BTC Bitcoin Crypto

81,081.00 USD +3.60% 7d

USD per coin

Market Open Data Delayed Stored snapshot (BTC) · 8 minutes ago

Trend Down Sentiment Neutral

Range

24h 80,502.87 – 81,427.75

Volatility regime

Normal

2.43% daily deviation over 29 sessions

Back

AI Accuracy on BTC 36.4% 5,475 verified predictions View Leaderboard View accuracy history

What is moving BTC

Dominant narrative

Bitcoin ETF News: BlackRock IBIT Captures 62% of Inflows

28 minutes ago · CryptoNews · Article tone: Neutral

Related events

Stories on this asset that a model actually logged a call against.

Bitcoin just crossed the line that ended 4 out of 5 bear markets, but … Sep 4 · Neutral · Awaiting evaluation
IMF Says Donations, Not Public Funds, Drove El Salvador Bitcoin Growth Sep 4 · Neutral · Awaiting evaluation
BlackRock clients purchase $454M worth of Bitcoin in a single transaction Sep 4 · Bullish · Awaiting evaluation
Bitcoin’s volatility ratio against gold collapses to 6-year low as traditional safe haven turbulence … Sep 4 · Neutral · Awaiting evaluation
Fed Rate Hike Odds Fall to 50/50: Will Bitcoin's Rally Above 80,000 Hold? Sep 4 · Neutral · Awaiting evaluation

Model agreement

24 open calls across the models tracking this asset.

Neutral 14 · 58%
Bullish 8 · 33%
Bearish 2 · 8%

The models do not agree. The split is shown rather than a single direction.

Mistral Small Latest Neutral
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) Neutral

Verification state

5475 of 10971 calls on this asset have reached a verdict (50%).

Generated 10971
Awaiting evaluation 24
Verified 5475
Excluded 5472

How these are scored

Observed bias

Neutral

14 of 24 open model calls on BTC record no directional lean. Average recorded confidence is 66%. Most were logged against a 24h window.

Agreement: 14 of 24 open calls
Confidence: 66% What confidence means
Horizon: 24h
Invalidating condition: The reading holds while price stays inside the observed 80,557.02 – 81,481.90 USD band; a close outside it would remove its basis.

Supporting evidence

Bitcoin just crossed the line that ended 4 out of 5 bear markets, but one deadly … Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) · Sep 4 12:50
IMF Says Donations, Not Public Funds, Drove El Salvador Bitcoin Growth Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) · Sep 4 08:58
BlackRock clients purchase $454M worth of Bitcoin in a single transaction Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) · Sep 4 08:42
Bitcoin’s volatility ratio against gold collapses to 6-year low as traditional safe haven turbulence surges Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) · Sep 4 08:10
Fed Rate Hike Odds Fall to 50/50: Will Bitcoin's Rally Above 80,000 Hold? Mistral Small Latest · Sep 4 04:17
Parked Coldcard loot begins moving as attacker routes $1.6M in stolen Bitcoin to Ethereum Mistral Small Latest · Sep 4 01:50

A description of what the tracked models have logged. Not a recommendation, and not personalised to any reader.

Calls on this asset

How these are scored

Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) Neutral 75% conf. Sep 4 12:50 · 6h

Generated 6h Verified
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) Neutral 75% conf. Sep 4 08:58 · 24h

Generated 6h 24h Verified
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) Bullish 60% conf. Sep 4 08:42 · 6h

Generated 6h Verified
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) Neutral 75% conf. Sep 4 08:10 · 24h

Generated 6h 24h Verified
Mistral Small Latest Neutral 85% conf. Sep 4 04:17 · 6h

Generated 6h Verified

Price Chart

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Loading chart for BTC...

Detailed Market Analysis

Key Levels

Support

80,557.02 USD

Resistance

81,481.90 USD

Volume & Momentum

Volume

Weak

0.8x avg

Momentum

-0.14%

Weak

Technical Context

RSI context

Market Sentiment

Neutral

Asset Intelligence Dossier

Timezone UTC

Over the last 30 days, AI sentiment for BTC skewed neutral (131 of 336 scored calls). The most accurate provider on this asset is FinBERT at 51.0% across 151 verified calls.

Provider track record

FinBERT

77/151 verified calls

51.0%

Mistral Small Latest

41/83 verified calls

49.4%

Llama 3.3 70B Versatile (Groq)

214/549 verified calls

39.0%

Rule-Based Analysis

57/160 verified calls

35.6%

Rule-Based Analysis

1591/4492 verified calls

35.4%

GPT-OSS 120B (Groq)

4/8 verified calls

Insufficient sample · n=8

Gemini 2.5 Flash

4/11 verified calls

Insufficient sample · n=11

Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)

6/21 verified calls

Insufficient sample · n=21

Confidence trend

64%

▲ 29.9 pts vs previous week

Avg confidence across 172 calls in the last 7 days

What sources say

Neutral 131 articles

Bitcoin just crossed the line that ended 4 out of 5 bear markets, but one deadly historical trap could still trigger a crash to $62,000

IMF Says Donations, Not Public Funds, Drove El Salvador Bitcoin Growth

Bitcoin’s volatility ratio against gold collapses to 6-year low as traditional safe haven turbulence surges

Bullish 118 articles

BlackRock clients purchase $454M worth of Bitcoin in a single transaction

Crypto Market Today, Sept. 3: Bitcoin Reclaims $81,000 on Fed Rate Pause Signals

Bitcoin Surges Above Key Moving Average, Key Resistance About to Crack

Bearish 87 articles

Parked Coldcard loot begins moving as attacker routes $1.6M in stolen Bitcoin to Ethereum

Bitcoin Bear Market May Not Yet Be Over, Says Fidelity

Bitcoin experiences extreme fund flows for six consecutive days, a pattern that historically precedes price drops

BTC News Intelligence (8273 articles)

AI-curated news influencing BTC price, sentiment, and trend

Explore All BTC News with AI Analysis

Economy

7 months ago

Bitcoin Price Hits Lowest Level Since April 2025 Tariff Shock

Bitcoin sold off sharply over the weekend, pummeled by a broad investor shift away from risky assets such as technology …

Impact on BTC: Market impact analysis based on bearish sentiment with 90% confidence.

Bitcoin price has hit its lowest level since April 2025 due to a shift away … High (90%)

View full analysis →

Yahoo Finance 90% confidence

Cryptocurrency

7 months ago

Bitcoin bounces 7% from lows, but crypto remains under pressure in U.S. trade

Crypto-related stocks like Robinhood, Coinbase, and Strategy continued to sport sizable losses on Monday.

Impact on BTC: Market impact analysis based on neutral sentiment with 70% confidence.

Bitcoin has rebounded 7% from its lows, but the overall crypto market remains under pressure, … High (70%)

View full analysis →

CoinDesk 70% confidence

Cryptocurrency

7 months ago

Why a $58,000 bitcoin is the key number for crypto investors right now

Historical data show that bitcoin has always found support in bear markets at the 200-week moving average.

Impact on BTC: Market impact analysis based on neutral sentiment with 80% confidence.

Bitcoin investors are focusing on the 200-week moving average, currently at $58,000, as a key … High (80%)

View full analysis →

CoinDesk 80% confidence

Economy

7 months ago

Strategy Stock Drops as Bitcoin Price Sinks. MSTR Is Doubling Down on Its Bet.

Strategy stock declined after the price of Bitcoin tanked over the weekend, souring its cryptocurrency bet. Strategy revealed in a …

Impact on BTC: Market impact analysis based on bearish sentiment with 80% confidence.

The stock of Strategy, a company heavily invested in cryptocurrency, declined after Bitcoin's price drop, … High (80%)

View full analysis →

Yahoo Finance 80% confidence

Cryptocurrency

7 months ago

Bitcoin bull market 'confirmed over?' BTC price sees 4th red monthly candle

Bitcoin printed its fourth red monthly candle in a row as BTC price dropped below $80,000, with traders dismissing the …

Impact on BTC: Market impact analysis based on bearish sentiment with 90% confidence.

Bitcoin's price has dropped below $80,000, marking its fourth consecutive red monthly candle, potentially indicating … High (90%)

View full analysis →

CoinTelegraph 90% confidence

Commodities

7 months ago

Strategy slides after bitcoin briefly dips below crypto firm's key breakeven level

Bitcoin fell as low as about $74,500 early Monday, dipping below Strategy's average purchase price of $76,052 per token.

Impact on BTC: Market impact analysis based on bearish sentiment with 70% confidence.

Bitcoin dipped below Strategy's breakeven level of $76,052, causing a potential slide in the firm's … High (70%)

View full analysis →

CNBC 70% confidence

AI evidence

Every call logged on BTC, traced from the source that triggered it to the outcome it was scored against.

Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) Awaiting evaluation Sep 4, 2026 12:50

Claim

Bitcoin just crossed the line that ended 4 out of 5 bear markets, but one deadly …

Direction
Neutral

Confidence
75%

Reference price
81,088.00

Verification window
6h

Outcome

Not yet due

Evidence

Source CryptoSlate

Claim Bitcoin just crossed the line that ended 4 out of 5 bear markets, but one deadly historical trap could still trigger a crash to $62,000

Affected assets BTC

AI inference Neutral · 75%

Generated 2026-09-04 09:50

AI inference Neutral · 75%

Reference price 81,088

Verification window 6h

Actual outcome Awaiting evaluation

Provenance

Provider
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)

Model version

Not recorded for this call

Methodology version

Scored before versions were recorded

Record

groq-reasoning-qwen/qwen3.8-27b #299230
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) Awaiting evaluation Sep 4, 2026 08:58

Claim

IMF Says Donations, Not Public Funds, Drove El Salvador Bitcoin Growth

Direction
Neutral

Confidence
75%

Reference price
80,853.08

Verification window
24h

Outcome

Not yet due

Evidence

Source BeInCrypto

Claim IMF Says Donations, Not Public Funds, Drove El Salvador Bitcoin Growth

Affected assets BTC

AI inference Neutral · 75%

Generated 2026-09-04 05:58

AI inference Neutral · 75%

Reference price 80,853.08

Verification window 24h

Actual outcome Awaiting evaluation

Provenance

Provider
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)

Model version

Not recorded for this call

Methodology version

Scored before versions were recorded

Record

groq-reasoning-qwen/qwen3.8-27b #299205
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) Awaiting evaluation Sep 4, 2026 08:42

Claim

BlackRock clients purchase $454M worth of Bitcoin in a single transaction

Direction
Bullish

Confidence
60%

Reference price
80,961.00

Verification window
6h

Outcome

Not yet due

Evidence

Source CryptoBriefing

Claim BlackRock clients purchase $454M worth of Bitcoin in a single transaction

Affected assets BTC, IBIT

AI inference Bullish · 60%

Generated 2026-09-04 05:42

AI inference Bullish · 60%

Reference price 80,961

Verification window 6h

Actual outcome Awaiting evaluation

Provenance

Provider
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)

Model version

Not recorded for this call

Methodology version

Scored before versions were recorded

Record

groq-reasoning-qwen/qwen3.8-27b #299209
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) Awaiting evaluation Sep 4, 2026 08:10

Claim

Bitcoin’s volatility ratio against gold collapses to 6-year low as traditional safe haven turbulence surges

Direction
Neutral

Confidence
75%

Reference price
80,970.01

Verification window
24h

Outcome

Not yet due

Evidence

Source CryptoSlate

Claim Bitcoin’s volatility ratio against gold collapses to 6-year low as traditional safe haven turbulence surges

Affected assets BTC, GLD, IBIT

AI inference Neutral · 75%

Generated 2026-09-04 05:10

AI inference Neutral · 75%

Reference price 80,970.01

Verification window 24h

Actual outcome Awaiting evaluation

Provenance

Provider
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)

Model version

Not recorded for this call

Methodology version

Scored before versions were recorded

Record

groq-reasoning-qwen/qwen3.8-27b #299197
Mistral Small Latest Awaiting evaluation Sep 4, 2026 04:17

Claim

Fed Rate Hike Odds Fall to 50/50: Will Bitcoin's Rally Above 80,000 Hold?

Direction
Neutral

Confidence
85%

Reference price
80,851.15

Verification window
6h

Outcome

Not yet due

Evidence

Source BeInCrypto

Claim Fed Rate Hike Odds Fall to 50/50: Will Bitcoin's Rally Above 80,000 Hold?

Affected assets BTC

AI inference Neutral · 85%

Generated 2026-09-04 01:17

AI inference Neutral · 85%

Reference price 80,851.15

Verification window 6h

Actual outcome Awaiting evaluation

Provenance

Provider
Mistral Small Latest

Model version

Not recorded for this call

Methodology version

Scored before versions were recorded

Record

mistral-small-latest #298974
Mistral Small Latest Awaiting evaluation Sep 4, 2026 01:50

Claim

Parked Coldcard loot begins moving as attacker routes $1.6M in stolen Bitcoin to Ethereum

Direction
Bearish

Confidence
95%

Reference price
80,963.29

Verification window
6h

Outcome

Not yet due

Evidence

Source CryptoSlate

Claim Parked Coldcard loot begins moving as attacker routes $1.6M in stolen Bitcoin to Ethereum

Affected assets BTC, ETH

AI inference Bearish · 95%

Generated 2026-09-03 22:50

AI inference Bearish · 95%

Reference price 80,963.29

Verification window 6h

Actual outcome Awaiting evaluation

Provenance

Provider
Mistral Small Latest

Model version

Not recorded for this call

Methodology version

Scored before versions were recorded

Record

mistral-small-latest #299034
Mistral Small Latest Awaiting evaluation Sep 4, 2026 01:19

Claim

Bitcoin Bear Market May Not Yet Be Over, Says Fidelity

Direction
Bearish

Confidence
75%

Reference price
81,395.00

Verification window
6h

Outcome

Not yet due

Evidence

Source Bitcoin Magazine

Claim Bitcoin Bear Market May Not Yet Be Over, Says Fidelity

Affected assets BTC, COIN, MSTR

AI inference Bearish · 75%

Generated 2026-09-03 22:19

AI inference Bearish · 75%

Reference price 81,395

Verification window 6h

Actual outcome Awaiting evaluation

Provenance

Provider
Mistral Small Latest

Model version

Not recorded for this call

Methodology version

Scored before versions were recorded

Record

mistral-small-latest #298917
Mistral Small Latest Awaiting evaluation Sep 4, 2026 01:14

Claim

BitMEX Co-Founder Funded Reform UK Before Shutting Down the Exchange

Direction
Neutral

Confidence
85%

Reference price
81,360.00

Verification window
6h

Outcome

Not yet due

Evidence

Source BeInCrypto

Claim BitMEX Co-Founder Funded Reform UK Before Shutting Down the Exchange

Affected assets BTC, BITO, MSTR, COIN, RIOT

AI inference Neutral · 85%

Generated 2026-09-03 22:14

AI inference Neutral · 85%

Reference price 81,360

Verification window 6h

Actual outcome Awaiting evaluation

Provenance

Provider
Mistral Small Latest

Model version

Not recorded for this call

Methodology version

Scored before versions were recorded

Record

mistral-small-latest #298923

Prediction history

10971 calls logged on BTC, newest first. Nothing is filtered out.

Logged model predictions for BTC
Logged	Provider	Direction	Confidence	Reference price	Evaluated price	Lifecycle	Outcome
Sep 4, 2026 12:50	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Neutral	75%	81,088.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 4, 2026 08:58	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Neutral	75%	80,853.08	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 4, 2026 08:42	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Bullish	60%	80,961.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 4, 2026 08:10	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Neutral	75%	80,970.01	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 4, 2026 04:17	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	85%	80,851.15	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 4, 2026 01:50	Mistral Small Latest	Bearish	95%	80,963.29	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 4, 2026 01:19	Mistral Small Latest	Bearish	75%	81,395.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 4, 2026 01:14	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	85%	81,360.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 4, 2026 01:06	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Neutral	60%	81,456.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 4, 2026 00:31	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	75%	81,608.00	80,871.00	Verified	Correct -0.90%
Sep 4, 2026 00:06	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	85%	81,458.00	80,928.00	Verified	Incorrect -0.65%
Sep 3, 2026 23:39	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	70%	81,442.00	80,729.00	Verified	Incorrect -0.88%
Sep 3, 2026 22:41	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Bullish	75%	81,461.00	80,851.15	Verified	Incorrect -0.75%
Sep 3, 2026 22:23	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	85%	81,535.00	80,851.15	Verified	Incorrect -0.84%
Sep 3, 2026 22:03	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	85%	81,250.00	80,924.28	Verified	Incorrect -0.40%
Sep 3, 2026 21:07	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	95%	81,156.00	80,924.28	Verified	Incorrect -0.29%
Sep 3, 2026 20:20	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	90%	81,055.00	81,231.00	Verified	Incorrect +0.22%
Sep 3, 2026 20:10	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Neutral	40%	81,030.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 3, 2026 19:38	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	85%	80,835.00	81,127.00	Verified	Incorrect +0.36%
Sep 3, 2026 19:27	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Bullish	80%	80,662.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 3, 2026 19:24	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Bearish	40%	80,802.00	81,277.00	Verified	Incorrect +0.59%
Sep 3, 2026 19:19	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	65%	80,802.00	81,395.00	Verified	Incorrect +0.73%
Sep 3, 2026 19:09	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	75%	81,078.00	81,459.00	Verified	Incorrect +0.47%
Sep 3, 2026 18:58	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	95%	81,177.00	81,621.00	Verified	Incorrect +0.55%
Sep 3, 2026 18:14	GPT-OSS 120B (Groq)	Bullish	75%	80,552.00	81,521.00	Verified	Correct +1.20%
Sep 3, 2026 17:50	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	85%	79,948.00	81,445.00	Verified	Incorrect +1.87%
Sep 3, 2026 17:37	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	60%	81,144.01	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 3, 2026 16:59	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	85%	78,804.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 3, 2026 15:32	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	65%	78,225.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 3, 2026 15:30	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	90%	77,933.00	80,989.00	Verified	Incorrect +3.92%
Sep 3, 2026 14:43	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Neutral	75%	77,936.00	81,135.00	Verified	Incorrect +4.10%
Sep 3, 2026 14:42	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	75%	77,878.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 3, 2026 14:19	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	75%	77,843.00	81,055.00	Verified	Correct +4.13%
Sep 3, 2026 14:01	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	75%	77,700.00	80,924.00	Verified	Incorrect +4.15%
Sep 3, 2026 13:29	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	90%	77,597.00	80,662.00	Verified	Correct +3.95%
Sep 3, 2026 13:24	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	85%	77,612.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 3, 2026 13:15	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Bullish	65%	77,560.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 3, 2026 12:13	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	95%	77,865.00	80,552.00	Verified	Incorrect +3.45%
Sep 3, 2026 12:11	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	75%	77,775.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 3, 2026 12:00	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	55%	77,812.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 3, 2026 11:33	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Neutral	40%	77,924.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 3, 2026 10:45	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	85%	78,008.00	78,706.00	Verified	Correct +0.89%
Sep 3, 2026 10:37	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	60%	77,889.00	78,611.00	Verified	Correct +0.93%
Sep 3, 2026 10:01	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	60%	77,779.00	78,671.00	Verified	Incorrect +1.15%
Sep 3, 2026 08:50	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Bullish	75%	77,423.00	77,932.00	Verified	Incorrect +0.66%
Sep 3, 2026 07:58	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Neutral	60%	77,707.00	77,604.00	Verified	Correct -0.13%
Sep 3, 2026 07:22	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Neutral	60%	77,577.00	77,612.00	Verified	Correct +0.05%
Sep 3, 2026 04:04	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Bullish	40%	77,311.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 3, 2026 03:01	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	50%	77,051.00	77,782.00	Verified	Correct +0.95%
Sep 3, 2026 01:10	Rule-Based Analysis	Bearish	30%	77,124.86	81,459.00	Verified	Incorrect +5.62%

36.4% 1994 correct of 5475 verified predictions

Per-provider accuracy

Provider	Total	Correct	Accuracy
FinBERT	151	77	51.0%
GPT-OSS 120B (Groq)	8	4	50.0% Not ranked
Mistral Small Latest	83	41	49.4%
Llama 3.3 70B Versatile (Groq)	549	214	39.0%
Gemini 2.5 Flash	11	4	36.4% Not ranked
Rule-Based Analysis not AI	4652	1648	35.4%
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	21	6	28.6% Not ranked