BTC at a glance
78,877.25
USD
USD per coin
- Market
-
Open
- Data
-
Stale
Stored snapshot (BTC)
·
13 hours, 52 minutes ago
- Range
-
24h 76,968.00 – 79,000.00
- Volatility regime
-
Normal
2.31%
daily deviation over 29 sessions
Dominant narrative
Better Buy: XRP vs. Bitcoin
The Motley Fool · 49 minutes ago
· Article tone: Neutral
· Model direction: Bearish
The lack of XRP usage in settlements could reduce transactional demand for XRP, potentially pressuring its price or adoption as a utility token.
Related events
Stories on this asset that a model actually logged a call against.
Model agreement
19 open calls across the models tracking this asset.
-
Neutral
11 · 58%
-
Bullish
7 · 37%
-
Bearish
1 · 5%
The models do not agree. The split is shown rather than a single direction.
- Mistral Small Latest Neutral
- Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) Neutral
- Rule-Based Analysis Bearish
Verification state
10383 of 10941 calls on this asset have reached a verdict
(95%).
-
Generated
10941
-
Awaiting evaluation
19
-
Verified
10383
-
Excluded
539
How these are scored →
Observed bias
■
Neutral
11 of 19 open model calls on BTC record no directional lean. Average recorded confidence is 63%. Most were logged against a 6h window.
- Agreement
- 11 of 19 open calls
- Horizon
- 6h
- Invalidating condition
-
The reading holds while price stays inside the observed 77,563.50 – 79,595.50 USD band; a close outside it would remove its basis.
-
Mistral Small Latest
Neutral
90%
Sep 3 15:30 · 6h
Generated
→
6h
→
Verified
-
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
Neutral
75%
Sep 3 14:43 · 6h
Generated
→
6h
→
Verified
-
Mistral Small Latest
Bullish
75%
Sep 3 14:42 · 24h
Generated
→
6h
→
24h
→
Verified
-
Mistral Small Latest
Bullish
75%
Sep 3 14:19 · 6h
Generated
→
6h
→
Verified
-
Mistral Small Latest
Neutral
75%
Sep 3 14:01 · 6h
Generated
→
6h
→
Verified
Price Chart
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Detailed Market Analysis
Current price
78877.25 USD
Asset Intelligence Dossier
- Currency
- USD
- Quoted in
- USD per coin
- Exchange
- crypto
- Timezone
- UTC
- Market
-
Open
Over the last 30 days, AI sentiment for BTC skewed neutral (124 of 319 scored calls). The most accurate provider on this asset is Mistral Small Latest at 48.4% across 64 verified calls.
Provider track record
Mistral Small Latest
31/64 verified calls
48.4%
FinBERT
94/220 verified calls
42.7%
Rule-Based Analysis
196/498 verified calls
39.4%
Gemini 2.5 Flash
16/41 verified calls
39.0%
Llama 3.1 8B Instant (Groq)
22/58 verified calls
37.9%
Llama 3.3 70B Versatile (Groq)
564/1631 verified calls
34.6%
Rule-Based Analysis
2674/7847 verified calls
34.1%
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
5/17 verified calls
Insufficient sample · n=17
GPT-OSS 120B (Groq)
2/7 verified calls
Insufficient sample · n=7
Confidence trend
53%
▲
16.3 pts vs previous week
Avg confidence across 208 calls in the last 7 days
What sources say
Neutral
124 articles
Bitcoin’s next $80,000 breakout has $47 billion more profitable supply to absorb
Morning Minute: Strategy CEO Says Selling The Bottom Was Correct Move
Bitcoin-gold correlation hits six-year high, but analysts question whether equity decoupling will last
Bullish
108 articles
'Rich People Buy Bitcoin': Michael Saylor Likens BTC Strategy to Golf Play
The yen is surging and it’s helping bitcoin, for now
Bitcoin recovers toward $78,000 as pons and arbitrum extend Robinhood Chain rally
Bearish
87 articles
Fed Rate Cut Odds Slashed as Kalshi September Hike Bets Reach 60%–68%
Morning Minute: Bitcoin Enters ‘Rektember’ After Best August Since 2017
Bitcoin slips below $76,500 as U.S. strikes on Iran send oil above $93
AI evidence
Every call logged on BTC, traced from the source that triggered it to the outcome it was scored against.
-
Mistral Small Latest
Awaiting evaluation
Sep 3, 2026 15:30
- Direction
- Neutral
- Confidence
- 90%
- Reference price
- 77,933.00
- Verification window
- 6h
- Outcome
-
Not yet due
Evidence
Claim
Bitcoin’s next $80,000 breakout has $47 billion more profitable supply to absorb
Affected assets
BTC
AI inference
Neutral · 90%
Generated
2026-09-03 12:30
AI inference
Neutral · 90%
Reference price
77,933
Verification window
6h
Actual outcome
Awaiting evaluation
Provenance
- Provider
- Mistral Small Latest
- Model version
- Not recorded for this call
- Methodology version
- Scored before versions were recorded
- Record
mistral-small-latest #298554
-
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
Awaiting evaluation
Sep 3, 2026 14:43
- Direction
- Neutral
- Confidence
- 75%
- Reference price
- 77,936.00
- Verification window
- 6h
- Outcome
-
Not yet due
Evidence
Claim
Morning Minute: Strategy CEO Says Selling The Bottom Was Correct Move
Affected assets
MSTR, BTC
AI inference
Neutral · 75%
Generated
2026-09-03 11:43
AI inference
Neutral · 75%
Reference price
77,936
Verification window
6h
Actual outcome
Awaiting evaluation
Provenance
- Provider
- Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
- Model version
- Not recorded for this call
- Methodology version
- Scored before versions were recorded
- Record
groq-reasoning-qwen/qwen3.8-27b #298512
-
Mistral Small Latest
Awaiting evaluation
Sep 3, 2026 14:42
- Direction
- Bullish
- Confidence
- 75%
- Reference price
- 77,878.00
- Verification window
- 24h
- Outcome
-
Not yet due
Evidence
Claim
'Rich People Buy Bitcoin': Michael Saylor Likens BTC Strategy to Golf Play
Affected assets
BTC, MSTR
AI inference
Bullish · 75%
Generated
2026-09-03 11:42
AI inference
Bullish · 75%
Reference price
77,878
Verification window
24h
Actual outcome
Awaiting evaluation
Provenance
- Provider
- Mistral Small Latest
- Model version
- Not recorded for this call
- Methodology version
- Scored before versions were recorded
- Record
mistral-small-latest #298597
-
Mistral Small Latest
Awaiting evaluation
Sep 3, 2026 14:19
- Direction
- Bullish
- Confidence
- 75%
- Reference price
- 77,843.00
- Verification window
- 6h
- Outcome
-
Not yet due
Evidence
Claim
The yen is surging and it’s helping bitcoin, for now
Affected assets
BTC
AI inference
Bullish · 75%
Generated
2026-09-03 11:19
AI inference
Bullish · 75%
Reference price
77,843
Verification window
6h
Actual outcome
Awaiting evaluation
Provenance
- Provider
- Mistral Small Latest
- Model version
- Not recorded for this call
- Methodology version
- Scored before versions were recorded
- Record
mistral-small-latest #298516
-
Mistral Small Latest
Awaiting evaluation
Sep 3, 2026 14:01
- Direction
- Neutral
- Confidence
- 75%
- Reference price
- 77,700.00
- Verification window
- 6h
- Outcome
-
Not yet due
Evidence
Claim
Bitcoin-gold correlation hits six-year high, but analysts question whether equity decoupling will last
Affected assets
BTC
AI inference
Neutral · 75%
Generated
2026-09-03 11:01
AI inference
Neutral · 75%
Reference price
77,700
Verification window
6h
Actual outcome
Awaiting evaluation
Provenance
- Provider
- Mistral Small Latest
- Model version
- Not recorded for this call
- Methodology version
- Scored before versions were recorded
- Record
mistral-small-latest #298530
-
Mistral Small Latest
Awaiting evaluation
Sep 3, 2026 13:29
- Direction
- Bullish
- Confidence
- 90%
- Reference price
- 77,597.00
- Verification window
- 6h
- Outcome
-
Not yet due
Evidence
Claim
Bitcoin recovers toward $78,000 as pons and arbitrum extend Robinhood Chain rally
Affected assets
BTC, ARB, COIN, MSTR, ETH, OP
AI inference
Bullish · 90%
Generated
2026-09-03 10:29
AI inference
Bullish · 90%
Reference price
77,597
Verification window
6h
Actual outcome
Awaiting evaluation
Provenance
- Provider
- Mistral Small Latest
- Model version
- Not recorded for this call
- Methodology version
- Scored before versions were recorded
- Record
mistral-small-latest #298497
-
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
Awaiting evaluation
Sep 3, 2026 13:15
- Direction
- Bullish
- Confidence
- 65%
- Reference price
- 77,560.00
- Verification window
- 24h
- Outcome
-
Not yet due
Evidence
Claim
Standard Chartered launches spot Bitcoin and Ether trading in UAE
Affected assets
BTC, ETH
AI inference
Bullish · 65%
Generated
2026-09-03 10:15
AI inference
Bullish · 65%
Reference price
77,560
Verification window
24h
Actual outcome
Awaiting evaluation
Provenance
- Provider
- Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)
- Model version
- Not recorded for this call
- Methodology version
- Scored before versions were recorded
- Record
groq-reasoning-qwen/qwen3.8-27b #298501
-
Mistral Small Latest
Awaiting evaluation
Sep 3, 2026 12:13
- Direction
- Neutral
- Confidence
- 95%
- Reference price
- 77,865.00
- Verification window
- 6h
- Outcome
-
Not yet due
Evidence
Claim
Bitcoin cannot break out past $80,000 until it devours an 880k BTC roadblock that choked every rally
Affected assets
BTC, COIN, MSTR
AI inference
Neutral · 95%
Generated
2026-09-03 09:13
AI inference
Neutral · 95%
Reference price
77,865
Verification window
6h
Actual outcome
Awaiting evaluation
Provenance
- Provider
- Mistral Small Latest
- Model version
- Not recorded for this call
- Methodology version
- Scored before versions were recorded
- Record
mistral-small-latest #298470
Prediction history
10941 calls logged on BTC, newest first. Nothing is filtered out.
Logged model predictions for BTC
| Logged |
Provider |
Direction |
Confidence |
Reference price |
Evaluated price |
Lifecycle |
Outcome |
| Sep 3, 2026 15:30 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
90% |
77,933.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 14:43 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Neutral |
75% |
77,936.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 14:42 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
75% |
77,878.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 14:19 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
75% |
77,843.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 14:01 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
75% |
77,700.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 13:29 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
90% |
77,597.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 13:15 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Bullish |
65% |
77,560.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 12:13 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
95% |
77,865.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 12:11 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
75% |
77,775.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 12:00 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
55% |
77,812.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 11:33 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Neutral |
40% |
77,924.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 10:45 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
85% |
78,008.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 10:37 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
60% |
77,889.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 10:01 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
60% |
77,779.00 |
78,671.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
1.15%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 08:50 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Bullish |
75% |
77,423.00 |
77,932.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.66%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 07:58 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Neutral |
60% |
77,707.00 |
77,604.00 |
Verified |
Correct
-0.13%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 07:22 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Neutral |
60% |
77,577.00 |
77,612.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.05%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 04:04 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Bullish |
40% |
77,311.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 03:01 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
50% |
77,051.00 |
77,782.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.95%
|
| Sep 3, 2026 01:10 |
Rule-Based Analysis |
Bearish |
30% |
77,124.86 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 3, 2026 00:31 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
90% |
77,279.00 |
77,753.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.61%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 23:56 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
65% |
77,279.00 |
77,727.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.58%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 23:19 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Bullish |
60% |
77,370.00 |
77,727.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.46%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 22:15 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Neutral |
40% |
77,236.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 2, 2026 22:15 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
85% |
77,236.00 |
77,311.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.10%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 21:38 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Bullish |
60% |
77,326.00 |
77,051.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
-0.36%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 21:30 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
60% |
77,326.00 |
77,051.00 |
Verified |
Correct
-0.36%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 20:24 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
65% |
77,341.00 |
77,280.00 |
Verified |
Correct
-0.08%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 19:58 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
50% |
77,341.00 |
77,007.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
-0.43%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 19:21 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bearish |
90% |
77,251.00 |
77,007.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
-0.32%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 18:13 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Bullish |
40% |
77,205.00 |
— |
Awaiting evaluation |
Pending
|
| Sep 2, 2026 18:00 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
95% |
77,084.00 |
77,412.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.43%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 17:39 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
75% |
77,150.00 |
77,370.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.29%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 17:00 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
30% |
77,150.00 |
77,236.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.11%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 16:30 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
65% |
77,102.00 |
77,236.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.17%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 16:00 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
75% |
77,102.00 |
77,326.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.29%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 15:31 |
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) |
Bullish |
60% |
76,632.00 |
77,326.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.91%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 15:24 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
30% |
76,826.00 |
77,398.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.74%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 15:13 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
30% |
76,632.00 |
77,326.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.91%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 15:00 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
95% |
76,632.00 |
77,326.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.91%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 15:00 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
95% |
76,632.00 |
77,326.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.91%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 14:55 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bearish |
60% |
76,632.00 |
77,326.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.91%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 14:45 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
75% |
76,608.00 |
77,142.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.70%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 14:35 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
60% |
76,726.00 |
77,326.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.78%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 14:30 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
90% |
76,726.00 |
77,326.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.78%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 14:08 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bullish |
85% |
76,726.00 |
77,326.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.78%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 13:50 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bearish |
95% |
76,726.00 |
77,326.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
0.78%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 13:26 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
60% |
76,337.00 |
77,326.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
1.30%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 12:57 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Bearish |
95% |
76,337.00 |
77,326.00 |
Verified |
Incorrect
1.30%
|
| Sep 2, 2026 12:23 |
Mistral Small Latest |
Neutral |
95% |
76,669.00 |
77,326.00 |
Verified |
Correct
0.86%
|
