:22 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 26,370.89 | 26,099.77 | Verified | Incorrect -1.03% |
| Aug 31, 2026 23:03 | Rule-Based Analysis | Bearish | 80% | 26,370.89 | 26,055.44 | Excluded from scoring | No price movement recorded for NASDAQ in the 2 days after its timeframe closed; the symbol appears to have no active price feed -1.20% |
| Aug 31, 2026 21:34 | Rule-Based Analysis | Bearish | 30% | 26,302.78 | 26,105.57 | Verified | Incorrect -0.75% |
| Aug 31, 2026 20:56 | Rule-Based Analysis | Bearish | 80% | 26,270.40 | 26,370.89 | Verified | Incorrect +0.38% |
| Aug 31, 2026 20:42 | Rule-Based Analysis | Bearish | 30% | 26,300.37 | 26,126.56 | Verified | Incorrect -0.66% |
| Aug 31, 2026 18:59 | Rule-Based Analysis | Bearish | 60% | 26,370.89 | 26,055.44 | Excluded from scoring | No price movement recorded for NASDAQ in the 2 days after its timeframe closed; the symbol appears to have no active price feed -1.20% |
| Aug 31, 2026 18:30 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 50% | 26,315.51 | 26,370.89 | Verified | Correct +0.21% |
| Aug 31, 2026 18:18 | Rule-Based Analysis | Bearish | 30% | 26,301.78 | 26,165.86 | Verified | Incorrect -0.52% |
| Aug 31, 2026 16:20 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 50% | 26,309.42 | 26,291.48 | Verified | Correct -0.07% |
| Aug 31, 2026 16:01 | Rule-Based Analysis | Bullish | 60% | 26,309.42 | 26,270.40 | Verified | Incorrect -0.15% |
| Aug 31, 2026 15:40 | Rule-Based Analysis | Bearish | 70% | 26,309.42 | 26,302.78 | Verified | Incorrect -0.03% |
| Aug 31, 2026 13:40 | Rule-Based Analysis | Bearish | 60% | 26,402.42 | 26,282.59 | Verified | Incorrect -0.45% |
| Aug 31, 2026 11:58 | Rule-Based Analysis | Bearish | 70% | 26,370.89 | 26,307.42 | Verified | Incorrect -0.24% |
| Aug 31, 2026 11:33 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 50% | 26,402.42 | 26,290.06 | Verified | Correct -0.43% |
| Aug 31, 2026 09:24 | Rule-Based Analysis | Bearish | 60% | 26,402.42 | 26,055.44 | Excluded from scoring | No price movement recorded for NASDAQ in the 2 days after its timeframe closed; the symbol appears to have no active price feed -1.31% |
| Aug 31, 2026 08:36 | Rule-Based Analysis | Bearish | 30% | 26,402.42 | 26,370.89 | Verified | Incorrect -0.12% |
| Aug 31, 2026 08:20 | Rule-Based Analysis | Bearish | 30% | 26,402.42 | 26,370.89 | Verified | Incorrect -0.12% |
| Aug 31, 2026 08:00 | Rule-Based Analysis | Bearish | 70% | 26,370.89 | 26,402.42 | Verified | Incorrect +0.12% |
| Aug 31, 2026 07:53 | Rule-Based Analysis | Bearish | 30% | 26,402.42 | 26,370.89 | Verified | Incorrect -0.12% |
| Aug 31, 2026 07:39 | Rule-Based Analysis | Bearish | 30% | 26,402.42 | 26,370.89 | Verified | Incorrect -0.12% |
| Aug 31, 2026 06:56 | Rule-Based Analysis | Bearish | 30% | 26,402.42 | 26,370.89 | Verified | Incorrect -0.12% |
| Aug 31, 2026 05:41 | Rule-Based Analysis | Bearish | 30% | 26,402.42 | 26,370.89 | Verified | Incorrect -0.12% |
| Aug 31, 2026 05:13 | Rule-Based Analysis | Bearish | 60% | 26,402.42 | 26,055.44 | Excluded from scoring | No price movement recorded for NASDAQ in the 2 days after its timeframe closed; the symbol appears to have no active price feed -1.31% |
| Aug 28, 2026 17:16 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 50% | 26,649.45 | 26,402.42 | Verified | Correct -0.93% |
| Aug 28, 2026 15:42 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 50% | 26,549.32 | 26,403.11 | Verified | Correct -0.55% |
| Aug 28, 2026 15:04 | Rule-Based Analysis | Bullish | 30% | 26,541.35 | 26,402.42 | Verified | Incorrect -0.52% |
| Aug 28, 2026 15:00 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 50% | 26,541.35 | 26,435.01 | Verified | Correct -0.40% |
| Aug 28, 2026 14:50 | Rule-Based Analysis | Bullish | 70% | 26,541.35 | 26,401.43 | Verified | Incorrect -0.53% |
| Aug 28, 2026 14:10 | Rule-Based Analysis | Bullish | 30% | 26,541.35 | 26,402.42 | Verified | Incorrect -0.52% |
| Aug 28, 2026 13:37 | Rule-Based Analysis | Bullish | 60% | 26,541.35 | 26,441.71 | Verified | Incorrect -0.38% |
| Aug 28, 2026 13:08 | Rule-Based Analysis | Bullish | 30% | 26,541.35 | 26,402.42 | Verified | Incorrect -0.52% |
| Aug 28, 2026 12:22 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 50% | 26,541.35 | 26,644.51 | Verified | Correct +0.39% |
| Aug 28, 2026 12:19 | Rule-Based Analysis | Bullish | 30% | 26,541.35 | 26,402.42 | Verified | Incorrect -0.52% |
| Aug 28, 2026 12:02 | Rule-Based Analysis | Bullish | 30% | 26,541.35 | 26,402.42 | Verified | Incorrect -0.52% |
| Aug 28, 2026 11:50 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 50% | 26,541.35 | 26,649.45 | Verified | Correct +0.41% |
| Aug 28, 2026 11:49 | Rule-Based Analysis | Bullish | 60% | 26,541.35 | 26,649.45 | Verified | Incorrect +0.41% |
| Aug 28, 2026 11:20 | Rule-Based Analysis | Bullish | 70% | 26,541.35 | 26,456.99 | Verified | Incorrect -0.32% |
| Aug 28, 2026 11:15 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 50% | 26,541.35 | 26,456.99 | Verified | Correct -0.32% |
| Aug 28, 2026 07:24 | Rule-Based Analysis | Bullish | 30% | 26,541.35 | 26,402.42 | Verified | Incorrect -0.52% |
43.8% 771 correct of 1759 verified predictions
| Provider | Total | Correct | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|
| FinBERT | 321 | 294 | 91.6% |
| Llama 3.3 70B Versatile (Groq) | 119 | 44 | 37.0% |
| Rule-Based Analysis not AI | 1316 | 432 | 32.8% |
| Timeframe | Total | Correct | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24h | 548 | 69 | 12.6% |
| 6h | 1210 | 702 | 58.0% |
| 7d | 1 | 0 | 0.0% Not ranked |
Multi-Provider AI Analysis