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NASDAQ Index

Current 26480.58 USD

Trend Up

Sentiment Bullish

AI Accuracy on NASDAQ 41.4% (3,015 verified predictions)

View Leaderboard → View accuracy history →

NASDAQ at a glance

26,480.58 USD

index points

Market: Open Nasdaq
Data: Delayed Stored snapshot (index) · 7 minutes ago
Volatility regime: Low 0.66% daily deviation over 30 sessions

Dominant narrative

S&P 500, Dow, Nasdaq futures flat as yields ease Thursday

Yahoo Finance · 3 hours, 46 minutes ago · Article tone: Neutral

Related events

Stories on this asset that a model actually logged a call against.

DeFi Development Corp proposes $20 million preferred stock offering to buy more SOL Sep 1 · Bullish · Awaiting evaluation
The Nasdaq Has Fallen in 48% of Septembers Since 1971. Here's What That Means … Sep 1 · Neutral · Awaiting evaluation
Dow Futures Climb While S&P 500, Nasdaq Futures Slide After Strong August Rally: TTWO, … Sep 1 · Neutral · Awaiting evaluation
The Nasdaq Has Fallen in 48% of Septembers Since 1971. Here's What That Means … Sep 1 · Neutral · Awaiting evaluation
Strive Adds $143 Million in Bitcoin as Treasury Firms Pile Back In Sep 1 · Bullish · Awaiting evaluation

Model agreement

1 open call across the models tracking this asset.

Bullish 1 · 100%

Rule-Based Analysis Bullish

Verification state

3015 of 4523 calls on this asset have reached a verdict (67%).

Generated 4523
Awaiting evaluation 1
Verified 3015
Excluded 1507

How these are scored

Observed bias

Bullish

1 of 1 open model calls on NASDAQ lean higher. Average recorded confidence is 30%. Most were logged against a 24h window.

Agreement: 1 of 1 open calls
Confidence: 30% What confidence means
Horizon: 24h
Invalidating condition: A sustained move below 25,156.55 USD — the observed support level — would remove the basis for this reading.

Supporting evidence

Technical reading logged by Rule-Based Analysis Rule-Based Analysis · Sep 3 01:11

A description of what the tracked models have logged. Not a recommendation, and not personalised to any reader.

Calls on this asset

How these are scored

Rule-Based Analysis not AI Bullish 30% Sep 3 01:11 · 24h

Generated 6h 24h Verified
Rule-Based Analysis not AI Bearish 30% Sep 2 01:10 · 24h

Generated 6h 24h Verified

Scored incorrect
Mistral Small Latest Bullish 85% Sep 1 06:46 · 6h

Generated 6h Excluded

Excluded: the only stored price at maturity equals the entry price, so no move can be measured (rescore_legacy_evaluations)
Mistral Small Latest Neutral 60% Sep 1 06:05 · 6h

Generated 6h Excluded

Excluded: the only stored price at maturity equals the entry price, so no move can be measured (rescore_legacy_evaluations)
Mistral Small Latest Neutral 60% Sep 1 06:02 · 6h

Generated 6h Excluded

Excluded: the only stored price at maturity equals the entry price, so no move can be measured (rescore_legacy_evaluations)

Price Chart

📈

Loading chart for NASDAQ...

Quick Overview

Trend ↗ Up

Volatility Low

Sentiment 😊 Bullish

Data Status

Delayed

Stored snapshot (index)

Limited history — some indicators are estimated

Detailed Market Analysis

Key Levels

Support

25156.55 USD

Resistance

27804.61 USD

Volume & Momentum

Volume

Strong

1.5x avg

Momentum

+1%

Weak

Technical Context

Current price

26480.58 USD

RSI context

Market Sentiment

Bullish

Crypto Metrics

24H VOL

7D CHANGE

+1%

VOLATILITY

Low

Asset Intelligence Dossier

Currency: USD
Quoted in: index points
Exchange: Nasdaq
Timezone: America/New_York
Market: Open

Over the last 30 days, AI sentiment for NASDAQ skewed neutral (175 of 365 scored calls). The most accurate provider on this asset is FinBERT at 91.6% across 332 verified calls.

Provider track record

FinBERT

304/332 verified calls

91.6%

Rule-Based Analysis

581/1399 verified calls

41.5%

Llama 3.1 8B Instant (Groq)

214/533 verified calls

40.2%

Llama 3.3 70B Versatile (Groq)

89/236 verified calls

37.7%

Rule-Based Analysis

54/505 verified calls

10.7%

Gemini 2.5 Flash

5/9 verified calls

Insufficient sample · n=9

Confidence trend

43%

▲ 5.7 pts vs previous week

Avg confidence across 91 calls in the last 7 days

What sources say

Neutral 175 articles

The Nasdaq Has Fallen in 48% of Septembers Since 1971. Here's What That Means for Nvidia and Micron.

Dow Futures Climb While S&P 500, Nasdaq Futures Slide After Strong August Rally: TTWO, TSLA, EIX, MDB Stocks In Focus

Nvidia's AI Boom Is Starting to Resemble 1980s Japan, Former NYT Tokyo Bureau Chief Warns

Bullish 132 articles

DeFi Development Corp proposes $20 million preferred stock offering to buy more SOL

Strive Adds $143 Million in Bitcoin as Treasury Firms Pile Back In

Bitcoin Is Trading Like Gold, Not the Nasdaq — And Right Now That's the Problem

Bearish 58 articles

Strategy Opposes MSCI Proposal, Says Bitcoin Treasury Firms Are Being Targeted a Second Time

Stocks Wrap Best August Since 2021. September Could Be Tricky.

Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq Fall as Middle East Conflict Lifts Oil Prices

NASDAQ News Intelligence (5382 articles)

AI-curated news influencing NASDAQ price, sentiment, and trend

Explore All NASDAQ News with AI Analysis

Economy

3 hours, 46 minutes ago

S&P 500, Dow, Nasdaq futures flat as yields ease Thursday

Stock index futures wavered Thursday morning after major indexes snapped three-day losing streaks in the prior session

AI analysis in progress... Processing

Yahoo Finance

Economy

5 hours, 30 minutes ago

US Futures Steady as Oil Prices Ease and Markets Assess Broadcom Outlook: Dow Jones, S&P, Nasdaq, Wall Street

US stock futures were broadly unchanged as investors assessed developments in the US-Iran conflict, the interest-rate outlook and corporate updates …

AI analysis in progress... Processing

Yahoo Finance

Economy

6 hours, 28 minutes ago

Stock Futures Rise as Bond Selloff Grinds to a Halt

Stocks were set to open higher on Thursday as bond yields retreated, which could help ease fears about the surge …

AI analysis in progress... Processing

Yahoo Finance

Stocks

20 hours, 2 minutes ago

Traders are piling into this international stock market that just pulled ahead of the Nasdaq

The rally might be tied to commodities, which are also surging, or an expression of optimism around the country's upcoming …

Impact on NASDAQ: The article does not name specific assets or sectors, making it impossible …

The article reports a rally in an unspecified international stock market that has outperformed the … Medium (40%)

View full analysis →

CNBC 40% confidence

Stocks

1 day, 21 hours ago

Why Is Apple Stock Up Today?

Apple stock jumped 2.5% Tuesday while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq both fell, and the reason is a name change …

Impact on NASDAQ: The article reports a 2.5% price increase for AAPL tied to the …

Apple stock rose 2.5% on Tuesday after the company announced that John Ternus is officially … High (92%)

View full analysis →

The Motley Fool 92% confidence

Cryptocurrency

2 days, 11 hours ago

DeFi Development Corp proposes $20 million preferred stock offering to buy more SOL

The Nasdaq-listed company intends to use the proceeds to acquire more Solana and crypto-related investments.

Impact on NASDAQ: The proposed offering could increase demand for SOL by directing capital toward …

DeFi Development Corp, a Nasdaq-listed company, announced a proposed $20 million preferred stock offering to … High (85%)

View full analysis →

The Block 85% confidence

1 2 3 Next

AI evidence

Every call logged on NASDAQ, traced from the source that triggered it to the outcome it was scored against.

Rule-Based Analysis Awaiting evaluation Sep 3, 2026 01:11

Direction
Bullish

Confidence
30%

Reference price
26,217.83

Verification window
24h

Outcome

Not yet due

Evidence

Source Technical analysis pipeline

Claim Bullish reading on NASDAQ

Affected assets NASDAQ

AI inference Bullish · 30%

Reference price 26,217.83

Verification window 24h

Actual outcome Awaiting evaluation

Provenance

Provider
Rule-Based Analysis

Model version

Not recorded for this call

Methodology version

Scored before versions were recorded

Record

rule-based-analysis #297869
Rule-Based Analysis Verified Sep 2, 2026 01:10

Direction
Bearish

Confidence
30%

Reference price
26,099.77

Verification window
24h

Outcome

Incorrect 0.45%

Evidence

Source Technical analysis pipeline

Claim Bearish reading on NASDAQ

Affected assets NASDAQ

AI inference Bearish · 30%

Reference price 26,099.77

Verification window 24h

Actual outcome Incorrect · +0.45%

Provenance

Provider
Rule-Based Analysis

Model version

rule-based-analysis

Methodology version

v1.0

Record

rule-based-analysis #296110
Mistral Small Latest Excluded from scoring Sep 1, 2026 06:46

Claim

DeFi Development Corp proposes $20 million preferred stock offering to buy more SOL

Direction
Bullish

Confidence
85%

Reference price
26,370.89

Verification window
6h

Outcome

Excluded: the only stored price at maturity equals the entry price, so no move can be measured (rescore_legacy_evaluations) -1.20%

Evidence

Source The Block

Claim DeFi Development Corp proposes $20 million preferred stock offering to buy more SOL

Affected assets NASDAQ, SOL

AI inference Bullish · 85%

Generated 2026-09-01 03:46

AI inference Bullish · 85%

Reference price 26,370.89

Verification window 6h

Actual outcome Excluded: the only stored price at maturity equals the entry price, so no move can be measured (rescore_legacy_evaluations)

Provenance

Provider
Mistral Small Latest

Model version

mistral-small-latest

Methodology version

v1.0

Record

mistral-small-latest #294920
Mistral Small Latest Excluded from scoring Sep 1, 2026 06:05

Claim

The Nasdaq Has Fallen in 48% of Septembers Since 1971. Here's What That Means for Nvidia …

Direction
Neutral

Confidence
60%

Reference price
26,370.89

Verification window
6h

Outcome

Excluded: the only stored price at maturity equals the entry price, so no move can be measured (rescore_legacy_evaluations) -1.20%

Evidence

Source Yahoo Finance

Claim The Nasdaq Has Fallen in 48% of Septembers Since 1971. Here's What That Means for Nvidia and Micron.

Affected assets NASDAQ, NVDA, MU

AI inference Neutral · 60%

Generated 2026-09-01 03:05

AI inference Neutral · 60%

Reference price 26,370.89

Verification window 6h

Actual outcome Excluded: the only stored price at maturity equals the entry price, so no move can be measured (rescore_legacy_evaluations)

Provenance

Provider
Mistral Small Latest

Model version

mistral-small-latest

Methodology version

v1.0

Record

mistral-small-latest #294806
Mistral Small Latest Excluded from scoring Sep 1, 2026 06:02

Claim

Dow Futures Climb While S&P 500, Nasdaq Futures Slide After Strong August Rally: TTWO, TSLA, EIX, …

Direction
Neutral

Confidence
60%

Reference price
26,370.89

Verification window
6h

Outcome

Excluded: the only stored price at maturity equals the entry price, so no move can be measured (rescore_legacy_evaluations) -1.20%

Evidence

Source Yahoo Finance

Claim Dow Futures Climb While S&P 500, Nasdaq Futures Slide After Strong August Rally: TTWO, TSLA, EIX, MDB Stocks In Focus

Affected assets DOW, MDB, NASDAQ, TSLA, TTWO, EIX

AI inference Neutral · 60%

Generated 2026-09-01 03:02

AI inference Neutral · 60%

Reference price 26,370.89

Verification window 6h

Actual outcome Excluded: the only stored price at maturity equals the entry price, so no move can be measured (rescore_legacy_evaluations)

Provenance

Provider
Mistral Small Latest

Model version

mistral-small-latest

Methodology version

v1.0

Record

mistral-small-latest #294810
Mistral Small Latest Excluded from scoring Sep 1, 2026 05:45

Claim

The Nasdaq Has Fallen in 48% of Septembers Since 1971. Here's What That Means for Nvidia …

Direction
Neutral

Confidence
60%

Reference price
26,370.89

Verification window
6h

Outcome

Excluded: the only stored price at maturity equals the entry price, so no move can be measured (rescore_legacy_evaluations) -1.20%

Evidence

Source The Motley Fool

Claim The Nasdaq Has Fallen in 48% of Septembers Since 1971. Here's What That Means for Nvidia and Micron.

Affected assets NASDAQ, NVDA, MU

AI inference Neutral · 60%

Generated 2026-09-01 02:45

AI inference Neutral · 60%

Reference price 26,370.89

Verification window 6h

Actual outcome Excluded: the only stored price at maturity equals the entry price, so no move can be measured (rescore_legacy_evaluations)

Provenance

Provider
Mistral Small Latest

Model version

mistral-small-latest

Methodology version

v1.0

Record

mistral-small-latest #294813
Rule-Based Analysis Verified Sep 1, 2026 01:06

Direction
Neutral

Confidence
30%

Reference price
26,370.89

Verification window
24h

Outcome

Incorrect -1.03%

Evidence

Source Technical analysis pipeline

Claim Neutral reading on NASDAQ

Affected assets NASDAQ

AI inference Neutral · 30%

Reference price 26,370.89

Verification window 24h

Actual outcome Incorrect · -1.03%

Provenance

Provider
Rule-Based Analysis

Model version

rule-based-analysis

Methodology version

v1.0

Record

rule-based-analysis #294332
Rule-Based Analysis Verified Sep 1, 2026 00:32

Direction
Neutral

Confidence
30%

Reference price
26,370.89

Verification window
24h

Outcome

Incorrect -1.03%

Evidence

Source Technical analysis pipeline

Claim Neutral reading on NASDAQ

Affected assets NASDAQ

AI inference Neutral · 30%

Reference price 26,370.89

Verification window 24h

Actual outcome Incorrect · -1.03%

Provenance

Provider
Rule-Based Analysis

Model version

rule-based-analysis

Methodology version

v1.0

Record

rule-based-analysis #294282

Prediction history

4523 calls logged on NASDAQ, newest first. Nothing is filtered out.

Logged model predictions for NASDAQ
Logged	Provider	Direction	Confidence	Reference price	Evaluated price	Lifecycle	Outcome
Sep 3, 2026 01:11	Rule-Based Analysis	Bullish	30%	26,217.83	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 2, 2026 01:10	Rule-Based Analysis	Bearish	30%	26,099.77	26,217.83	Verified	Incorrect 0.45%
Sep 1, 2026 06:46	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	85%	26,370.89	26,055.44	Excluded from scoring	Excluded: the only stored price at maturity equals the entry price, so no move can be measured (rescore_legacy_evaluations) -1.20%
Sep 1, 2026 06:05	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	60%	26,370.89	26,055.44	Excluded from scoring	Excluded: the only stored price at maturity equals the entry price, so no move can be measured (rescore_legacy_evaluations) -1.20%
Sep 1, 2026 06:02	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	60%	26,370.89	26,055.44	Excluded from scoring	Excluded: the only stored price at maturity equals the entry price, so no move can be measured (rescore_legacy_evaluations) -1.20%
Sep 1, 2026 05:45	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	60%	26,370.89	26,055.44	Excluded from scoring	Excluded: the only stored price at maturity equals the entry price, so no move can be measured (rescore_legacy_evaluations) -1.20%
Sep 1, 2026 01:06	Rule-Based Analysis	Neutral	30%	26,370.89	26,099.77	Verified	Incorrect -1.03%
Sep 1, 2026 00:32	Rule-Based Analysis	Neutral	30%	26,370.89	26,099.77	Verified	Incorrect -1.03%
Sep 1, 2026 00:09	Rule-Based Analysis	Neutral	30%	26,370.89	26,099.77	Verified	Incorrect -1.03%
Sep 1, 2026 00:01	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Bullish	85%	26,370.89	26,055.44	Excluded from scoring	Excluded: the only stored price at maturity equals the entry price, so no move can be measured (rescore_legacy_evaluations) -1.20%
Aug 31, 2026 23:44	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Bearish	85%	26,370.89	26,099.77	Verified	Correct -1.03%
Aug 31, 2026 23:22	Rule-Based Analysis	Neutral	30%	26,370.89	26,099.77	Verified	Incorrect -1.03%
Aug 31, 2026 23:03	Rule-Based Analysis	Bearish	80%	26,370.89	26,055.44	Excluded from scoring	Excluded: the only stored price at maturity equals the entry price, so no move can be measured (rescore_legacy_evaluations) -1.20%
Aug 31, 2026 21:34	Rule-Based Analysis	Bearish	30%	26,302.78	26,105.57	Verified	Incorrect -0.75%
Aug 31, 2026 20:56	Rule-Based Analysis	Bearish	80%	26,270.40	26,370.89	Verified	Incorrect 0.38%
Aug 31, 2026 20:42	Rule-Based Analysis	Bearish	30%	26,300.37	26,126.56	Verified	Incorrect -0.66%
Aug 31, 2026 18:59	Rule-Based Analysis	Bearish	60%	26,370.89	26,055.44	Excluded from scoring	Excluded: the only stored price at maturity equals the entry price, so no move can be measured (rescore_legacy_evaluations) -1.20%
Aug 31, 2026 18:30	Rule-Based Analysis	Neutral	50%	26,315.51	26,370.89	Verified	Correct 0.21%
Aug 31, 2026 18:18	Rule-Based Analysis	Bearish	30%	26,301.78	26,165.86	Verified	Incorrect -0.52%
Aug 31, 2026 16:20	Rule-Based Analysis	Neutral	50%	26,309.42	26,291.48	Verified	Correct -0.07%
Aug 31, 2026 16:01	Rule-Based Analysis	Bullish	60%	26,309.42	26,270.40	Verified	Incorrect -0.15%
Aug 31, 2026 15:40	Rule-Based Analysis	Bearish	70%	26,309.42	26,302.78	Verified	Incorrect -0.03%
Aug 31, 2026 13:40	Rule-Based Analysis	Bearish	60%	26,402.42	26,282.59	Verified	Incorrect -0.45%
Aug 31, 2026 11:58	Rule-Based Analysis	Bearish	70%	26,370.89	26,307.42	Verified	Incorrect -0.24%
Aug 31, 2026 11:33	Rule-Based Analysis	Neutral	50%	26,402.42	26,290.06	Verified	Correct -0.43%
Aug 31, 2026 09:24	Rule-Based Analysis	Bearish	60%	26,402.42	26,055.44	Excluded from scoring	Excluded: the only stored price at maturity equals the entry price, so no move can be measured (rescore_legacy_evaluations) -1.31%
Aug 31, 2026 08:36	Rule-Based Analysis	Bearish	30%	26,402.42	26,370.89	Verified	Incorrect -0.12%
Aug 31, 2026 08:20	Rule-Based Analysis	Bearish	30%	26,402.42	26,370.89	Verified	Incorrect -0.12%
Aug 31, 2026 08:00	Rule-Based Analysis	Bearish	70%	26,370.89	26,402.42	Verified	Incorrect 0.12%
Aug 31, 2026 07:53	Rule-Based Analysis	Bearish	30%	26,402.42	26,370.89	Verified	Incorrect -0.12%
Aug 31, 2026 07:39	Rule-Based Analysis	Bearish	30%	26,402.42	26,370.89	Verified	Incorrect -0.12%
Aug 31, 2026 06:56	Rule-Based Analysis	Bearish	30%	26,402.42	26,370.89	Verified	Incorrect -0.12%
Aug 31, 2026 05:41	Rule-Based Analysis	Bearish	30%	26,402.42	26,370.89	Verified	Incorrect -0.12%
Aug 31, 2026 05:13	Rule-Based Analysis	Bearish	60%	26,402.42	26,055.44	Excluded from scoring	Excluded: the only stored price at maturity equals the entry price, so no move can be measured (rescore_legacy_evaluations) -1.31%
Aug 28, 2026 17:16	Rule-Based Analysis	Neutral	50%	26,649.45	26,402.42	Verified	Correct -0.93%
Aug 28, 2026 15:42	Rule-Based Analysis	Neutral	50%	26,549.32	26,403.11	Verified	Correct -0.55%
Aug 28, 2026 15:04	Rule-Based Analysis	Bullish	30%	26,541.35	26,402.42	Verified	Incorrect -0.52%
Aug 28, 2026 15:00	Rule-Based Analysis	Neutral	50%	26,541.35	26,435.01	Verified	Correct -0.40%
Aug 28, 2026 14:50	Rule-Based Analysis	Bullish	70%	26,541.35	26,401.43	Verified	Incorrect -0.53%
Aug 28, 2026 14:10	Rule-Based Analysis	Bullish	30%	26,541.35	26,402.42	Verified	Incorrect -0.52%
Aug 28, 2026 13:37	Rule-Based Analysis	Bullish	60%	26,541.35	26,441.71	Verified	Incorrect -0.38%
Aug 28, 2026 13:08	Rule-Based Analysis	Bullish	30%	26,541.35	26,402.42	Verified	Incorrect -0.52%
Aug 28, 2026 12:22	Rule-Based Analysis	Neutral	50%	26,541.35	26,644.51	Verified	Correct 0.39%
Aug 28, 2026 12:19	Rule-Based Analysis	Bullish	30%	26,541.35	26,402.42	Verified	Incorrect -0.52%
Aug 28, 2026 12:02	Rule-Based Analysis	Bullish	30%	26,541.35	26,402.42	Verified	Incorrect -0.52%
Aug 28, 2026 11:50	Rule-Based Analysis	Neutral	50%	26,541.35	26,649.45	Verified	Correct 0.41%
Aug 28, 2026 11:49	Rule-Based Analysis	Bullish	60%	26,541.35	26,649.45	Verified	Incorrect 0.41%
Aug 28, 2026 11:20	Rule-Based Analysis	Bullish	70%	26,541.35	26,456.99	Verified	Incorrect -0.32%
Aug 28, 2026 11:15	Rule-Based Analysis	Neutral	50%	26,541.35	26,456.99	Verified	Correct -0.32%
Aug 28, 2026 07:24	Rule-Based Analysis	Bullish	30%	26,541.35	26,402.42	Verified	Incorrect -0.52%

NASDAQ · AI Prediction Accuracy

41.4%

1248 correct of 3015 verified predictions

Verified outcomes Tracked across all timeframes No cherry-picking

Per-provider accuracy

Provider	Total	Correct	Accuracy
FinBERT	332	304	91.6%
Gemini 2.5 Flash	9	5	55.6%
Llama 3.1 8B Instant (Groq)	533	214	40.2%
Llama 3.3 70B Versatile (Groq)	236	89	37.7%
Rule-Based Analysis not AI	1904	635	33.4%

By timeframe

24h 14.5%

82 of 566 predictions

6h 47.7%

1166 of 2447 predictions

7d 0.0%

0 of 2 predictions

Recent verified predictions

✗

bearish Rule-Based Analysis 30% conf. · 24h

Sep 3, 2026 17:36 UTC · Move: 0.45%

✗

bearish Rule-Based Analysis 70% conf. · 6h

Sep 3, 2026 17:35 UTC · Move: 0.12%

✗

bearish Rule-Based Analysis 70% conf. · 6h

Sep 3, 2026 17:35 UTC · Move: -0.24%

✗

neutral Rule-Based Analysis 30% conf. · 24h