S&P 500 has gained 16% in Trump’s first year back in office. How that compares with other presidents.

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Affected assets and topics

MARKET S&P

Why it matters

The S&P 500 has seen a 16% gain in Donald Trump's first year back in office, outperforming the market's average growth under previous presidents.

Expected market reaction

Bullish Confidence 90% How confidence is read Horizon: Short term Impact: Moderate

Market impact analysis based on bullish sentiment with 90% confidence.

Evidence trail

Evidence
Source MarketWatch
Claim S&P 500 has gained 16% in Trump’s first year back in office. How that compares with other presidents.
AI inference Bullish · 90%
Generated 2026-01-17 12:00

AI provenance

Analysed by Llama 3.1 8B Instant (Groq) Methodology v1.0 Generated
Technical identifiers
Provider tag
groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant
Analysis version
groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant
Article id
33887

Original source

Donald Trump’s first year back in the White House shook the U.S. stock market — but it’s still way up.

Read the full article on MarketWatch

Original article published by MarketWatch on January 17, 2026. Analysis and insights provided by AnalystMarkets AI.

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