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BTC Crypto

Current 80864.01 USD

Trend Down

Sentiment Bearish

AI Accuracy on BTC 36.4% (5,475 verified predictions)

View Leaderboard → View accuracy history →

BTC at a glance

80,835.00 USD

USD per coin

Market: Open
Data: Live Stored snapshot (BTC) · 1 minute ago
Range: 24h 80,502.87 – 81,427.75
Volatility regime: Normal 2.43% daily deviation over 29 sessions

Dominant narrative

Bitcoin just crossed the line that ended 4 out of 5 bear markets, but one deadly historical trap could still trigger a crash to $62,000

CryptoSlate · 36 minutes ago · Article tone: Neutral · Model direction: Neutral

The price action provides technical evidence of potential trend reversal for Bitcoin, but the lack of a confirmed weekly close introduces uncertainty that may sustain volatility.

Related events

Stories on this asset that a model actually logged a call against.

IMF Says Donations, Not Public Funds, Drove El Salvador Bitcoin Growth Sep 4 · Neutral · Awaiting evaluation
BlackRock clients purchase $454M worth of Bitcoin in a single transaction Sep 4 · Bullish · Awaiting evaluation
Bitcoin’s volatility ratio against gold collapses to 6-year low as traditional safe haven turbulence … Sep 4 · Neutral · Awaiting evaluation
Fed Rate Hike Odds Fall to 50/50: Will Bitcoin's Rally Above 80,000 Hold? Sep 4 · Neutral · Awaiting evaluation
Parked Coldcard loot begins moving as attacker routes $1.6M in stolen Bitcoin to Ethereum Sep 4 · Bearish · Awaiting evaluation

Model agreement

23 open calls across the models tracking this asset.

Neutral 13 · 57%
Bullish 8 · 35%
Bearish 2 · 9%

The models do not agree. The split is shown rather than a single direction.

Mistral Small Latest Neutral
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) Neutral

Verification state

5475 of 10970 calls on this asset have reached a verdict (50%).

Generated 10970
Awaiting evaluation 23
Verified 5475
Excluded 5472

How these are scored

Observed bias

Neutral

13 of 23 open model calls on BTC record no directional lean. Average recorded confidence is 66%. Most were logged against a 24h window.

Agreement: 13 of 23 open calls
Confidence: 66% What confidence means
Horizon: 24h
Invalidating condition: The reading holds while price stays inside the observed 80,435.34 – 81,360.22 USD band; a close outside it would remove its basis.

Supporting evidence

IMF Says Donations, Not Public Funds, Drove El Salvador Bitcoin Growth Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) · Sep 4 08:58
BlackRock clients purchase $454M worth of Bitcoin in a single transaction Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) · Sep 4 08:42
Bitcoin’s volatility ratio against gold collapses to 6-year low as traditional safe haven turbulence surges Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) · Sep 4 08:10
Fed Rate Hike Odds Fall to 50/50: Will Bitcoin's Rally Above 80,000 Hold? Mistral Small Latest · Sep 4 04:17
Parked Coldcard loot begins moving as attacker routes $1.6M in stolen Bitcoin to Ethereum Mistral Small Latest · Sep 4 01:50
Bitcoin Bear Market May Not Yet Be Over, Says Fidelity Mistral Small Latest · Sep 4 01:19

A description of what the tracked models have logged. Not a recommendation, and not personalised to any reader.

Calls on this asset

How these are scored

Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) Neutral 75% Sep 4 08:58 · 24h

Generated 6h 24h Verified
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) Bullish 60% Sep 4 08:42 · 6h

Generated 6h Verified
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) Neutral 75% Sep 4 08:10 · 24h

Generated 6h 24h Verified
Mistral Small Latest Neutral 85% Sep 4 04:17 · 6h

Generated 6h Verified
Mistral Small Latest Bearish 95% Sep 4 01:50 · 6h

Generated 6h Verified

Price Chart

📈

Loading chart for BTC...

Quick Overview

Trend ↘ Down

Volatility Low

Sentiment 😐 Bearish

Data Status

Live

Stored snapshot (BTC)

Detailed Market Analysis

Key Levels

Support

80435.34 USD

Resistance

81360.22 USD

Volume & Momentum

Volume

Weak

0.8x avg

Momentum

Weak

Technical Context

Current price

80864.01 USD

RSI context

Market Sentiment

Bearish

Crypto Metrics

24H VOL

7D CHANGE

+3%

VOLATILITY

Low

Asset Intelligence Dossier

Currency: USD
Quoted in: USD per coin
Exchange: crypto
Timezone: UTC
Market: Open

Over the last 30 days, AI sentiment for BTC skewed neutral (130 of 335 scored calls). The most accurate provider on this asset is FinBERT at 51.0% across 151 verified calls.

Provider track record

FinBERT

77/151 verified calls

51.0%

Mistral Small Latest

41/83 verified calls

49.4%

Llama 3.3 70B Versatile (Groq)

214/549 verified calls

39.0%

Rule-Based Analysis

57/160 verified calls

35.6%

Rule-Based Analysis

1591/4492 verified calls

35.4%

GPT-OSS 120B (Groq)

4/8 verified calls

Insufficient sample · n=8

Gemini 2.5 Flash

4/11 verified calls

Insufficient sample · n=11

Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)

6/21 verified calls

Insufficient sample · n=21

Confidence trend

64%

▲ 29.8 pts vs previous week

Avg confidence across 172 calls in the last 7 days

What sources say

Neutral 130 articles

IMF Says Donations, Not Public Funds, Drove El Salvador Bitcoin Growth

Bitcoin’s volatility ratio against gold collapses to 6-year low as traditional safe haven turbulence surges

Fed Rate Hike Odds Fall to 50/50: Will Bitcoin's Rally Above 80,000 Hold?

Bullish 118 articles

BlackRock clients purchase $454M worth of Bitcoin in a single transaction

Crypto Market Today, Sept. 3: Bitcoin Reclaims $81,000 on Fed Rate Pause Signals

Bitcoin Surges Above Key Moving Average, Key Resistance About to Crack

Bearish 87 articles

Parked Coldcard loot begins moving as attacker routes $1.6M in stolen Bitcoin to Ethereum

Bitcoin Bear Market May Not Yet Be Over, Says Fidelity

Bitcoin experiences extreme fund flows for six consecutive days, a pattern that historically precedes price drops

BTC News Intelligence (8271 articles)

AI-curated news influencing BTC price, sentiment, and trend

Explore All BTC News with AI Analysis

Cryptocurrency

36 minutes ago

Bitcoin just crossed the line that ended 4 out of 5 bear markets, but one deadly historical trap could still trigger a crash to $62,000

Bitcoin registered an intraday high above $82,000 on Sept. 3, pushing above the 50-week moving average that Galaxy Research says …

Impact on BTC: The price action provides technical evidence of potential trend reversal for Bitcoin, …

Bitcoin reached an intraday high above $82,000 on September 3, crossing above the 50-week moving … High (75%)

View full analysis →

CryptoSlate 75% confidence

Cryptocurrency

39 minutes ago

IMF confirms El Salvador’s bitcoin growth was funded by private donations, not public money

The IMF confirmed that all bitcoin added to official holdings since June 2025 was sourced from private donations, with no …

Impact on BTC: The confirmation could reduce perceived sovereign risk around Bitcoin holdings, potentially supporting …

The IMF confirmed that all Bitcoin added to El Salvador’s official reserves since June 2025 … High (78%)

View full analysis →

CoinDesk 78% confidence

Cryptocurrency

1 hour, 35 minutes ago

Satoshi-Era Bitcoin Holder Moves 2,571,899% Gain to Thwart New York Court Case

An active Satoshi-era wallet counters a $293B lawsuit by moving 40 BTC with a 2,571,899% gain, challenging claims of abandoned …

Impact on BTC: Neutral market sentiment indicated

Analysis of Bitcoin market analysis showing neutral sentiment. Medium (50%)

View full analysis →

U.Today 50% confidence

Cryptocurrency

1 hour, 36 minutes ago

Bitcoin News: BTC to Gold Ratio Hits 18 as Both Assets Rally

The bitcoin-gold ratio has reached 18.17, its highest since January, as debt fears fuel a rally in both bitcoin and …

Impact on BTC: Higher bitcoin relative performance may benefit equities tied to bitcoin exposure (e.g., …

The bitcoin‑to‑gold ratio climbed to 18.17, the highest level since January, as debt‑concern‑driven buying lifted … High (71%)

View full analysis →

CryptoNews 71% confidence

Cryptocurrency

1 hour, 39 minutes ago

US bitcoin ETFs report the largest inflow day since January, worth $731 million

Analysts attributed Fed Governor Christopher Waller’s dovish comments to the significant inflow of capital into bitcoin products.

Impact on BTC: The inflow indicates increased institutional or retail demand for spot bitcoin exposure, …

US bitcoin ETFs recorded $731 million in net inflows, described as the largest single-day inflow … High (85%)

View full analysis →

The Block 85% confidence

Cryptocurrency

2 hours, 49 minutes ago

Bitcoin ETF inflows hit $731M, highest since January as BTC reclaims $80K

US Bitcoin ETFs drew $730.9 million on Thursday as Bitcoin reclaimed $80,000, though CryptoQuant flagged weak fresh demand and a …

Impact on BTC: The large inflow could boost trading volume and net asset values of …

US Bitcoin ETFs recorded $730.9 million of inflows on Thursday, the highest since January, as … High (85%)

View full analysis →

CoinTelegraph 85% confidence

1 2 3 Next

AI evidence

Every call logged on BTC, traced from the source that triggered it to the outcome it was scored against.

Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) Awaiting evaluation Sep 4, 2026 08:58

Claim

IMF Says Donations, Not Public Funds, Drove El Salvador Bitcoin Growth

Direction
Neutral

Confidence
75%

Reference price
80,853.08

Verification window
24h

Outcome

Not yet due

Evidence

Source BeInCrypto

Claim IMF Says Donations, Not Public Funds, Drove El Salvador Bitcoin Growth

Affected assets BTC

AI inference Neutral · 75%

Generated 2026-09-04 05:58

AI inference Neutral · 75%

Reference price 80,853.08

Verification window 24h

Actual outcome Awaiting evaluation

Provenance

Provider
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)

Model version

Not recorded for this call

Methodology version

Scored before versions were recorded

Record

groq-reasoning-qwen/qwen3.8-27b #299205
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) Awaiting evaluation Sep 4, 2026 08:42

Claim

BlackRock clients purchase $454M worth of Bitcoin in a single transaction

Direction
Bullish

Confidence
60%

Reference price
80,961.00

Verification window
6h

Outcome

Not yet due

Evidence

Source CryptoBriefing

Claim BlackRock clients purchase $454M worth of Bitcoin in a single transaction

Affected assets BTC, IBIT

AI inference Bullish · 60%

Generated 2026-09-04 05:42

AI inference Bullish · 60%

Reference price 80,961

Verification window 6h

Actual outcome Awaiting evaluation

Provenance

Provider
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)

Model version

Not recorded for this call

Methodology version

Scored before versions were recorded

Record

groq-reasoning-qwen/qwen3.8-27b #299209
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) Awaiting evaluation Sep 4, 2026 08:10

Claim

Bitcoin’s volatility ratio against gold collapses to 6-year low as traditional safe haven turbulence surges

Direction
Neutral

Confidence
75%

Reference price
80,970.01

Verification window
24h

Outcome

Not yet due

Evidence

Source CryptoSlate

Claim Bitcoin’s volatility ratio against gold collapses to 6-year low as traditional safe haven turbulence surges

Affected assets BTC, GLD, IBIT

AI inference Neutral · 75%

Generated 2026-09-04 05:10

AI inference Neutral · 75%

Reference price 80,970.01

Verification window 24h

Actual outcome Awaiting evaluation

Provenance

Provider
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)

Model version

Not recorded for this call

Methodology version

Scored before versions were recorded

Record

groq-reasoning-qwen/qwen3.8-27b #299197
Mistral Small Latest Awaiting evaluation Sep 4, 2026 04:17

Claim

Fed Rate Hike Odds Fall to 50/50: Will Bitcoin's Rally Above 80,000 Hold?

Direction
Neutral

Confidence
85%

Reference price
80,851.15

Verification window
6h

Outcome

Not yet due

Evidence

Source BeInCrypto

Claim Fed Rate Hike Odds Fall to 50/50: Will Bitcoin's Rally Above 80,000 Hold?

Affected assets BTC

AI inference Neutral · 85%

Generated 2026-09-04 01:17

AI inference Neutral · 85%

Reference price 80,851.15

Verification window 6h

Actual outcome Awaiting evaluation

Provenance

Provider
Mistral Small Latest

Model version

Not recorded for this call

Methodology version

Scored before versions were recorded

Record

mistral-small-latest #298974
Mistral Small Latest Awaiting evaluation Sep 4, 2026 01:50

Claim

Parked Coldcard loot begins moving as attacker routes $1.6M in stolen Bitcoin to Ethereum

Direction
Bearish

Confidence
95%

Reference price
80,963.29

Verification window
6h

Outcome

Not yet due

Evidence

Source CryptoSlate

Claim Parked Coldcard loot begins moving as attacker routes $1.6M in stolen Bitcoin to Ethereum

Affected assets BTC, ETH

AI inference Bearish · 95%

Generated 2026-09-03 22:50

AI inference Bearish · 95%

Reference price 80,963.29

Verification window 6h

Actual outcome Awaiting evaluation

Provenance

Provider
Mistral Small Latest

Model version

Not recorded for this call

Methodology version

Scored before versions were recorded

Record

mistral-small-latest #299034
Mistral Small Latest Awaiting evaluation Sep 4, 2026 01:19

Claim

Bitcoin Bear Market May Not Yet Be Over, Says Fidelity

Direction
Bearish

Confidence
75%

Reference price
81,395.00

Verification window
6h

Outcome

Not yet due

Evidence

Source Bitcoin Magazine

Claim Bitcoin Bear Market May Not Yet Be Over, Says Fidelity

Affected assets BTC, COIN, MSTR

AI inference Bearish · 75%

Generated 2026-09-03 22:19

AI inference Bearish · 75%

Reference price 81,395

Verification window 6h

Actual outcome Awaiting evaluation

Provenance

Provider
Mistral Small Latest

Model version

Not recorded for this call

Methodology version

Scored before versions were recorded

Record

mistral-small-latest #298917
Mistral Small Latest Awaiting evaluation Sep 4, 2026 01:14

Claim

BitMEX Co-Founder Funded Reform UK Before Shutting Down the Exchange

Direction
Neutral

Confidence
85%

Reference price
81,360.00

Verification window
6h

Outcome

Not yet due

Evidence

Source BeInCrypto

Claim BitMEX Co-Founder Funded Reform UK Before Shutting Down the Exchange

Affected assets BTC, BITO, MSTR, COIN, RIOT

AI inference Neutral · 85%

Generated 2026-09-03 22:14

AI inference Neutral · 85%

Reference price 81,360

Verification window 6h

Actual outcome Awaiting evaluation

Provenance

Provider
Mistral Small Latest

Model version

Not recorded for this call

Methodology version

Scored before versions were recorded

Record

mistral-small-latest #298923
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq) Awaiting evaluation Sep 4, 2026 01:06

Claim

ProCap Financial sells 50 Bitcoin to repurchase shares at 40% discount

Direction
Neutral

Confidence
60%

Reference price
81,456.00

Verification window
6h

Outcome

Not yet due

Evidence

Source CryptoBriefing

Claim ProCap Financial sells 50 Bitcoin to repurchase shares at 40% discount

Affected assets BTC

AI inference Neutral · 60%

Generated 2026-09-03 22:06

AI inference Neutral · 60%

Reference price 81,456

Verification window 6h

Actual outcome Awaiting evaluation

Provenance

Provider
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)

Model version

Not recorded for this call

Methodology version

Scored before versions were recorded

Record

groq-reasoning-qwen/qwen3.8-27b #298939

Prediction history

10970 calls logged on BTC, newest first. Nothing is filtered out.

Logged model predictions for BTC
Logged	Provider	Direction	Confidence	Reference price	Evaluated price	Lifecycle	Outcome
Sep 4, 2026 08:58	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Neutral	75%	80,853.08	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 4, 2026 08:42	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Bullish	60%	80,961.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 4, 2026 08:10	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Neutral	75%	80,970.01	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 4, 2026 04:17	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	85%	80,851.15	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 4, 2026 01:50	Mistral Small Latest	Bearish	95%	80,963.29	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 4, 2026 01:19	Mistral Small Latest	Bearish	75%	81,395.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 4, 2026 01:14	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	85%	81,360.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 4, 2026 01:06	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Neutral	60%	81,456.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 4, 2026 00:31	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	75%	81,608.00	80,871.00	Verified	Correct -0.90%
Sep 4, 2026 00:06	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	85%	81,458.00	80,928.00	Verified	Incorrect -0.65%
Sep 3, 2026 23:39	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	70%	81,442.00	80,729.00	Verified	Incorrect -0.88%
Sep 3, 2026 22:41	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Bullish	75%	81,461.00	80,851.15	Verified	Incorrect -0.75%
Sep 3, 2026 22:23	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	85%	81,535.00	80,851.15	Verified	Incorrect -0.84%
Sep 3, 2026 22:03	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	85%	81,250.00	80,924.28	Verified	Incorrect -0.40%
Sep 3, 2026 21:07	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	95%	81,156.00	80,924.28	Verified	Incorrect -0.29%
Sep 3, 2026 20:20	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	90%	81,055.00	81,231.00	Verified	Incorrect 0.22%
Sep 3, 2026 20:10	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Neutral	40%	81,030.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 3, 2026 19:38	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	85%	80,835.00	81,127.00	Verified	Incorrect 0.36%
Sep 3, 2026 19:27	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Bullish	80%	80,662.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 3, 2026 19:24	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Bearish	40%	80,802.00	81,277.00	Verified	Incorrect 0.59%
Sep 3, 2026 19:19	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	65%	80,802.00	81,395.00	Verified	Incorrect 0.73%
Sep 3, 2026 19:09	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	75%	81,078.00	81,459.00	Verified	Incorrect 0.47%
Sep 3, 2026 18:58	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	95%	81,177.00	81,621.00	Verified	Incorrect 0.55%
Sep 3, 2026 18:14	GPT-OSS 120B (Groq)	Bullish	75%	80,552.00	81,521.00	Verified	Correct 1.20%
Sep 3, 2026 17:50	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	85%	79,948.00	81,445.00	Verified	Incorrect 1.87%
Sep 3, 2026 17:37	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	60%	81,144.01	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 3, 2026 16:59	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	85%	78,804.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 3, 2026 15:32	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	65%	78,225.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 3, 2026 15:30	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	90%	77,933.00	80,989.00	Verified	Incorrect 3.92%
Sep 3, 2026 14:43	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Neutral	75%	77,936.00	81,135.00	Verified	Incorrect 4.10%
Sep 3, 2026 14:42	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	75%	77,878.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 3, 2026 14:19	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	75%	77,843.00	81,055.00	Verified	Correct 4.13%
Sep 3, 2026 14:01	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	75%	77,700.00	80,924.00	Verified	Incorrect 4.15%
Sep 3, 2026 13:29	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	90%	77,597.00	80,662.00	Verified	Correct 3.95%
Sep 3, 2026 13:24	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	85%	77,612.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 3, 2026 13:15	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Bullish	65%	77,560.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 3, 2026 12:13	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	95%	77,865.00	80,552.00	Verified	Incorrect 3.45%
Sep 3, 2026 12:11	Mistral Small Latest	Bullish	75%	77,775.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 3, 2026 12:00	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	55%	77,812.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 3, 2026 11:33	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Neutral	40%	77,924.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 3, 2026 10:45	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	85%	78,008.00	78,706.00	Verified	Correct 0.89%
Sep 3, 2026 10:37	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	60%	77,889.00	78,611.00	Verified	Correct 0.93%
Sep 3, 2026 10:01	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	60%	77,779.00	78,671.00	Verified	Incorrect 1.15%
Sep 3, 2026 08:50	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Bullish	75%	77,423.00	77,932.00	Verified	Incorrect 0.66%
Sep 3, 2026 07:58	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Neutral	60%	77,707.00	77,604.00	Verified	Correct -0.13%
Sep 3, 2026 07:22	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Neutral	60%	77,577.00	77,612.00	Verified	Correct 0.05%
Sep 3, 2026 04:04	Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	Bullish	40%	77,311.00	—	Awaiting evaluation	Pending
Sep 3, 2026 03:01	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	50%	77,051.00	77,782.00	Verified	Correct 0.95%
Sep 3, 2026 01:10	Rule-Based Analysis	Bearish	30%	77,124.86	81,459.00	Verified	Incorrect 5.62%
Sep 3, 2026 00:31	Mistral Small Latest	Neutral	90%	77,279.00	77,753.00	Verified	Correct 0.61%

BTC · AI Prediction Accuracy

36.4%

1994 correct of 5475 verified predictions

Verified outcomes Tracked across all timeframes No cherry-picking

Per-provider accuracy

Provider	Total	Correct	Accuracy
FinBERT	151	77	51.0%
GPT-OSS 120B (Groq)	8	4	50.0%
Mistral Small Latest	83	41	49.4%
Llama 3.3 70B Versatile (Groq)	549	214	39.0%
Gemini 2.5 Flash	11	4	36.4%
Rule-Based Analysis not AI	4652	1648	35.4%
Qwen3.8 27B (Groq)	21	6	28.6%

By timeframe

24h 35.7%

1707 of 4780 predictions

6h 41.3%

280 of 678 predictions

7d 41.2%

7 of 17 predictions