BTC at a glance
80,655.00
USD
USD per coin
- Market
-
Open
- Data
-
Live
Stored snapshot (BTC)
·
3 minutes ago
- Range
-
24h 80,573.21 – 81,427.75
- Volatility regime
-
Normal
2.44%
daily deviation over 29 sessions
Dominant narrative
Bitcoin ETF inflows hit $731M, highest since January as BTC reclaims $80K
CoinTelegraph · 27 minutes ago
· Article tone: Neutral
· Model direction: Bullish
The large inflow could boost trading volume and net asset values of Bitcoin‑linked ETFs such as BITO and BTF, potentially supporting Bitcoin’s price and benefiting the issuers and market makers of those funds; however, CryptoQuant’s warning of weak demand and the unresolved $83,000 test introduce downside risk that could temper price gains.
Related events
Stories on this asset that a model actually logged a call against.
Model agreement
23 open calls across the models tracking this asset.
-
Neutral
13 · 57%
-
Bullish
8 · 35%
-
Bearish
2 · 9%
The models do not agree. The split is shown rather than a single direction.
- Mistral Small Latest Neutral
- Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) Neutral
Verification state
5475 of 10970 calls on this asset have reached a verdict
(50%).
-
Generated
10970
-
Awaiting evaluation
23
-
Verified
5475
-
Excluded
5472
How these are scored →
Observed bias
■
Neutral
13 of 23 open model calls on BTC record no directional lean. Average recorded confidence is 66%. Most were logged against a 24h window.
- Agreement
- 13 of 23 open calls
- Horizon
- 24h
- Invalidating condition
-
The reading holds while price stays inside the observed 80,367.56 – 81,222.10 USD band; a close outside it would remove its basis.
-
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
Neutral
75%
Sep 4 08:58 · 24h
Generated
→
6h
→
24h
→
Verified
-
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
Bullish
60%
Sep 4 08:42 · 6h
Generated
→
6h
→
Verified
-
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
Neutral
75%
Sep 4 08:10 · 24h
Generated
→
6h
→
24h
→
Verified
-
Mistral Small Latest
Neutral
85%
Sep 4 04:17 · 6h
Generated
→
6h
→
Verified
-
Mistral Small Latest
Bearish
95%
Sep 4 01:50 · 6h
Generated
→
6h
→
Verified
Price Chart
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Detailed Market Analysis
Current price
80692.00 USD
Asset Intelligence Dossier
- Currency
- USD
- Quoted in
- USD per coin
- Exchange
- crypto
- Timezone
- UTC
- Market
-
Open
Over the last 30 days, AI sentiment for BTC skewed neutral (131 of 337 scored calls). The most accurate provider on this asset is FinBERT at 51.0% across 151 verified calls.
Provider track record
FinBERT
77/151 verified calls
51.0%
Mistral Small Latest
41/83 verified calls
49.4%
Llama 3.3 70B Versatile (Groq)
214/549 verified calls
39.0%
Rule-Based Analysis
57/160 verified calls
35.6%
Rule-Based Analysis
1591/4492 verified calls
35.4%
GPT-OSS 120B (Groq)
4/8 verified calls
Insufficient sample · n=8
Gemini 2.5 Flash
4/11 verified calls
Insufficient sample · n=11
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
6/21 verified calls
Insufficient sample · n=21
Confidence trend
63%
▲
28.5 pts vs previous week
Avg confidence across 177 calls in the last 7 days
What sources say
Neutral
131 articles
IMF Says Donations, Not Public Funds, Drove El Salvador Bitcoin Growth
Bitcoin’s volatility ratio against gold collapses to 6-year low as traditional safe haven turbulence surges
Fed Rate Hike Odds Fall to 50/50: Will Bitcoin's Rally Above 80,000 Hold?
Bullish
119 articles
BlackRock clients purchase $454M worth of Bitcoin in a single transaction
Crypto Market Today, Sept. 3: Bitcoin Reclaims $81,000 on Fed Rate Pause Signals
Bitcoin Surges Above Key Moving Average, Key Resistance About to Crack
Bearish
87 articles
Parked Coldcard loot begins moving as attacker routes $1.6M in stolen Bitcoin to Ethereum
Bitcoin Bear Market May Not Yet Be Over, Says Fidelity
Bitcoin experiences extreme fund flows for six consecutive days, a pattern that historically precedes price drops
AI evidence
Every call logged on BTC, traced from the source that triggered it to the outcome it was scored against.
-
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
Awaiting evaluation
Sep 4, 2026 08:58
- Direction
- Neutral
- Confidence
- 75%
- Reference price
- 80,853.08
- Verification window
- 24h
- Outcome
-
Not yet due
Evidence
Claim
IMF Says Donations, Not Public Funds, Drove El Salvador Bitcoin Growth
Affected assets
BTC
AI inference
Neutral · 75%
Generated
2026-09-04 05:58
AI inference
Neutral · 75%
Reference price
80,853.08
Verification window
24h
Actual outcome
Awaiting evaluation
Provenance
- Provider
- Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
- Model version
- Not recorded for this call
- Methodology version
- Scored before versions were recorded
- Record
groq-reasoning-qwen/qwen3.8-27b #299205
-
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
Awaiting evaluation
Sep 4, 2026 08:42
- Direction
- Bullish
- Confidence
- 60%
- Reference price
- 80,961.00
- Verification window
- 6h
- Outcome
-
Not yet due
Evidence
Claim
BlackRock clients purchase $454M worth of Bitcoin in a single transaction
Affected assets
BTC, IBIT
AI inference
Bullish · 60%
Generated
2026-09-04 05:42
AI inference
Bullish · 60%
Reference price
80,961
Verification window
6h
Actual outcome
Awaiting evaluation
Provenance
- Provider
- Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
- Model version
- Not recorded for this call
- Methodology version
- Scored before versions were recorded
- Record
groq-reasoning-qwen/qwen3.8-27b #299209
-
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
Awaiting evaluation
Sep 4, 2026 08:10
- Direction
- Neutral
- Confidence
- 75%
- Reference price
- 80,970.01
- Verification window
- 24h
- Outcome
-
Not yet due
Evidence
Claim
Bitcoin’s volatility ratio against gold collapses to 6-year low as traditional safe haven turbulence surges
Affected assets
BTC, GLD, IBIT
AI inference
Neutral · 75%
Generated
2026-09-04 05:10
AI inference
Neutral · 75%
Reference price
80,970.01
Verification window
24h
Actual outcome
Awaiting evaluation
Provenance
- Provider
- Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
- Model version
- Not recorded for this call
- Methodology version
- Scored before versions were recorded
- Record
groq-reasoning-qwen/qwen3.8-27b #299197
-
Mistral Small Latest
Awaiting evaluation
Sep 4, 2026 04:17
- Direction
- Neutral
- Confidence
- 85%
- Reference price
- 80,851.15
- Verification window
- 6h
- Outcome
-
Not yet due
Evidence
Claim
Fed Rate Hike Odds Fall to 50/50: Will Bitcoin's Rally Above 80,000 Hold?
Affected assets
BTC
AI inference
Neutral · 85%
Generated
2026-09-04 01:17
AI inference
Neutral · 85%
Reference price
80,851.15
Verification window
6h
Actual outcome
Awaiting evaluation
Provenance
- Provider
- Mistral Small Latest
- Model version
- Not recorded for this call
- Methodology version
- Scored before versions were recorded
- Record
mistral-small-latest #298974
-
Mistral Small Latest
Awaiting evaluation
Sep 4, 2026 01:50
- Direction
- Bearish
- Confidence
- 95%
- Reference price
- 80,963.29
- Verification window
- 6h
- Outcome
-
Not yet due
Evidence
Claim
Parked Coldcard loot begins moving as attacker routes $1.6M in stolen Bitcoin to Ethereum
Affected assets
BTC, ETH
AI inference
Bearish · 95%
Generated
2026-09-03 22:50
AI inference
Bearish · 95%
Reference price
80,963.29
Verification window
6h
Actual outcome
Awaiting evaluation
Provenance
- Provider
- Mistral Small Latest
- Model version
- Not recorded for this call
- Methodology version
- Scored before versions were recorded
- Record
mistral-small-latest #299034
-
Mistral Small Latest
Awaiting evaluation
Sep 4, 2026 01:19
- Direction
- Bearish
- Confidence
- 75%
- Reference price
- 81,395.00
- Verification window
- 6h
- Outcome
-
Not yet due
Evidence
Claim
Bitcoin Bear Market May Not Yet Be Over, Says Fidelity
Affected assets
BTC, COIN, MSTR
AI inference
Bearish · 75%
Generated
2026-09-03 22:19
AI inference
Bearish · 75%
Reference price
81,395
Verification window
6h
Actual outcome
Awaiting evaluation
Provenance
- Provider
- Mistral Small Latest
- Model version
- Not recorded for this call
- Methodology version
- Scored before versions were recorded
- Record
mistral-small-latest #298917
-
Mistral Small Latest
Awaiting evaluation
Sep 4, 2026 01:14
- Direction
- Neutral
- Confidence
- 85%
- Reference price
- 81,360.00
- Verification window
- 6h
- Outcome
-
Not yet due
Evidence
Claim
BitMEX Co-Founder Funded Reform UK Before Shutting Down the Exchange
Affected assets
BTC, BITO, MSTR, COIN, RIOT
AI inference
Neutral · 85%
Generated
2026-09-03 22:14
AI inference
Neutral · 85%
Reference price
81,360
Verification window
6h
Actual outcome
Awaiting evaluation
Provenance
- Provider
- Mistral Small Latest
- Model version
- Not recorded for this call
- Methodology version
- Scored before versions were recorded
- Record
mistral-small-latest #298923
-
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
Awaiting evaluation
Sep 4, 2026 01:06
- Direction
- Neutral
- Confidence
- 60%
- Reference price
- 81,456.00
- Verification window
- 6h
- Outcome
-
Not yet due
Evidence
Claim
ProCap Financial sells 50 Bitcoin to repurchase shares at 40% discount
Affected assets
BTC
AI inference
Neutral · 60%
Generated
2026-09-03 22:06
AI inference
Neutral · 60%
Reference price
81,456
Verification window
6h
Actual outcome
Awaiting evaluation
Provenance
- Provider
- Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
- Model version
- Not recorded for this call
- Methodology version
- Scored before versions were recorded
- Record
groq-reasoning-qwen/qwen3.8-27b #298939
Prediction history
10970 calls logged on BTC, newest first. Nothing is filtered out.
Logged model predictions for BTC
| Logged |
Provider |
Direction |
Confidence |
Reference price |
Evaluated price |
Lifecycle |
Outcome |
| Sep 4, 2026 08:58 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Neutral |
75% |
80,853.08 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 4, 2026 08:42 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Bullish |
60% |
80,961.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 4, 2026 08:10 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Neutral |
75% |
80,970.01 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 4, 2026 04:17 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
85% |
80,851.15 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 4, 2026 01:50 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bearish |
95% |
80,963.29 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 4, 2026 01:19 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bearish |
75% |
81,395.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 4, 2026 01:14 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
85% |
81,360.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 4, 2026 01:06 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Neutral |
60% |
81,456.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 4, 2026 00:31 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
75% |
81,608.00 |
80,871.00 |
Verified |
Correct
-0.90%
|
| Sep 4, 2026 00:06 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
85% |
81,458.00 |
80,928.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
-0.65%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 23:39 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
70% |
81,442.00 |
80,729.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
-0.88%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 22:41 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Bullish |
75% |
81,461.00 |
80,851.15 |
Verified |
Incorrect
-0.75%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 22:23 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
85% |
81,535.00 |
80,851.15 |
Verified |
Incorrect
-0.84%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 22:03 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
85% |
81,250.00 |
80,924.28 |
Verified |
Incorrect
-0.40%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 21:07 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
95% |
81,156.00 |
80,924.28 |
Verified |
Incorrect
-0.29%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 20:20 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
90% |
81,055.00 |
81,231.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.22%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 20:10 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Neutral |
40% |
81,030.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 19:38 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
85% |
80,835.00 |
81,127.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.36%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 19:27 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Bullish |
80% |
80,662.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 19:24 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Bearish |
40% |
80,802.00 |
81,277.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.59%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 19:19 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
65% |
80,802.00 |
81,395.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.73%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 19:09 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
75% |
81,078.00 |
81,459.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.47%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 18:58 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
95% |
81,177.00 |
81,621.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.55%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 18:14 |
GPT-OSS 120B (Groq) |
Bullish |
75% |
80,552.00 |
81,521.00 |
Verified |
Correct
1.20%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 17:50 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
85% |
79,948.00 |
81,445.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
1.87%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 17:37 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
60% |
81,144.01 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 16:59 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
85% |
78,804.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 15:32 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
65% |
78,225.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 15:30 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
90% |
77,933.00 |
80,989.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
3.92%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 14:43 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Neutral |
75% |
77,936.00 |
81,135.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
4.10%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 14:42 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
75% |
77,878.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 14:19 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
75% |
77,843.00 |
81,055.00 |
Verified |
Correct
4.13%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 14:01 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
75% |
77,700.00 |
80,924.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
4.15%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 13:29 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
90% |
77,597.00 |
80,662.00 |
Verified |
Correct
3.95%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 13:24 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
85% |
77,612.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 13:15 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Bullish |
65% |
77,560.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 12:13 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
95% |
77,865.00 |
80,552.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
3.45%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 12:11 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
75% |
77,775.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 12:00 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
55% |
77,812.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 11:33 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Neutral |
40% |
77,924.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 10:45 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
85% |
78,008.00 |
78,706.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.89%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 10:37 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
60% |
77,889.00 |
78,611.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.93%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 10:01 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
60% |
77,779.00 |
78,671.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
1.15%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 08:50 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Bullish |
75% |
77,423.00 |
77,932.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.66%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 07:58 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Neutral |
60% |
77,707.00 |
77,604.00 |
Verified |
Correct
-0.13%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 07:22 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Neutral |
60% |
77,577.00 |
77,612.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.05%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 04:04 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Bullish |
40% |
77,311.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 03:01 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
50% |
77,051.00 |
77,782.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.95%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 01:10 |
Rule-Based Analysis |
Bearish |
30% |
77,124.86 |
81,459.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
5.62%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 00:31 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
90% |
77,279.00 |
77,753.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.61%
|
