Russia Shipped 80% of its 2025 Oil Exports to China and India

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Affected assets and topics

$OIL MEETING OIL

Why it matters

Russia's oil exports remained flat in 2025, with 80% of its supplies going to China and India, indicating a shift in its export market towards Asian countries.

Expected market reaction

Neutral Confidence 85% How confidence is read Horizon: Short term Impact: High

Market impact analysis based on neutral sentiment with 85% confidence.

Evidence trail

Evidence
Source OilPrice.com
Claim Russia Shipped 80% of its 2025 Oil Exports to China and India
Affected assets OIL
AI inference Neutral · 85%
Generated 2026-02-27 16:30

AI provenance

Analysed by Llama 3.1 8B Instant (Groq) Methodology v1.0 Generated
Technical identifiers
Provider tag
groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant
Model id
llama-3.1-8b-instant
Analysis version
groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant
Article id
51203
Timeframe
6h

Prediction lifecycle

  • Llama 3.1 8B Instant (Groq) OIL Neutral 85% 6h
    Generated 6h Excluded

    Excluded: reference price integrity check failed (withdraw_bad_reference_predictions): reference price 87.84000000 for OIL disagrees with the stored price 61.9500 at 2026-02-27 16:30:19+00:00 (nearest 2026-02-27 16:30:00+00:00) by 41.8%, beyond the 10% tolerance for commodity

Logged at publication, scored automatically once the window closes — never edited.

Original source

Russia’s oil exports were essentially flat in 2025 compared to a year earlier, with most supplies – a massive 80% -- going to China and India, Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said on Friday. Last year, Russian oil exports were about 238 million tons, or around 4.8 million barrels per day (bpd), basically flat compared to the 240 million tons Russia exported in 2024, according to Russia’s top oil official representing Moscow at the OPEC+ meetings. Today, Russia exports around 80% of its oil to India…

Read the full article on OilPrice.com

Original article published by OilPrice.com on February 27, 2026. Analysis and insights provided by AnalystMarkets AI.

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