BTC at a glance
81,445.00
USD
USD per coin
- Market
-
Open
- Data
-
Live
Stored snapshot (BTC)
·
2 minutes ago
- Range
-
24h 76,968.00 – 81,790.00
- Volatility regime
-
Normal
2.45%
daily deviation over 29 sessions
Dominant narrative
Block reports $433M in unrealized Bitcoin gains under Dorsey
CryptoBriefing · 1 hour, 10 minutes ago
· Article tone: Neutral
· Model direction: Bullish
The reported gains provide a concrete data point on how public fintech companies are exposed to cryptocurrency price volatility, potentially influencing investor sentiment toward companies with significant digital asset holdings.
Related events
Stories on this asset that a model actually logged a call against.
Model agreement
26 open calls across the models tracking this asset.
-
Bullish
16 · 62%
-
Neutral
8 · 31%
-
Bearish
2 · 8%
The models do not agree. The split is shown rather than a single direction.
- GPT-OSS 120B (Groq) Bullish
- Mistral Small Latest Bullish
- Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) Bullish
- Rule-Based Analysis Bearish
Verification state
5388 of 10957 calls on this asset have reached a verdict
(49%).
-
Generated
10957
-
Awaiting evaluation
26
-
Verified
5388
-
Excluded
5543
How these are scored →
Observed bias
▲
Bullish
16 of 26 open model calls on BTC lean higher. Average recorded confidence is 67%. Most were logged against a 6h window.
- Agreement
- 16 of 26 open calls
- Horizon
- 6h
- Invalidating condition
-
A sustained move below 78,394.01 USD — the observed support level — would remove the basis for this reading.
-
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
Bullish
75%
Sep 3 22:41 · 6h
Generated
→
6h
→
Verified
-
Mistral Small Latest
Bullish
85%
Sep 3 22:23 · 6h
Generated
→
6h
→
Verified
-
Mistral Small Latest
Bullish
85%
Sep 3 22:03 · 6h
Generated
→
6h
→
Verified
-
Mistral Small Latest
Bullish
95%
Sep 3 21:07 · 6h
Generated
→
6h
→
Verified
-
Mistral Small Latest
Bullish
90%
Sep 3 20:20 · 6h
Generated
→
6h
→
Verified
Price Chart
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Detailed Market Analysis
Current price
81518.01 USD
Asset Intelligence Dossier
- Currency
- USD
- Quoted in
- USD per coin
- Exchange
- crypto
- Timezone
- UTC
- Market
-
Open
Over the last 30 days, AI sentiment for BTC skewed neutral (127 of 331 scored calls). The most accurate provider on this asset is Mistral Small Latest at 56.3% across 71 verified calls.
Provider track record
Mistral Small Latest
40/71 verified calls
56.3%
FinBERT
77/151 verified calls
51.0%
Llama 3.3 70B Versatile (Groq)
214/549 verified calls
39.0%
Rule-Based Analysis
1591/4423 verified calls
36.0%
Rule-Based Analysis
55/157 verified calls
35.0%
GPT-OSS 120B (Groq)
3/7 verified calls
Insufficient sample · n=7
Gemini 2.5 Flash
4/11 verified calls
Insufficient sample · n=11
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
6/19 verified calls
Insufficient sample · n=19
Confidence trend
57%
▲
20.5 pts vs previous week
Avg confidence across 201 calls in the last 7 days
What sources say
Neutral
127 articles
Bitcoin may be leaving its 4-year cycle behind for a 6-to-8-year Wall Street rhythm
Bitcoin keeps whipsawing around $77,000, and ETF investors are doing the same
EU Strategy Targets €10 Trillion in Deposits, No Bitcoin Yet
Bullish
117 articles
Block reports $433M in unrealized Bitcoin gains under Dorsey
Why Is Bitcoin Up Today?
Bitcoin Reclaims $80,000 Amid Dovish Fed Signal
Bearish
87 articles
Bitcoin experiences extreme fund flows for six consecutive days, a pattern that historically precedes price drops
Fed Rate Cut Odds Slashed as Kalshi September Hike Bets Reach 60%–68%
Morning Minute: Bitcoin Enters ‘Rektember’ After Best August Since 2017
AI evidence
Every call logged on BTC, traced from the source that triggered it to the outcome it was scored against.
-
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
Awaiting evaluation
Sep 3, 2026 22:41
- Direction
- Bullish
- Confidence
- 75%
- Reference price
- 81,461.00
- Verification window
- 6h
- Outcome
-
Not yet due
Evidence
Claim
Block reports $433M in unrealized Bitcoin gains under Dorsey
Affected assets
BTC
AI inference
Bullish · 75%
Generated
2026-09-03 19:41
AI inference
Bullish · 75%
Reference price
81,461
Verification window
6h
Actual outcome
Awaiting evaluation
Provenance
- Provider
- Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
- Model version
- Not recorded for this call
- Methodology version
- Scored before versions were recorded
- Record
groq-reasoning-qwen/qwen3.8-27b #298814
-
Mistral Small Latest
Awaiting evaluation
Sep 3, 2026 22:23
- Direction
- Bullish
- Confidence
- 85%
- Reference price
- 81,535.00
- Verification window
- 6h
- Outcome
-
Not yet due
Evidence
Claim
Why Is Bitcoin Up Today?
Affected assets
BTC, COIN
AI inference
Bullish · 85%
Generated
2026-09-03 19:23
AI inference
Bullish · 85%
Reference price
81,535
Verification window
6h
Actual outcome
Awaiting evaluation
Provenance
- Provider
- Mistral Small Latest
- Model version
- Not recorded for this call
- Methodology version
- Scored before versions were recorded
- Record
mistral-small-latest #298822
-
Mistral Small Latest
Awaiting evaluation
Sep 3, 2026 22:03
- Direction
- Bullish
- Confidence
- 85%
- Reference price
- 81,250.00
- Verification window
- 6h
- Outcome
-
Not yet due
Evidence
Claim
Why Is Bitcoin Up Today?
Affected assets
BTC, COIN
AI inference
Bullish · 85%
Generated
2026-09-03 19:03
AI inference
Bullish · 85%
Reference price
81,250
Verification window
6h
Actual outcome
Awaiting evaluation
Provenance
- Provider
- Mistral Small Latest
- Model version
- Not recorded for this call
- Methodology version
- Scored before versions were recorded
- Record
mistral-small-latest #298834
-
Mistral Small Latest
Awaiting evaluation
Sep 3, 2026 21:07
- Direction
- Bullish
- Confidence
- 95%
- Reference price
- 81,156.00
- Verification window
- 6h
- Outcome
-
Not yet due
Evidence
Claim
Bitcoin Reclaims $80,000 Amid Dovish Fed Signal
Affected assets
BTC
AI inference
Bullish · 95%
Generated
2026-09-03 18:07
AI inference
Bullish · 95%
Reference price
81,156
Verification window
6h
Actual outcome
Awaiting evaluation
Provenance
- Provider
- Mistral Small Latest
- Model version
- Not recorded for this call
- Methodology version
- Scored before versions were recorded
- Record
mistral-small-latest #298800
-
Mistral Small Latest
Awaiting evaluation
Sep 3, 2026 20:20
- Direction
- Bullish
- Confidence
- 90%
- Reference price
- 81,055.00
- Verification window
- 6h
- Outcome
-
Not yet due
Evidence
Claim
Strategy Buys $370M in Bitcoin After 2-Month Pause, Boosting Total Holdings to 845,050 Coins. Is BTC Back?
Affected assets
BTC
AI inference
Bullish · 90%
Generated
2026-09-03 17:20
AI inference
Bullish · 90%
Reference price
81,055
Verification window
6h
Actual outcome
Awaiting evaluation
Provenance
- Provider
- Mistral Small Latest
- Model version
- Not recorded for this call
- Methodology version
- Scored before versions were recorded
- Record
mistral-small-latest #298811
-
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
Awaiting evaluation
Sep 3, 2026 20:10
- Direction
- Neutral
- Confidence
- 40%
- Reference price
- 81,030.00
- Verification window
- 7d
- Outcome
-
Not yet due
Evidence
Claim
Bitcoin may be leaving its 4-year cycle behind for a 6-to-8-year Wall Street rhythm
Affected assets
BTC
AI inference
Neutral · 40%
Generated
2026-09-03 17:10
AI inference
Neutral · 40%
Reference price
81,030
Verification window
7d
Actual outcome
Awaiting evaluation
Provenance
- Provider
- Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
- Model version
- Not recorded for this call
- Methodology version
- Scored before versions were recorded
- Record
groq-reasoning-qwen/qwen3.8-27b #298739
-
Mistral Small Latest
Awaiting evaluation
Sep 3, 2026 19:38
- Direction
- Bullish
- Confidence
- 85%
- Reference price
- 80,835.00
- Verification window
- 6h
- Outcome
-
Not yet due
Evidence
Claim
Bitcoin Pumps as Fed Signals Rate Pause, $415 Million in Shorts Get Rekt
Affected assets
BTC, MARA, RIOT, PYPL, SQ, COIN
AI inference
Bullish · 85%
Generated
2026-09-03 16:38
AI inference
Bullish · 85%
Reference price
80,835
Verification window
6h
Actual outcome
Awaiting evaluation
Provenance
- Provider
- Mistral Small Latest
- Model version
- Not recorded for this call
- Methodology version
- Scored before versions were recorded
- Record
mistral-small-latest #298692
-
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
Awaiting evaluation
Sep 3, 2026 19:27
- Direction
- Bullish
- Confidence
- 80%
- Reference price
- 80,662.00
- Verification window
- 24h
- Outcome
-
Not yet due
Evidence
Claim
Strive CEO says company could end 2026 as second-largest public bitcoin holder as ASST climbs
Affected assets
ASST, BTC
AI inference
Bullish · 80%
Generated
2026-09-03 16:27
AI inference
Bullish · 80%
Reference price
80,662
Verification window
24h
Actual outcome
Awaiting evaluation
Provenance
- Provider
- Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
- Model version
- Not recorded for this call
- Methodology version
- Scored before versions were recorded
- Record
groq-reasoning-qwen/qwen3.8-27b #298695
Prediction history
10957 calls logged on BTC, newest first. Nothing is filtered out.
Logged model predictions for BTC
| Logged |
Provider |
Direction |
Confidence |
Reference price |
Evaluated price |
Lifecycle |
Outcome |
| Sep 3, 2026 22:41 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Bullish |
75% |
81,461.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 22:23 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
85% |
81,535.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 22:03 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
85% |
81,250.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 21:07 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
95% |
81,156.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 20:20 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
90% |
81,055.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 20:10 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Neutral |
40% |
81,030.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 19:38 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
85% |
80,835.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 19:27 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Bullish |
80% |
80,662.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 19:24 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Bearish |
40% |
80,802.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 19:19 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
65% |
80,802.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 19:09 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
75% |
81,078.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 18:58 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
95% |
81,177.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 18:14 |
GPT-OSS 120B (Groq) |
Bullish |
75% |
80,552.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 17:50 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
85% |
79,948.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 17:37 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
60% |
81,144.01 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 16:59 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
85% |
78,804.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 15:30 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
90% |
77,933.00 |
80,989.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
3.92%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 14:43 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Neutral |
75% |
77,936.00 |
81,135.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
4.10%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 14:42 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
75% |
77,878.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 14:19 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
75% |
77,843.00 |
81,055.00 |
Verified |
Correct
4.13%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 14:01 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
75% |
77,700.00 |
80,924.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
4.15%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 13:29 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
90% |
77,597.00 |
80,662.00 |
Verified |
Correct
3.95%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 13:15 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Bullish |
65% |
77,560.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 12:13 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
95% |
77,865.00 |
80,552.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
3.45%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 12:11 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
75% |
77,775.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 12:00 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
55% |
77,812.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 11:33 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Neutral |
40% |
77,924.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 10:45 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
85% |
78,008.00 |
78,706.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.89%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 10:37 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
60% |
77,889.00 |
78,611.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.93%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 10:01 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
60% |
77,779.00 |
78,671.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
1.15%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 08:50 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Bullish |
75% |
77,423.00 |
77,932.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.66%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 07:58 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Neutral |
60% |
77,707.00 |
77,604.00 |
Verified |
Correct
-0.13%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 07:22 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Neutral |
60% |
77,577.00 |
77,612.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.05%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 04:04 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Bullish |
40% |
77,311.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 03:01 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
50% |
77,051.00 |
77,782.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.95%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 01:10 |
Rule-Based Analysis |
Bearish |
30% |
77,124.86 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 00:31 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
90% |
77,279.00 |
77,753.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.61%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 23:56 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
65% |
77,279.00 |
77,830.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.71%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 23:19 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Bullish |
60% |
77,370.00 |
77,429.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.08%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 22:15 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Neutral |
40% |
77,236.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 2, 2026 22:15 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
85% |
77,236.00 |
77,312.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.10%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 21:38 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Bullish |
60% |
77,326.00 |
76,977.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
-0.45%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 21:30 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
60% |
77,326.00 |
77,028.00 |
Verified |
Correct
-0.39%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 20:24 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
65% |
77,341.00 |
77,117.00 |
Verified |
Correct
-0.29%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 19:58 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
50% |
77,341.00 |
77,007.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
-0.43%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 19:21 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bearish |
90% |
77,251.00 |
77,110.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
-0.18%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 18:13 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Bullish |
40% |
77,205.00 |
80,552.00 |
Verified |
Correct
4.34%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 18:00 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
95% |
77,084.00 |
77,412.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.43%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 17:39 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
75% |
77,150.00 |
77,433.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.37%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 17:00 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
30% |
77,150.00 |
77,236.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.11%
|
