BTC at a glance
81,060.00
USD
USD per coin
- Market
-
Open
- Data
-
Live
Stored snapshot (BTC)
·
0 minutes ago
- Range
-
24h 81,018.24 – 81,427.75
- Volatility regime
-
Normal
2.43%
daily deviation over 29 sessions
Dominant narrative
Scan reveals 96,000 fake-address outputs clogging Bitcoin’s unspent database
CryptoSlate · 33 minutes ago
· Article tone: Neutral
· Model direction: Neutral
If the UTXO bloat leads to higher node operating costs or slower transaction processing, it could pressure Bitcoin‑related equities such as COIN (Coinbase) and mining firms like RIOT and MARA, whose valuations are sensitive to Bitcoin network health.
Related events
Stories on this asset that a model actually logged a call against.
Model agreement
23 open calls across the models tracking this asset.
-
Bullish
12 · 52%
-
Neutral
10 · 43%
-
Bearish
1 · 4%
The models do not agree. The split is shown rather than a single direction.
- Mistral Small Latest Bullish
- Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) Neutral
Verification state
5397 of 10963 calls on this asset have reached a verdict
(49%).
-
Generated
10963
-
Awaiting evaluation
23
-
Verified
5397
-
Excluded
5543
How these are scored →
Observed bias
▲
Bullish
12 of 23 open model calls on BTC lean higher. Average recorded confidence is 67%. Most were logged against a 6h window.
- Agreement
- 12 of 23 open calls
- Horizon
- 6h
- Invalidating condition
-
A sustained move below 80,930.92 USD — the observed support level — would remove the basis for this reading.
-
Mistral Small Latest
Bearish
75%
Sep 4 01:19 · 6h
Generated
→
6h
→
Verified
-
Mistral Small Latest
Neutral
85%
Sep 4 01:14 · 6h
Generated
→
6h
→
Verified
-
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
Neutral
60%
Sep 4 01:06 · 6h
Generated
→
6h
→
Verified
-
Mistral Small Latest
Neutral
75%
Sep 4 00:31 · 6h
Generated
→
6h
→
Verified
-
Mistral Small Latest
Bullish
85%
Sep 4 00:06 · 6h
Generated
→
6h
→
Verified
Price Chart
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Detailed Market Analysis
Current price
81092.01 USD
Asset Intelligence Dossier
- Currency
- USD
- Quoted in
- USD per coin
- Exchange
- crypto
- Timezone
- UTC
- Market
-
Open
Over the last 30 days, AI sentiment for BTC skewed neutral (130 of 336 scored calls). The most accurate provider on this asset is Mistral Small Latest at 51.9% across 77 verified calls.
Provider track record
Mistral Small Latest
40/77 verified calls
51.9%
FinBERT
77/151 verified calls
51.0%
Llama 3.3 70B Versatile (Groq)
214/549 verified calls
39.0%
Rule-Based Analysis
1591/4424 verified calls
36.0%
Rule-Based Analysis
55/157 verified calls
35.0%
GPT-OSS 120B (Groq)
4/8 verified calls
Insufficient sample · n=8
Gemini 2.5 Flash
4/11 verified calls
Insufficient sample · n=11
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
6/20 verified calls
Insufficient sample · n=20
Confidence trend
59%
▲
23.4 pts vs previous week
Avg confidence across 193 calls in the last 7 days
What sources say
Neutral
130 articles
BitMEX Co-Founder Funded Reform UK Before Shutting Down the Exchange
ProCap Financial sells 50 Bitcoin to repurchase shares at 40% discount
Bitcoin-Gold Correlation Hits Six-Year High as Debasement Fears Mount
Bullish
119 articles
Crypto Market Today, Sept. 3: Bitcoin Reclaims $81,000 on Fed Rate Pause Signals
Bitcoin Surges Above Key Moving Average, Key Resistance About to Crack
Block reports $433M in unrealized Bitcoin gains under Dorsey
Bearish
87 articles
Bitcoin Bear Market May Not Yet Be Over, Says Fidelity
Bitcoin experiences extreme fund flows for six consecutive days, a pattern that historically precedes price drops
Fed Rate Cut Odds Slashed as Kalshi September Hike Bets Reach 60%–68%
AI evidence
Every call logged on BTC, traced from the source that triggered it to the outcome it was scored against.
-
Mistral Small Latest
Awaiting evaluation
Sep 4, 2026 01:19
- Direction
- Bearish
- Confidence
- 75%
- Reference price
- 81,395.00
- Verification window
- 6h
- Outcome
-
Not yet due
Evidence
Claim
Bitcoin Bear Market May Not Yet Be Over, Says Fidelity
Affected assets
BTC, COIN, MSTR
AI inference
Bearish · 75%
Generated
2026-09-03 22:19
AI inference
Bearish · 75%
Reference price
81,395
Verification window
6h
Actual outcome
Awaiting evaluation
Provenance
- Provider
- Mistral Small Latest
- Model version
- Not recorded for this call
- Methodology version
- Scored before versions were recorded
- Record
mistral-small-latest #298917
-
Mistral Small Latest
Awaiting evaluation
Sep 4, 2026 01:14
- Direction
- Neutral
- Confidence
- 85%
- Reference price
- 81,360.00
- Verification window
- 6h
- Outcome
-
Not yet due
Evidence
Claim
BitMEX Co-Founder Funded Reform UK Before Shutting Down the Exchange
Affected assets
BTC, BITO, MSTR, COIN, RIOT
AI inference
Neutral · 85%
Generated
2026-09-03 22:14
AI inference
Neutral · 85%
Reference price
81,360
Verification window
6h
Actual outcome
Awaiting evaluation
Provenance
- Provider
- Mistral Small Latest
- Model version
- Not recorded for this call
- Methodology version
- Scored before versions were recorded
- Record
mistral-small-latest #298923
-
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
Awaiting evaluation
Sep 4, 2026 01:06
- Direction
- Neutral
- Confidence
- 60%
- Reference price
- 81,456.00
- Verification window
- 6h
- Outcome
-
Not yet due
Evidence
Claim
ProCap Financial sells 50 Bitcoin to repurchase shares at 40% discount
Affected assets
BTC
AI inference
Neutral · 60%
Generated
2026-09-03 22:06
AI inference
Neutral · 60%
Reference price
81,456
Verification window
6h
Actual outcome
Awaiting evaluation
Provenance
- Provider
- Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
- Model version
- Not recorded for this call
- Methodology version
- Scored before versions were recorded
- Record
groq-reasoning-qwen/qwen3.8-27b #298939
-
Mistral Small Latest
Awaiting evaluation
Sep 4, 2026 00:31
- Direction
- Neutral
- Confidence
- 75%
- Reference price
- 81,608.00
- Verification window
- 6h
- Outcome
-
Not yet due
Evidence
Claim
Bitcoin-Gold Correlation Hits Six-Year High as Debasement Fears Mount
Affected assets
BTC
AI inference
Neutral · 75%
Generated
2026-09-03 21:31
AI inference
Neutral · 75%
Reference price
81,608
Verification window
6h
Actual outcome
Awaiting evaluation
Provenance
- Provider
- Mistral Small Latest
- Model version
- Not recorded for this call
- Methodology version
- Scored before versions were recorded
- Record
mistral-small-latest #298878
-
Mistral Small Latest
Awaiting evaluation
Sep 4, 2026 00:06
- Direction
- Bullish
- Confidence
- 85%
- Reference price
- 81,458.00
- Verification window
- 6h
- Outcome
-
Not yet due
Evidence
Claim
Crypto Market Today, Sept. 3: Bitcoin Reclaims $81,000 on Fed Rate Pause Signals
Affected assets
BTC
AI inference
Bullish · 85%
Generated
2026-09-03 21:06
AI inference
Bullish · 85%
Reference price
81,458
Verification window
6h
Actual outcome
Awaiting evaluation
Provenance
- Provider
- Mistral Small Latest
- Model version
- Not recorded for this call
- Methodology version
- Scored before versions were recorded
- Record
mistral-small-latest #298890
-
Mistral Small Latest
Awaiting evaluation
Sep 3, 2026 23:39
- Direction
- Bullish
- Confidence
- 70%
- Reference price
- 81,442.00
- Verification window
- 6h
- Outcome
-
Not yet due
Evidence
Claim
Bitcoin Surges Above Key Moving Average, Key Resistance About to Crack
Affected assets
BTC
AI inference
Bullish · 70%
Generated
2026-09-03 20:39
AI inference
Bullish · 70%
Reference price
81,442
Verification window
6h
Actual outcome
Awaiting evaluation
Provenance
- Provider
- Mistral Small Latest
- Model version
- Not recorded for this call
- Methodology version
- Scored before versions were recorded
- Record
mistral-small-latest #298906
-
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
Awaiting evaluation
Sep 3, 2026 22:41
- Direction
- Bullish
- Confidence
- 75%
- Reference price
- 81,461.00
- Verification window
- 6h
- Outcome
-
Not yet due
Evidence
Claim
Block reports $433M in unrealized Bitcoin gains under Dorsey
Affected assets
BTC
AI inference
Bullish · 75%
Generated
2026-09-03 19:41
AI inference
Bullish · 75%
Reference price
81,461
Verification window
6h
Actual outcome
Awaiting evaluation
Provenance
- Provider
- Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
- Model version
- Not recorded for this call
- Methodology version
- Scored before versions were recorded
- Record
groq-reasoning-qwen/qwen3.8-27b #298814
-
Mistral Small Latest
Awaiting evaluation
Sep 3, 2026 22:23
- Direction
- Bullish
- Confidence
- 85%
- Reference price
- 81,535.00
- Verification window
- 6h
- Outcome
-
Not yet due
Evidence
Claim
Why Is Bitcoin Up Today?
Affected assets
BTC, COIN
AI inference
Bullish · 85%
Generated
2026-09-03 19:23
AI inference
Bullish · 85%
Reference price
81,535
Verification window
6h
Actual outcome
Awaiting evaluation
Provenance
- Provider
- Mistral Small Latest
- Model version
- Not recorded for this call
- Methodology version
- Scored before versions were recorded
- Record
mistral-small-latest #298822
Prediction history
10963 calls logged on BTC, newest first. Nothing is filtered out.
Logged model predictions for BTC
| Logged |
Provider |
Direction |
Confidence |
Reference price |
Evaluated price |
Lifecycle |
Outcome |
| Sep 4, 2026 01:19 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bearish |
75% |
81,395.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 4, 2026 01:14 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
85% |
81,360.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 4, 2026 01:06 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Neutral |
60% |
81,456.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 4, 2026 00:31 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
75% |
81,608.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 4, 2026 00:06 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
85% |
81,458.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 23:39 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
70% |
81,442.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 22:41 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Bullish |
75% |
81,461.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 22:23 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
85% |
81,535.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 22:03 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
85% |
81,250.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 21:07 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
95% |
81,156.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 20:20 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
90% |
81,055.00 |
81,231.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.22%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 20:10 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Neutral |
40% |
81,030.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 19:38 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
85% |
80,835.00 |
81,127.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.36%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 19:27 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Bullish |
80% |
80,662.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 19:24 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Bearish |
40% |
80,802.00 |
81,277.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.59%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 19:19 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
65% |
80,802.00 |
81,395.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.73%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 19:09 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
75% |
81,078.00 |
81,459.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.47%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 18:58 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
95% |
81,177.00 |
81,621.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.55%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 18:14 |
GPT-OSS 120B (Groq) |
Bullish |
75% |
80,552.00 |
81,521.00 |
Verified |
Correct
1.20%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 17:50 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
85% |
79,948.00 |
81,445.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
1.87%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 17:37 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
60% |
81,144.01 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 16:59 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
85% |
78,804.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 15:30 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
90% |
77,933.00 |
80,989.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
3.92%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 14:43 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Neutral |
75% |
77,936.00 |
81,135.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
4.10%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 14:42 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
75% |
77,878.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 14:19 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
75% |
77,843.00 |
81,055.00 |
Verified |
Correct
4.13%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 14:01 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
75% |
77,700.00 |
80,924.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
4.15%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 13:29 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
90% |
77,597.00 |
80,662.00 |
Verified |
Correct
3.95%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 13:15 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Bullish |
65% |
77,560.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 12:13 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
95% |
77,865.00 |
80,552.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
3.45%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 12:11 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
75% |
77,775.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 12:00 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
55% |
77,812.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 11:33 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Neutral |
40% |
77,924.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 10:45 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
85% |
78,008.00 |
78,706.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.89%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 10:37 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
60% |
77,889.00 |
78,611.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.93%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 10:01 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
60% |
77,779.00 |
78,671.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
1.15%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 08:50 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Bullish |
75% |
77,423.00 |
77,932.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.66%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 07:58 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Neutral |
60% |
77,707.00 |
77,604.00 |
Verified |
Correct
-0.13%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 07:22 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Neutral |
60% |
77,577.00 |
77,612.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.05%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 04:04 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Bullish |
40% |
77,311.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 03:01 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
50% |
77,051.00 |
77,782.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.95%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 01:10 |
Rule-Based Analysis |
Bearish |
30% |
77,124.86 |
81,459.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
5.62%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 00:31 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
90% |
77,279.00 |
77,753.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.61%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 23:56 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
65% |
77,279.00 |
77,830.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.71%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 23:19 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Bullish |
60% |
77,370.00 |
77,429.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.08%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 22:15 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Neutral |
40% |
77,236.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 2, 2026 22:15 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
85% |
77,236.00 |
77,312.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.10%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 21:38 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Bullish |
60% |
77,326.00 |
76,977.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
-0.45%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 21:30 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
60% |
77,326.00 |
77,028.00 |
Verified |
Correct
-0.39%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 20:24 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
65% |
77,341.00 |
77,117.00 |
Verified |
Correct
-0.29%
|
