Polymarket traders see just 21% chance of Bitcoin hitting $150K this year

CoinTelegraph Published Updated Cryptocurrency
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Affected assets and topics

BITCOIN

Why it matters

Polymarket traders have low expectations for Bitcoin's price, with only 21% chance of reaching $150,000 this year, contradicting analyst predictions.

Article tone

Neutral How the article is written, as reported by the source.

Expected market reaction

Bearish Confidence 80% How confidence is read Horizon: Short term Impact: Moderate

Market impact analysis based on bearish sentiment with 80% confidence.

Evidence trail

Evidence
Source CoinTelegraph
Claim Polymarket traders see just 21% chance of Bitcoin hitting $150K this year
AI inference Bearish · 80%
Generated 2026-01-02 02:07

AI provenance

Analysed by Llama 3.1 8B Instant (Groq) Methodology v1.0 Generated
Technical identifiers
Provider tag
groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant
Analysis version
groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant
Article id
27924

Original source

Polymarket traders are holding back their optimism back for Bitcoin this year, despite many analysts tipping the price to hit $150,000 and above.

Read the full article on CoinTelegraph

Original article published by CoinTelegraph on January 2, 2026. Analysis and insights provided by AnalystMarkets AI.

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