BTC at a glance
80,907.00
USD
USD per coin
- Market
-
Open
- Data
-
Live
Stored snapshot (BTC)
·
1 minute ago
- Range
-
24h 80,759.52 – 81,427.75
- Volatility regime
-
Normal
2.43%
daily deviation over 29 sessions
Dominant narrative
Fed Rate Hike Odds Fall to 50/50: Will Bitcoin's Rally Above 80,000 Hold?
BeInCrypto · 47 minutes ago
· Article tone: Neutral
· Model direction: Neutral
The 50/50 odds for a September rate hike may reduce the perceived near-term risk of aggressive Fed tightening, which could support Bitcoin's price rally by improving liquidity conditions and risk appetite.
Related events
Stories on this asset that a model actually logged a call against.
Model agreement
21 open calls across the models tracking this asset.
-
Neutral
10 · 48%
-
Bullish
10 · 48%
-
Bearish
1 · 5%
The models do not agree. The split is shown rather than a single direction.
- Mistral Small Latest Bullish
- Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) Neutral
Verification state
5399 of 10963 calls on this asset have reached a verdict
(49%).
-
Generated
10963
-
Awaiting evaluation
21
-
Verified
5399
-
Excluded
5543
How these are scored →
Observed bias
■
Neutral
10 of 21 open model calls on BTC record no directional lean. Average recorded confidence is 65%. Most were logged against a 6h window.
- Agreement
- 10 of 21 open calls
- Horizon
- 6h
- Invalidating condition
-
The reading holds while price stays inside the observed 80,594.42 – 81,262.65 USD band; a close outside it would remove its basis.
-
Mistral Small Latest
Bearish
75%
Sep 4 01:19 · 6h
Generated
→
6h
→
Verified
-
Mistral Small Latest
Neutral
85%
Sep 4 01:14 · 6h
Generated
→
6h
→
Verified
-
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
Neutral
60%
Sep 4 01:06 · 6h
Generated
→
6h
→
Verified
-
Mistral Small Latest
Neutral
75%
Sep 4 00:31 · 6h
Generated
→
6h
→
Verified
-
Mistral Small Latest
Bullish
85%
Sep 4 00:06 · 6h
Generated
→
6h
→
Verified
Price Chart
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Detailed Market Analysis
Current price
80845.99 USD
Asset Intelligence Dossier
- Currency
- USD
- Quoted in
- USD per coin
- Exchange
- crypto
- Timezone
- UTC
- Market
-
Open
Over the last 30 days, AI sentiment for BTC skewed neutral (130 of 336 scored calls). The most accurate provider on this asset is FinBERT at 51.0% across 151 verified calls.
Provider track record
FinBERT
77/151 verified calls
51.0%
Mistral Small Latest
40/79 verified calls
50.6%
Llama 3.3 70B Versatile (Groq)
214/549 verified calls
39.0%
Rule-Based Analysis
1591/4424 verified calls
36.0%
Rule-Based Analysis
55/157 verified calls
35.0%
GPT-OSS 120B (Groq)
4/8 verified calls
Insufficient sample · n=8
Gemini 2.5 Flash
4/11 verified calls
Insufficient sample · n=11
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
6/20 verified calls
Insufficient sample · n=20
Confidence trend
60%
▲
24.1 pts vs previous week
Avg confidence across 189 calls in the last 7 days
What sources say
Neutral
130 articles
BitMEX Co-Founder Funded Reform UK Before Shutting Down the Exchange
ProCap Financial sells 50 Bitcoin to repurchase shares at 40% discount
Bitcoin-Gold Correlation Hits Six-Year High as Debasement Fears Mount
Bullish
119 articles
Crypto Market Today, Sept. 3: Bitcoin Reclaims $81,000 on Fed Rate Pause Signals
Bitcoin Surges Above Key Moving Average, Key Resistance About to Crack
Block reports $433M in unrealized Bitcoin gains under Dorsey
Bearish
87 articles
Bitcoin Bear Market May Not Yet Be Over, Says Fidelity
Bitcoin experiences extreme fund flows for six consecutive days, a pattern that historically precedes price drops
Fed Rate Cut Odds Slashed as Kalshi September Hike Bets Reach 60%–68%
AI evidence
Every call logged on BTC, traced from the source that triggered it to the outcome it was scored against.
-
Mistral Small Latest
Awaiting evaluation
Sep 4, 2026 01:19
- Direction
- Bearish
- Confidence
- 75%
- Reference price
- 81,395.00
- Verification window
- 6h
- Outcome
-
Not yet due
Evidence
Claim
Bitcoin Bear Market May Not Yet Be Over, Says Fidelity
Affected assets
BTC, COIN, MSTR
AI inference
Bearish · 75%
Generated
2026-09-03 22:19
AI inference
Bearish · 75%
Reference price
81,395
Verification window
6h
Actual outcome
Awaiting evaluation
Provenance
- Provider
- Mistral Small Latest
- Model version
- Not recorded for this call
- Methodology version
- Scored before versions were recorded
- Record
mistral-small-latest #298917
-
Mistral Small Latest
Awaiting evaluation
Sep 4, 2026 01:14
- Direction
- Neutral
- Confidence
- 85%
- Reference price
- 81,360.00
- Verification window
- 6h
- Outcome
-
Not yet due
Evidence
Claim
BitMEX Co-Founder Funded Reform UK Before Shutting Down the Exchange
Affected assets
BTC, BITO, MSTR, COIN, RIOT
AI inference
Neutral · 85%
Generated
2026-09-03 22:14
AI inference
Neutral · 85%
Reference price
81,360
Verification window
6h
Actual outcome
Awaiting evaluation
Provenance
- Provider
- Mistral Small Latest
- Model version
- Not recorded for this call
- Methodology version
- Scored before versions were recorded
- Record
mistral-small-latest #298923
-
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
Awaiting evaluation
Sep 4, 2026 01:06
- Direction
- Neutral
- Confidence
- 60%
- Reference price
- 81,456.00
- Verification window
- 6h
- Outcome
-
Not yet due
Evidence
Claim
ProCap Financial sells 50 Bitcoin to repurchase shares at 40% discount
Affected assets
BTC
AI inference
Neutral · 60%
Generated
2026-09-03 22:06
AI inference
Neutral · 60%
Reference price
81,456
Verification window
6h
Actual outcome
Awaiting evaluation
Provenance
- Provider
- Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
- Model version
- Not recorded for this call
- Methodology version
- Scored before versions were recorded
- Record
groq-reasoning-qwen/qwen3.8-27b #298939
-
Mistral Small Latest
Awaiting evaluation
Sep 4, 2026 00:31
- Direction
- Neutral
- Confidence
- 75%
- Reference price
- 81,608.00
- Verification window
- 6h
- Outcome
-
Not yet due
Evidence
Claim
Bitcoin-Gold Correlation Hits Six-Year High as Debasement Fears Mount
Affected assets
BTC
AI inference
Neutral · 75%
Generated
2026-09-03 21:31
AI inference
Neutral · 75%
Reference price
81,608
Verification window
6h
Actual outcome
Awaiting evaluation
Provenance
- Provider
- Mistral Small Latest
- Model version
- Not recorded for this call
- Methodology version
- Scored before versions were recorded
- Record
mistral-small-latest #298878
-
Mistral Small Latest
Awaiting evaluation
Sep 4, 2026 00:06
- Direction
- Bullish
- Confidence
- 85%
- Reference price
- 81,458.00
- Verification window
- 6h
- Outcome
-
Not yet due
Evidence
Claim
Crypto Market Today, Sept. 3: Bitcoin Reclaims $81,000 on Fed Rate Pause Signals
Affected assets
BTC
AI inference
Bullish · 85%
Generated
2026-09-03 21:06
AI inference
Bullish · 85%
Reference price
81,458
Verification window
6h
Actual outcome
Awaiting evaluation
Provenance
- Provider
- Mistral Small Latest
- Model version
- Not recorded for this call
- Methodology version
- Scored before versions were recorded
- Record
mistral-small-latest #298890
-
Mistral Small Latest
Awaiting evaluation
Sep 3, 2026 23:39
- Direction
- Bullish
- Confidence
- 70%
- Reference price
- 81,442.00
- Verification window
- 6h
- Outcome
-
Not yet due
Evidence
Claim
Bitcoin Surges Above Key Moving Average, Key Resistance About to Crack
Affected assets
BTC
AI inference
Bullish · 70%
Generated
2026-09-03 20:39
AI inference
Bullish · 70%
Reference price
81,442
Verification window
6h
Actual outcome
Awaiting evaluation
Provenance
- Provider
- Mistral Small Latest
- Model version
- Not recorded for this call
- Methodology version
- Scored before versions were recorded
- Record
mistral-small-latest #298906
-
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
Awaiting evaluation
Sep 3, 2026 22:41
- Direction
- Bullish
- Confidence
- 75%
- Reference price
- 81,461.00
- Verification window
- 6h
- Outcome
-
Not yet due
Evidence
Claim
Block reports $433M in unrealized Bitcoin gains under Dorsey
Affected assets
BTC
AI inference
Bullish · 75%
Generated
2026-09-03 19:41
AI inference
Bullish · 75%
Reference price
81,461
Verification window
6h
Actual outcome
Awaiting evaluation
Provenance
- Provider
- Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
- Model version
- Not recorded for this call
- Methodology version
- Scored before versions were recorded
- Record
groq-reasoning-qwen/qwen3.8-27b #298814
-
Mistral Small Latest
Awaiting evaluation
Sep 3, 2026 22:23
- Direction
- Bullish
- Confidence
- 85%
- Reference price
- 81,535.00
- Verification window
- 6h
- Outcome
-
Not yet due
Evidence
Claim
Why Is Bitcoin Up Today?
Affected assets
BTC, COIN
AI inference
Bullish · 85%
Generated
2026-09-03 19:23
AI inference
Bullish · 85%
Reference price
81,535
Verification window
6h
Actual outcome
Awaiting evaluation
Provenance
- Provider
- Mistral Small Latest
- Model version
- Not recorded for this call
- Methodology version
- Scored before versions were recorded
- Record
mistral-small-latest #298822
Prediction history
10963 calls logged on BTC, newest first. Nothing is filtered out.
Logged model predictions for BTC
| Logged |
Provider |
Direction |
Confidence |
Reference price |
Evaluated price |
Lifecycle |
Outcome |
| Sep 4, 2026 01:19 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bearish |
75% |
81,395.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 4, 2026 01:14 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
85% |
81,360.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 4, 2026 01:06 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Neutral |
60% |
81,456.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 4, 2026 00:31 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
75% |
81,608.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 4, 2026 00:06 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
85% |
81,458.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 23:39 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
70% |
81,442.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 22:41 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Bullish |
75% |
81,461.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 22:23 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
85% |
81,535.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 22:03 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
85% |
81,250.00 |
80,924.28 |
Verified |
Incorrect
-0.40%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 21:07 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
95% |
81,156.00 |
80,924.28 |
Verified |
Incorrect
-0.29%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 20:20 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
90% |
81,055.00 |
81,231.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.22%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 20:10 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Neutral |
40% |
81,030.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 19:38 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
85% |
80,835.00 |
81,127.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.36%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 19:27 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Bullish |
80% |
80,662.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 19:24 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Bearish |
40% |
80,802.00 |
81,277.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.59%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 19:19 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
65% |
80,802.00 |
81,395.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.73%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 19:09 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
75% |
81,078.00 |
81,459.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.47%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 18:58 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
95% |
81,177.00 |
81,621.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.55%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 18:14 |
GPT-OSS 120B (Groq) |
Bullish |
75% |
80,552.00 |
81,521.00 |
Verified |
Correct
1.20%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 17:50 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
85% |
79,948.00 |
81,445.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
1.87%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 17:37 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
60% |
81,144.01 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 16:59 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
85% |
78,804.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 15:30 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
90% |
77,933.00 |
80,989.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
3.92%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 14:43 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Neutral |
75% |
77,936.00 |
81,135.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
4.10%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 14:42 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
75% |
77,878.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 14:19 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
75% |
77,843.00 |
81,055.00 |
Verified |
Correct
4.13%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 14:01 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
75% |
77,700.00 |
80,924.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
4.15%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 13:29 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
90% |
77,597.00 |
80,662.00 |
Verified |
Correct
3.95%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 13:15 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Bullish |
65% |
77,560.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 12:13 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
95% |
77,865.00 |
80,552.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
3.45%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 12:11 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
75% |
77,775.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 12:00 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
55% |
77,812.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 11:33 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Neutral |
40% |
77,924.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 10:45 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
85% |
78,008.00 |
78,706.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.89%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 10:37 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
60% |
77,889.00 |
78,611.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.93%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 10:01 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
60% |
77,779.00 |
78,671.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
1.15%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 08:50 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Bullish |
75% |
77,423.00 |
77,932.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.66%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 07:58 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Neutral |
60% |
77,707.00 |
77,604.00 |
Verified |
Correct
-0.13%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 07:22 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Neutral |
60% |
77,577.00 |
77,612.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.05%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 04:04 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Bullish |
40% |
77,311.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 03:01 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
50% |
77,051.00 |
77,782.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.95%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 01:10 |
Rule-Based Analysis |
Bearish |
30% |
77,124.86 |
81,459.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
5.62%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 00:31 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
90% |
77,279.00 |
77,753.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.61%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 23:56 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
65% |
77,279.00 |
77,830.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.71%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 23:19 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Bullish |
60% |
77,370.00 |
77,429.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.08%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 22:15 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Neutral |
40% |
77,236.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 2, 2026 22:15 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
85% |
77,236.00 |
77,312.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.10%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 21:38 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Bullish |
60% |
77,326.00 |
76,977.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
-0.45%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 21:30 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
60% |
77,326.00 |
77,028.00 |
Verified |
Correct
-0.39%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 20:24 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
65% |
77,341.00 |
77,117.00 |
Verified |
Correct
-0.29%
|
