Trump’s stock market: Worst first year of a term since George W. Bush

Yahoo Finance Published Updated Economy
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Why it matters

The stock market under President Donald Trump's first year saw its weakest performance since 2004, when George W. Bush started his second term, indicating a potential negative impact on investor confidence.

Expected market reaction

Bearish Confidence 80% How confidence is read Horizon: Short term Impact: Moderate

Market impact analysis based on bearish sentiment with 80% confidence.

Evidence trail

Evidence
Source Yahoo Finance
Claim Trump’s stock market: Worst first year of a term since George W. Bush
AI inference Bearish · 80%
Generated 2026-01-25 09:00

AI provenance

Analysed by Llama 3.1 8B Instant (Groq) Methodology v1.0 Generated
Technical identifiers
Provider tag
groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant
Analysis version
groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant
Article id
36841

Original source

The stock market under President Donald Trump’s first year back in the White House saw the weakest performance during a president’s first year since 2004, when George Bush started the second term of his presidency.

Read the full article on Yahoo Finance

Original article published by Yahoo Finance on January 25, 2026. Analysis and insights provided by AnalystMarkets AI.

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Llama 3.1 8B Instant (Groq) · 40.5% correct across 1187 scored calls on indices See the full record