BTC at a glance
77,729.99
USD
USD per coin
- Market
-
Open
- Data
-
Stale
Stored snapshot (BTC)
·
9 hours, 46 minutes ago
- Range
-
24h 76,968.00 – 78,183.91
- Volatility regime
-
Normal
2.3%
daily deviation over 29 sessions
Dominant narrative
Coldcard hacker swaps stolen Bitcoin for ETH via THORChain
CoinTelegraph · 15 minutes ago
· Article tone: Neutral
· Model direction: Bearish
The event may affect investor confidence in hardware wallet security (Coldcard) and decentralized cross-chain protocols (THORChain), potentially influencing capital flows away from these sectors in the short term.
Related events
Stories on this asset that a model actually logged a call against.
Model agreement
16 open calls across the models tracking this asset.
-
Neutral
11 · 69%
-
Bullish
4 · 25%
-
Bearish
1 · 6%
The models do not agree. The split is shown rather than a single direction.
- Mistral Small Latest Neutral
- Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) Neutral
- Rule-Based Analysis Bearish
Verification state
8203 of 10931 calls on this asset have reached a verdict
(75%).
-
Generated
10931
-
Awaiting evaluation
16
-
Verified
8203
-
Excluded
2712
How these are scored →
Observed bias
■
Neutral
11 of 16 open model calls on BTC record no directional lean. Average recorded confidence is 56%. Most were logged against a 6h window.
- Agreement
- 11 of 16 open calls
- Horizon
- 6h
- Invalidating condition
-
The reading holds while price stays inside the observed 77,070.69 – 78,286.60 USD band; a close outside it would remove its basis.
-
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
Neutral
40%
Sep 3 11:33 · 24h
Generated
→
6h
→
24h
→
Verified
-
Mistral Small Latest
Neutral
85%
Sep 3 10:45 · 6h
Generated
→
6h
→
Verified
-
Mistral Small Latest
Neutral
60%
Sep 3 10:37 · 6h
Generated
→
6h
→
Verified
-
Mistral Small Latest
Neutral
60%
Sep 3 10:01 · 6h
Generated
→
6h
→
Verified
-
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
Bullish
75%
Sep 3 08:50 · 6h
Generated
→
6h
→
Verified
Price Chart
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Detailed Market Analysis
Current price
77729.99 USD
Asset Intelligence Dossier
- Currency
- USD
- Quoted in
- USD per coin
- Exchange
- crypto
- Timezone
- UTC
- Market
-
Open
Over the last 30 days, AI sentiment for BTC skewed neutral (121 of 317 scored calls). The most accurate provider on this asset is Mistral Small Latest at 48.3% across 60 verified calls.
Provider track record
Mistral Small Latest
29/60 verified calls
48.3%
FinBERT
94/220 verified calls
42.7%
Rule-Based Analysis
144/361 verified calls
39.9%
Llama 3.1 8B Instant (Groq)
22/58 verified calls
37.9%
Llama 3.3 70B Versatile (Groq)
444/1244 verified calls
35.7%
Rule-Based Analysis
1979/6213 verified calls
31.9%
Gemini 2.5 Flash
9/26 verified calls
Insufficient sample · n=26
GPT-OSS 120B (Groq)
2/7 verified calls
Insufficient sample · n=7
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
3/14 verified calls
Insufficient sample · n=14
Confidence trend
50%
▲
13.3 pts vs previous week
Avg confidence across 211 calls in the last 7 days
What sources say
Neutral
121 articles
Sam Altman ChatGPT AI Predicts Wild Bitcoin Price in 2027
Where Does Bitcoin Go From Here? This Chart Pattern Says $71,000
Bitcoin’s SOPR indicator breaks 11-month suppression, signaling potential cycle reversal
Bullish
106 articles
BlackRock clients scoop up 1,495 Bitcoin for $115M through IBIT
Arthur Hayes Reaffirms Bitcoin Long, Sets $10,000 Ether Target for 2026
CZ Says AI Money Is Rotating Back to Crypto as $840,000 Case Builds for Bitcoin
Bearish
90 articles
Fed Rate Cut Odds Slashed as Kalshi September Hike Bets Reach 60%–68%
Morning Minute: Bitcoin Enters ‘Rektember’ After Best August Since 2017
Bitcoin slips below $76,500 as U.S. strikes on Iran send oil above $93
AI evidence
Every call logged on BTC, traced from the source that triggered it to the outcome it was scored against.
-
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
Awaiting evaluation
Sep 3, 2026 11:33
- Direction
- Neutral
- Confidence
- 40%
- Reference price
- 77,924.00
- Verification window
- 24h
- Outcome
-
Not yet due
Evidence
Claim
Sam Altman ChatGPT AI Predicts Wild Bitcoin Price in 2027
Affected assets
BTC
AI inference
Neutral · 40%
Generated
2026-09-03 08:33
AI inference
Neutral · 40%
Reference price
77,924
Verification window
24h
Actual outcome
Awaiting evaluation
Provenance
- Provider
- Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
- Model version
- Not recorded for this call
- Methodology version
- Scored before versions were recorded
- Record
groq-reasoning-qwen/qwen3.8-27b #298420
-
Mistral Small Latest
Awaiting evaluation
Sep 3, 2026 10:45
- Direction
- Neutral
- Confidence
- 85%
- Reference price
- 78,008.00
- Verification window
- 6h
- Outcome
-
Not yet due
Evidence
Claim
Where Does Bitcoin Go From Here? This Chart Pattern Says $71,000
Affected assets
BTC
AI inference
Neutral · 85%
Generated
2026-09-03 07:45
AI inference
Neutral · 85%
Reference price
78,008
Verification window
6h
Actual outcome
Awaiting evaluation
Provenance
- Provider
- Mistral Small Latest
- Model version
- Not recorded for this call
- Methodology version
- Scored before versions were recorded
- Record
mistral-small-latest #298447
-
Mistral Small Latest
Awaiting evaluation
Sep 3, 2026 10:37
- Direction
- Neutral
- Confidence
- 60%
- Reference price
- 77,889.00
- Verification window
- 6h
- Outcome
-
Not yet due
Evidence
Claim
Bitcoin’s SOPR indicator breaks 11-month suppression, signaling potential cycle reversal
Affected assets
BTC
AI inference
Neutral · 60%
Generated
2026-09-03 07:37
AI inference
Neutral · 60%
Reference price
77,889
Verification window
6h
Actual outcome
Awaiting evaluation
Provenance
- Provider
- Mistral Small Latest
- Model version
- Not recorded for this call
- Methodology version
- Scored before versions were recorded
- Record
mistral-small-latest #298376
-
Mistral Small Latest
Awaiting evaluation
Sep 3, 2026 10:01
- Direction
- Neutral
- Confidence
- 60%
- Reference price
- 77,779.00
- Verification window
- 6h
- Outcome
-
Not yet due
Evidence
Claim
Bitcoin’s fabled golden cross is coming. And USDT may be the real signal this time
Affected assets
BTC
AI inference
Neutral · 60%
Generated
2026-09-03 07:01
AI inference
Neutral · 60%
Reference price
77,779
Verification window
6h
Actual outcome
Awaiting evaluation
Provenance
- Provider
- Mistral Small Latest
- Model version
- Not recorded for this call
- Methodology version
- Scored before versions were recorded
- Record
mistral-small-latest #298401
-
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
Awaiting evaluation
Sep 3, 2026 08:50
- Direction
- Bullish
- Confidence
- 75%
- Reference price
- 77,423.00
- Verification window
- 6h
- Outcome
-
Not yet due
Evidence
Claim
BlackRock clients scoop up 1,495 Bitcoin for $115M through IBIT
Affected assets
BTC, IBIT
AI inference
Bullish · 75%
Generated
2026-09-03 05:50
AI inference
Bullish · 75%
Reference price
77,423
Verification window
6h
Actual outcome
Awaiting evaluation
Provenance
- Provider
- Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
- Model version
- Not recorded for this call
- Methodology version
- Scored before versions were recorded
- Record
groq-reasoning-qwen/qwen3.8-27b #298375
-
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
Awaiting evaluation
Sep 3, 2026 07:58
- Direction
- Neutral
- Confidence
- 60%
- Reference price
- 77,707.00
- Verification window
- 6h
- Outcome
-
Not yet due
Evidence
Claim
Dogecoin becomes only losing bet for Japan-listed firm as it sells altcoins for bitcoin
Affected assets
DOGE, BTC
AI inference
Neutral · 60%
Generated
2026-09-03 04:58
AI inference
Neutral · 60%
Reference price
77,707
Verification window
6h
Actual outcome
Awaiting evaluation
Provenance
- Provider
- Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
- Model version
- Not recorded for this call
- Methodology version
- Scored before versions were recorded
- Record
groq-reasoning-qwen/qwen3.8-27b #298353
-
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
Awaiting evaluation
Sep 3, 2026 07:22
- Direction
- Neutral
- Confidence
- 60%
- Reference price
- 77,577.00
- Verification window
- 6h
- Outcome
-
Not yet due
Evidence
Claim
Bitcoin back above $77,500, XRP leads majors as Fed hike odds near 66%
Affected assets
BTC, XRP
AI inference
Neutral · 60%
Generated
2026-09-03 04:22
AI inference
Neutral · 60%
Reference price
77,577
Verification window
6h
Actual outcome
Awaiting evaluation
Provenance
- Provider
- Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
- Model version
- Not recorded for this call
- Methodology version
- Scored before versions were recorded
- Record
groq-reasoning-qwen/qwen3.8-27b #298165
-
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
Awaiting evaluation
Sep 3, 2026 04:04
- Direction
- Bullish
- Confidence
- 40%
- Reference price
- 77,311.00
- Verification window
- 7d
- Outcome
-
Not yet due
Evidence
Claim
Arthur Hayes Reaffirms Bitcoin Long, Sets $10,000 Ether Target for 2026
Affected assets
BTC, ETH
AI inference
Bullish · 40%
Generated
2026-09-03 01:04
AI inference
Bullish · 40%
Reference price
77,311
Verification window
7d
Actual outcome
Awaiting evaluation
Provenance
- Provider
- Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
- Model version
- Not recorded for this call
- Methodology version
- Scored before versions were recorded
- Record
groq-reasoning-qwen/qwen3.8-27b #298057
Prediction history
10931 calls logged on BTC, newest first. Nothing is filtered out.
Logged model predictions for BTC
| Logged |
Provider |
Direction |
Confidence |
Reference price |
Evaluated price |
Lifecycle |
Outcome |
| Sep 3, 2026 11:33 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Neutral |
40% |
77,924.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 10:45 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
85% |
78,008.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 10:37 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
60% |
77,889.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 10:01 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
60% |
77,779.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 08:50 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Bullish |
75% |
77,423.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 07:58 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Neutral |
60% |
77,707.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 07:22 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Neutral |
60% |
77,577.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 04:04 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Bullish |
40% |
77,311.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 03:01 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
50% |
77,051.00 |
77,782.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.95%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 01:10 |
Rule-Based Analysis |
Bearish |
30% |
77,124.86 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 00:31 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
90% |
77,279.00 |
77,753.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.61%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 23:56 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
65% |
77,279.00 |
77,727.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.58%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 23:19 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Bullish |
60% |
77,370.00 |
77,727.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.46%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 22:15 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Neutral |
40% |
77,236.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 2, 2026 22:15 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
85% |
77,236.00 |
77,311.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.10%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 21:38 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Bullish |
60% |
77,326.00 |
77,051.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
-0.36%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 21:30 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
60% |
77,326.00 |
77,051.00 |
Verified |
Correct
-0.36%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 20:24 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
65% |
77,341.00 |
77,280.00 |
Verified |
Correct
-0.08%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 19:58 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
50% |
77,341.00 |
77,007.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
-0.43%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 19:21 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bearish |
90% |
77,251.00 |
77,007.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
-0.32%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 18:13 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Bullish |
40% |
77,205.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 2, 2026 18:00 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
95% |
77,084.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 2, 2026 17:39 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
75% |
77,150.00 |
77,370.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.29%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 17:00 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
30% |
77,150.00 |
77,236.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.11%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 16:30 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
65% |
77,102.00 |
77,236.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.17%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 16:00 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
75% |
77,102.00 |
77,326.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.29%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 15:31 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Bullish |
60% |
76,632.00 |
77,326.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.91%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 15:24 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
30% |
76,826.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 2, 2026 15:13 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
30% |
76,632.00 |
77,326.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.91%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 15:00 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
95% |
76,632.00 |
77,326.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.91%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 15:00 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
95% |
76,632.00 |
77,326.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.91%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 14:55 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bearish |
60% |
76,632.00 |
77,326.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.91%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 14:45 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
75% |
76,608.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 2, 2026 14:35 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
60% |
76,726.00 |
77,326.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.78%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 14:30 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
90% |
76,726.00 |
77,326.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.78%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 14:08 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
85% |
76,726.00 |
77,326.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.78%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 13:50 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bearish |
95% |
76,726.00 |
77,326.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.78%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 13:26 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
60% |
76,337.00 |
77,326.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
1.30%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 12:57 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bearish |
95% |
76,337.00 |
77,326.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
1.30%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 12:23 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
95% |
76,669.00 |
77,326.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.86%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 12:08 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
95% |
76,337.00 |
77,326.00 |
Verified |
Correct
1.30%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 11:31 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Bearish |
85% |
76,815.00 |
77,326.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.67%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 09:53 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
60% |
77,537.00 |
77,786.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.32%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 08:43 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
65% |
77,535.00 |
77,326.00 |
Verified |
Correct
-0.27%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 08:01 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bearish |
95% |
77,683.00 |
77,326.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
-0.46%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 07:40 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Neutral |
60% |
77,541.00 |
77,341.00 |
Verified |
Correct
-0.26%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 06:05 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
65% |
77,553.00 |
77,251.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
-0.39%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 04:21 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
60% |
76,747.00 |
77,251.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.66%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 04:21 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
60% |
77,253.00 |
77,251.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.00%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 01:53 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
65% |
77,458.00 |
77,541.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.11%
|
