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BTC Crypto

Current 81059.22 USD

Trend Down

Sentiment Neutral

AI Accuracy on BTC 36.4% (5,475 verified predictions)

View Leaderboard → View accuracy history →

BTC at a glance

81,037.00 USD

USD per coin

Market: Open
Data: Live Stored snapshot (BTC) · 1 minute ago
Range: 24h 80,669.45 – 81,427.75
Volatility regime: Normal 2.43% daily deviation over 29 sessions

Dominant narrative

IMF Says Donations, Not Public Funds, Drove El Salvador Bitcoin Growth

BeInCrypto · 15 minutes ago · Article tone: Neutral · Model direction: Neutral

The IMF's attribution of BTC growth to private donations rather than state expenditure may mitigate concerns about fiscal risk for the asset, potentially supporting sentiment among institutional investors.

Related events

Stories on this asset that a model actually logged a call against.

Bitcoin’s volatility ratio against gold collapses to 6-year low as traditional safe haven turbulence … Sep 4 · Neutral · Awaiting evaluation
Fed Rate Hike Odds Fall to 50/50: Will Bitcoin's Rally Above 80,000 Hold? Sep 4 · Neutral · Awaiting evaluation
Parked Coldcard loot begins moving as attacker routes $1.6M in stolen Bitcoin to Ethereum Sep 4 · Bearish · Awaiting evaluation
Bitcoin Bear Market May Not Yet Be Over, Says Fidelity Sep 4 · Bearish · Awaiting evaluation
BitMEX Co-Founder Funded Reform UK Before Shutting Down the Exchange Sep 4 · Neutral · Awaiting evaluation

Model agreement

21 open calls across the models tracking this asset.

Neutral 12 · 57%
Bullish 7 · 33%
Bearish 2 · 10%

The models do not agree. The split is shown rather than a single direction.

Mistral Small Latest Neutral
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) Neutral

Verification state

5475 of 10968 calls on this asset have reached a verdict (50%).

Generated 10968
Awaiting evaluation 21
Verified 5475
Excluded 5472

How these are scored

Observed bias

Neutral

12 of 21 open model calls on BTC record no directional lean. Average recorded confidence is 66%. Most were logged against a 24h window.

Agreement: 12 of 21 open calls
Confidence: 66% What confidence means
Horizon: 24h
Invalidating condition: The reading holds while price stays inside the observed 80,676.53 – 81,434.83 USD band; a close outside it would remove its basis.

Supporting evidence

Bitcoin’s volatility ratio against gold collapses to 6-year low as traditional safe haven turbulence surges Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) · Sep 4 08:10
Fed Rate Hike Odds Fall to 50/50: Will Bitcoin's Rally Above 80,000 Hold? Mistral Small Latest · Sep 4 04:17
Parked Coldcard loot begins moving as attacker routes $1.6M in stolen Bitcoin to Ethereum Mistral Small Latest · Sep 4 01:50
Bitcoin Bear Market May Not Yet Be Over, Says Fidelity Mistral Small Latest · Sep 4 01:19
BitMEX Co-Founder Funded Reform UK Before Shutting Down the Exchange Mistral Small Latest · Sep 4 01:14
ProCap Financial sells 50 Bitcoin to repurchase shares at 40% discount Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) · Sep 4 01:06

A description of what the tracked models have logged. Not a recommendation, and not personalised to any reader.

Calls on this asset

How these are scored

Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) Neutral 75% Sep 4 08:10 · 24h

Generated 6h 24h Verified
Mistral Small Latest Neutral 85% Sep 4 04:17 · 6h

Generated 6h Verified
Mistral Small Latest Bearish 95% Sep 4 01:50 · 6h

Generated 6h Verified
Mistral Small Latest Bearish 75% Sep 4 01:19 · 6h

Generated 6h Verified
Mistral Small Latest Neutral 85% Sep 4 01:14 · 6h

Generated 6h Verified

Price Chart

📈

Loading chart for BTC...

Quick Overview

Trend ↘ Down

Volatility Low

Sentiment 😐 Neutral

Data Status

Live

Stored snapshot (BTC)

Detailed Market Analysis

Key Levels

Support

80676.53 USD

Resistance

81434.83 USD

Volume & Momentum

Volume

Weak

0.8x avg

Momentum

Weak

Technical Context

Current price

81059.22 USD

RSI context

Market Sentiment

Neutral

Crypto Metrics

24H VOL

7D CHANGE

+4%

VOLATILITY

Low

Asset Intelligence Dossier

Currency: USD
Quoted in: USD per coin
Exchange: crypto
Timezone: UTC
Market: Open

Over the last 30 days, AI sentiment for BTC skewed neutral (131 of 339 scored calls). The most accurate provider on this asset is FinBERT at 51.0% across 151 verified calls.

Provider track record

FinBERT

77/151 verified calls

51.0%

Mistral Small Latest

41/83 verified calls

49.4%

Llama 3.3 70B Versatile (Groq)

214/549 verified calls

39.0%

Rule-Based Analysis

57/160 verified calls

35.6%

Rule-Based Analysis

1591/4492 verified calls

35.4%

GPT-OSS 120B (Groq)

4/8 verified calls

Insufficient sample · n=8

Gemini 2.5 Flash

4/11 verified calls

Insufficient sample · n=11

Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)

6/21 verified calls

Insufficient sample · n=21

Confidence trend

63%

▲ 27.4 pts vs previous week

Avg confidence across 178 calls in the last 7 days

What sources say

Neutral 131 articles

Bitcoin’s volatility ratio against gold collapses to 6-year low as traditional safe haven turbulence surges

Fed Rate Hike Odds Fall to 50/50: Will Bitcoin's Rally Above 80,000 Hold?

BitMEX Co-Founder Funded Reform UK Before Shutting Down the Exchange

Bullish 120 articles

Crypto Market Today, Sept. 3: Bitcoin Reclaims $81,000 on Fed Rate Pause Signals

Bitcoin Surges Above Key Moving Average, Key Resistance About to Crack

Block reports $433M in unrealized Bitcoin gains under Dorsey

Bearish 88 articles

Parked Coldcard loot begins moving as attacker routes $1.6M in stolen Bitcoin to Ethereum

Bitcoin Bear Market May Not Yet Be Over, Says Fidelity

Bitcoin experiences extreme fund flows for six consecutive days, a pattern that historically precedes price drops

BTC News Intelligence (8261 articles)

AI-curated news influencing BTC price, sentiment, and trend

Explore All BTC News with AI Analysis

Cryptocurrency

7 months ago

Long-term bitcoin holders resume selling as price lags behind traditional markets

Long-term bitcoin holders are selling at the fastest pace since August as the cryptocurrency's price lags behind broader financial markets.

Impact on BTC: Market impact analysis based on bearish sentiment with 90% confidence.

Long-term bitcoin holders are increasing their selling pace, driven by the cryptocurrency's underperformance compared to … High (90%)

View full analysis →

CoinDesk 90% confidence

Cryptocurrency

7 months ago

Altcoins jump as dollar slides, bitcoin holds steady: Crypto Markets Today

The Dollar Index hit a four-year low, while altcoins surged led by HYPE, JTO and Solana memecoin PIPPIN.

Impact on BTC: Market impact analysis based on bullish sentiment with 80% confidence.

The decline of the US dollar has led to a surge in altcoins, with HYPE, … High (80%)

View full analysis →

CoinDesk 80% confidence

Cryptocurrency

7 months ago

Bitcoin ETF $86K break-even level in focus amid US wirehouse influx reports

Bitcoin ETF investors contend with price dropping to their aggregate entry level, but a crypto executive claimed that new institutions …

Impact on BTC: Market impact analysis based on neutral sentiment with 70% confidence.

Bitcoin ETF investors are facing a break-even point of $86K as the price drops, but … High (70%)

View full analysis →

CoinTelegraph 70% confidence

Cryptocurrency

7 months ago

Bitcoin eyes $90K ahead of FOMC: Watch these BTC price levels next

Bitcoin price traded below $90,000 as investors braced for Jerome Powell’s post-FOMC speech that could trigger volatile swings toward key …

Impact on BTC: Market impact analysis based on neutral sentiment with 70% confidence.

Bitcoin price is expected to be volatile ahead of the FOMC speech, with investors eyeing … High (70%)

View full analysis →

CoinTelegraph 70% confidence

Economy

7 months ago

Crypto Market News Today, January 28: USD Index Dropping as We Wait For FOMC Results, Bitcoin to Follow Gold?

India and the European Union have successfully concluded a Free trade Agreement (FTA). The deal’s negotiations were launched in June …

Impact on BTC: Market impact analysis based on bullish sentiment with 80% confidence.

The conclusion of the India-EU Free Trade Agreement may lead to clearer crypto regulation in … High (80%)

View full analysis →

Yahoo Finance 80% confidence

Economy

7 months ago

Three reasons gold outshines Bitcoin price as threat of US government shutdown looms

Gold surges to record $5,280 per ounce. Political turbulence fuels the rally. Yet Bitcoin and other cryptos lag behind.

Impact on BTC: Market impact analysis based on bullish sentiment with 90% confidence.

Gold prices have surged to a record high of $5,280 per ounce due to political … High (90%)

View full analysis →

Yahoo Finance 90% confidence

AI evidence

Every call logged on BTC, traced from the source that triggered it to the outcome it was scored against.

Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) Awaiting evaluation Sep 4, 2026 08:10

Claim

Bitcoin’s volatility ratio against gold collapses to 6-year low as traditional safe haven turbulence surges

Direction
Neutral

Confidence
75%

Reference price
80,970.01

Verification window
24h

Outcome

Not yet due

Evidence

Source CryptoSlate

Claim Bitcoin’s volatility ratio against gold collapses to 6-year low as traditional safe haven turbulence surges

Affected assets BTC, GLD, IBIT

AI inference Neutral · 75%

Generated 2026-09-04 05:10

AI inference Neutral · 75%

Reference price 80,970.01

Verification window 24h

Actual outcome Awaiting evaluation

Provenance

Provider
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)

Model version

Not recorded for this call

Methodology version

Scored before versions were recorded

Record

groq-reasoning-qwen/qwen3.8-27b #299197
Mistral Small Latest Awaiting evaluation Sep 4, 2026 04:17

Claim

Fed Rate Hike Odds Fall to 50/50: Will Bitcoin's Rally Above 80,000 Hold?

Direction
Neutral

Confidence
85%

Reference price
80,851.15

Verification window
6h

Outcome

Not yet due

Evidence

Source BeInCrypto

Claim Fed Rate Hike Odds Fall to 50/50: Will Bitcoin's Rally Above 80,000 Hold?

Affected assets BTC

AI inference Neutral · 85%

Generated 2026-09-04 01:17

AI inference Neutral · 85%

Reference price 80,851.15

Verification window 6h

Actual outcome Awaiting evaluation

Provenance

Provider
Mistral Small Latest

Model version

Not recorded for this call

Methodology version

Scored before versions were recorded

Record

mistral-small-latest #298974
Mistral Small Latest Awaiting evaluation Sep 4, 2026 01:50

Claim

Parked Coldcard loot begins moving as attacker routes $1.6M in stolen Bitcoin to Ethereum

Direction
Bearish

Confidence
95%

Reference price
80,963.29

Verification window
6h

Outcome

Not yet due

Evidence

Source CryptoSlate

Claim Parked Coldcard loot begins moving as attacker routes $1.6M in stolen Bitcoin to Ethereum

Affected assets BTC, ETH

AI inference Bearish · 95%

Generated 2026-09-03 22:50

AI inference Bearish · 95%

Reference price 80,963.29

Verification window 6h

Actual outcome Awaiting evaluation

Provenance

Provider
Mistral Small Latest

Model version

Not recorded for this call

Methodology version

Scored before versions were recorded

Record

mistral-small-latest #299034
Mistral Small Latest Awaiting evaluation Sep 4, 2026 01:19

Claim

Bitcoin Bear Market May Not Yet Be Over, Says Fidelity

Direction
Bearish

Confidence
75%

Reference price
81,395.00

Verification window
6h

Outcome

Not yet due

Evidence

Source Bitcoin Magazine

Claim Bitcoin Bear Market May Not Yet Be Over, Says Fidelity

Affected assets BTC, COIN, MSTR

AI inference Bearish · 75%

Generated 2026-09-03 22:19

AI inference Bearish · 75%

Reference price 81,395

Verification window 6h

Actual outcome Awaiting evaluation

Provenance

Provider
Mistral Small Latest

Model version

Not recorded for this call

Methodology version

Scored before versions were recorded

Record

mistral-small-latest #298917
Mistral Small Latest Awaiting evaluation Sep 4, 2026 01:14

Claim

BitMEX Co-Founder Funded Reform UK Before Shutting Down the Exchange

Direction
Neutral

Confidence
85%

Reference price
81,360.00

Verification window
6h

Outcome

Not yet due

Evidence

Source BeInCrypto

Claim BitMEX Co-Founder Funded Reform UK Before Shutting Down the Exchange

Affected assets BTC, BITO, MSTR, COIN, RIOT

AI inference Neutral · 85%

Generated 2026-09-03 22:14

AI inference Neutral · 85%

Reference price 81,360

Verification window 6h

Actual outcome Awaiting evaluation

Provenance

Provider
Mistral Small Latest

Model version

Not recorded for this call

Methodology version

Scored before versions were recorded

Record

mistral-small-latest #298923
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) Awaiting evaluation Sep 4, 2026 01:06

Claim

ProCap Financial sells 50 Bitcoin to repurchase shares at 40% discount

Direction
Neutral

Confidence
60%

Reference price
81,456.00

Verification window
6h

Outcome

Not yet due

Evidence

Source CryptoBriefing

Claim ProCap Financial sells 50 Bitcoin to repurchase shares at 40% discount

Affected assets BTC

AI inference Neutral · 60%

Generated 2026-09-03 22:06

AI inference Neutral · 60%

Reference price 81,456

Verification window 6h

Actual outcome Awaiting evaluation

Provenance

Provider
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)

Model version

Not recorded for this call

Methodology version

Scored before versions were recorded

Record

groq-reasoning-qwen/qwen3.8-27b #298939
Mistral Small Latest Verified Sep 4, 2026 00:31

Claim

Bitcoin-Gold Correlation Hits Six-Year High as Debasement Fears Mount

Direction
Neutral

Confidence
75%

Reference price
81,608.00

Verification window
6h

Outcome

Correct -0.90%

Evidence

Source Bitcoin Magazine

Claim Bitcoin-Gold Correlation Hits Six-Year High as Debasement Fears Mount

Affected assets BTC

AI inference Neutral · 75%

Generated 2026-09-03 21:31

AI inference Neutral · 75%

Reference price 81,608

Verification window 6h

Actual outcome Correct · -0.90%

Provenance

Provider
Mistral Small Latest

Model version

mistral-small-latest

Methodology version

v1.0

Record

mistral-small-latest #298878
Mistral Small Latest Verified Sep 4, 2026 00:06

Claim

Crypto Market Today, Sept. 3: Bitcoin Reclaims $81,000 on Fed Rate Pause Signals

Direction
Bullish

Confidence
85%

Reference price
81,458.00

Verification window
6h

Outcome

Incorrect -0.65%

Evidence

Source The Motley Fool

Claim Crypto Market Today, Sept. 3: Bitcoin Reclaims $81,000 on Fed Rate Pause Signals

Affected assets BTC

AI inference Bullish · 85%

Generated 2026-09-03 21:06

AI inference Bullish · 85%

Reference price 81,458

Verification window 6h

Actual outcome Incorrect · -0.65%

Provenance

Provider
Mistral Small Latest

Model version

mistral-small-latest

Methodology version

v1.0

Record

mistral-small-latest #298890

Prediction history

10968 calls logged on BTC, newest first. Nothing is filtered out.

Logged model predictions for BTC
Logged	Provider	Direction	Confidence	Reference price	Evaluated price	Lifecycle	Outcome
Sep 4, 2026 08:10	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Neutral	75%	80,970.01	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 4, 2026 04:17	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	85%	80,851.15	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 4, 2026 01:50	Mistral Small Latest	Bearish	95%	80,963.29	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 4, 2026 01:19	Mistral Small Latest	Bearish	75%	81,395.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 4, 2026 01:14	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	85%	81,360.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 4, 2026 01:06	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Neutral	60%	81,456.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 4, 2026 00:31	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	75%	81,608.00	80,871.00	Verified	Correct -0.90%
Sep 4, 2026 00:06	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	85%	81,458.00	80,928.00	Verified	Incorrect -0.65%
Sep 3, 2026 23:39	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	70%	81,442.00	80,729.00	Verified	Incorrect -0.88%
Sep 3, 2026 22:41	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Bullish	75%	81,461.00	80,851.15	Verified	Incorrect -0.75%
Sep 3, 2026 22:23	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	85%	81,535.00	80,851.15	Verified	Incorrect -0.84%
Sep 3, 2026 22:03	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	85%	81,250.00	80,924.28	Verified	Incorrect -0.40%
Sep 3, 2026 21:07	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	95%	81,156.00	80,924.28	Verified	Incorrect -0.29%
Sep 3, 2026 20:20	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	90%	81,055.00	81,231.00	Verified	Incorrect 0.22%
Sep 3, 2026 20:10	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Neutral	40%	81,030.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 3, 2026 19:38	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	85%	80,835.00	81,127.00	Verified	Incorrect 0.36%
Sep 3, 2026 19:27	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Bullish	80%	80,662.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 3, 2026 19:24	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Bearish	40%	80,802.00	81,277.00	Verified	Incorrect 0.59%
Sep 3, 2026 19:19	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	65%	80,802.00	81,395.00	Verified	Incorrect 0.73%
Sep 3, 2026 19:09	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	75%	81,078.00	81,459.00	Verified	Incorrect 0.47%
Sep 3, 2026 18:58	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	95%	81,177.00	81,621.00	Verified	Incorrect 0.55%
Sep 3, 2026 18:14	GPT-OSS 120B (Groq)	Bullish	75%	80,552.00	81,521.00	Verified	Correct 1.20%
Sep 3, 2026 17:50	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	85%	79,948.00	81,445.00	Verified	Incorrect 1.87%
Sep 3, 2026 17:37	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	60%	81,144.01	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 3, 2026 16:59	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	85%	78,804.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 3, 2026 15:32	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	65%	78,225.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 3, 2026 15:30	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	90%	77,933.00	80,989.00	Verified	Incorrect 3.92%
Sep 3, 2026 14:43	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Neutral	75%	77,936.00	81,135.00	Verified	Incorrect 4.10%
Sep 3, 2026 14:42	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	75%	77,878.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 3, 2026 14:19	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	75%	77,843.00	81,055.00	Verified	Correct 4.13%
Sep 3, 2026 14:01	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	75%	77,700.00	80,924.00	Verified	Incorrect 4.15%
Sep 3, 2026 13:29	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	90%	77,597.00	80,662.00	Verified	Correct 3.95%
Sep 3, 2026 13:24	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	85%	77,612.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 3, 2026 13:15	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Bullish	65%	77,560.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 3, 2026 12:13	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	95%	77,865.00	80,552.00	Verified	Incorrect 3.45%
Sep 3, 2026 12:11	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	75%	77,775.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 3, 2026 12:00	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	55%	77,812.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 3, 2026 11:33	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Neutral	40%	77,924.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 3, 2026 10:45	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	85%	78,008.00	78,706.00	Verified	Correct 0.89%
Sep 3, 2026 10:37	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	60%	77,889.00	78,611.00	Verified	Correct 0.93%
Sep 3, 2026 10:01	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	60%	77,779.00	78,671.00	Verified	Incorrect 1.15%
Sep 3, 2026 08:50	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Bullish	75%	77,423.00	77,932.00	Verified	Incorrect 0.66%
Sep 3, 2026 07:58	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Neutral	60%	77,707.00	77,604.00	Verified	Correct -0.13%
Sep 3, 2026 07:22	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Neutral	60%	77,577.00	77,612.00	Verified	Correct 0.05%
Sep 3, 2026 04:04	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Bullish	40%	77,311.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 3, 2026 03:01	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	50%	77,051.00	77,782.00	Verified	Correct 0.95%
Sep 3, 2026 01:10	Rule-Based Analysis	Bearish	30%	77,124.86	81,459.00	Verified	Incorrect 5.62%
Sep 3, 2026 00:31	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	90%	77,279.00	77,753.00	Verified	Correct 0.61%
Sep 2, 2026 23:56	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	65%	77,279.00	77,830.00	Verified	Incorrect 0.71%
Sep 2, 2026 23:19	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Bullish	60%	77,370.00	77,429.00	Verified	Incorrect 0.08%

BTC · AI Prediction Accuracy

36.4%

1994 correct of 5475 verified predictions

Verified outcomes Tracked across all timeframes No cherry-picking

Per-provider accuracy

Provider	Total	Correct	Accuracy
FinBERT	151	77	51.0%
GPT-OSS 120B (Groq)	8	4	50.0%
Mistral Small Latest	83	41	49.4%
Llama 3.3 70B Versatile (Groq)	549	214	39.0%
Gemini 2.5 Flash	11	4	36.4%
Rule-Based Analysis not AI	4652	1648	35.4%
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	21	6	28.6%

By timeframe

24h 35.7%

1707 of 4780 predictions

6h 41.3%

280 of 678 predictions

7d 41.2%

7 of 17 predictions