US economy grew at half the expected pace in the fourth quarter, dragging futures lower

Yahoo Finance Published Updated Economy
Sign in to save

Affected assets and topics

Why it matters

US stock futures declined after the economy grew at a lower-than-expected 1.4% annualized rate in Q4 2025, missing the 2.9% forecast.

Article tone

Neutral How the article is written, as reported by the source.

Expected market reaction

Bearish Confidence 90% How confidence is read Horizon: Short term Impact: High

Market impact analysis based on bearish sentiment with 90% confidence.

Evidence trail

Evidence
Source Yahoo Finance
Claim US economy grew at half the expected pace in the fourth quarter, dragging futures lower
Affected assets NASDAQ
AI inference Bearish · 90%
Generated 2026-02-20 13:55

AI provenance

Analysed by Llama 3.1 8B Instant (Groq) Methodology v1.0 Generated
Technical identifiers
Provider tag
groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant
Analysis version
groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant
Article id
48158
Timeframe
6h

Prediction lifecycle

  • Llama 3.1 8B Instant (Groq) NASDAQ Bearish 90% 6h
    Generated 6h Excluded

    Expired: not evaluated within 7 days of its 6h timeframe elapsing

Logged at publication, scored automatically once the window closes — never edited.

Original source

US stock futures slipped further into negative territory after data showed the American economy expanded at an annualised rate of just 1.4% in the final three months of 2025, well short of the 2.9% economists had forecast. The Nasdaq is now expected to open 0.5% lower, with the S&P 500...

Read the full article on Yahoo Finance

Original article published by Yahoo Finance on February 20, 2026. Analysis and insights provided by AnalystMarkets AI.

More of the NASDAQ narrative