Stocks are on track for a third straight year of stellar returns. Why a fourth isn’t out of the question.

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Affected assets and topics

S&P

Why it matters

The S&P 500 has seen three consecutive years of 10% or greater returns, and while history suggests a more subdued year four, it's not out of the question for 2026 to be another great year for stocks.

Expected market reaction

Bullish Confidence 61% How confidence is read Impact: Moderate

Market impact analysis based on bullish sentiment with 61% confidence.

Evidence trail

Evidence
Source MarketWatch
Claim Stocks are on track for a third straight year of stellar returns. Why a fourth isn’t out of the question.
AI inference Bullish · 61%
Generated 2025-12-28 17:00

AI provenance

Analysed by Llama 3.1 8B Instant (Groq) Methodology v1.0 Generated
Technical identifiers
Provider tag
groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant
Analysis version
groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant
Article id
26768

Original source

After three straight years of 10% or greater returns for the S&P 500, gains in year four are typically more subdued. But that doesn’t mean 2026 won’t be another great year for stocks.

Read the full article on MarketWatch

Original article published by MarketWatch on December 28, 2025. Analysis and insights provided by AnalystMarkets AI.

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