Backtest History

Transparent record of AI sentiment predictions evaluated against actual market movements.

Total Evaluated
4636
Correct
1459
Win Rate
31.5%
Reset

30-Day Daily Win Rate

Day Total Correct Win Rate
2026-08-28 219 64 29.2%
2026-08-29 478 101 21.1%
2026-08-30 404 59 14.6%
2026-08-31 130 25 19.2%

By Provider (All-Time)

Provider Total Correct Accuracy
groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant 2385 927 38.87%
rule-based-analysis 2247 532 23.68%
groq-llama-3.3-70b-versatile 3 0 0.00%
huggingface-ProsusAI/finbert 1 0 0.00%

Recent Correct Predictions

  • VIX ✓ bearish
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 09:00
  • ADA ✓ bearish
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 09:00
  • ADA ✓ bearish
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 08:02
  • DOT ✓ bearish
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 08:02
  • VIX ✓ bearish
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 08:00
  • XRP ✓ bearish
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 08:00
  • META ✓ bullish
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 08:00
  • ADA ✓ bearish
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 07:00
  • VIX ✓ bearish
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 07:00
  • XRP ✓ bearish
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 06:00

Recent Incorrect Predictions

  • ETH ✗ bearish
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 09:00
  • GOOGL ✗ bullish
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 09:00
  • BTC ✗ neutral
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 09:00
  • ETH ✗ bearish
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 09:00
  • AMD ✗ bullish
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 09:00
  • INTC ✗ bearish
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 09:00
  • BNB ✗ bearish
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 09:00
  • GOOGL ✗ bullish
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 08:00
  • BTC ✗ bearish
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 08:00
  • ETH ✗ bearish
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 08:00

All Evaluated Predictions

Symbol Provider Predicted Movement Change % Result Evaluated
NASDAQ groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bullish up 17.25% ✓ 2026-05-15 09:00
DOW groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bullish up 5.58% ✓ 2026-05-15 09:00
NASDAQ groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bullish up 17.25% ✓ 2026-05-15 09:00
OIL groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bearish up 17.25% ✗ 2026-05-15 09:00
DOW groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant neutral up 5.58% ✗ 2026-05-15 09:00
VIX groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bearish down -29.46% ✓ 2026-05-15 08:00
BTC groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bullish up 14.95% ✓ 2026-05-15 08:00
OIL groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bearish up 16.60% ✗ 2026-05-15 08:00
BTC groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bearish up 14.95% ✗ 2026-05-15 08:00
OIL groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bearish up 16.60% ✗ 2026-05-15 08:00
OIL groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bearish up 16.60% ✗ 2026-05-15 08:00
DOW groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bullish up 5.58% ✓ 2026-05-15 08:00
OIL groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bullish up 16.60% ✓ 2026-05-15 08:00
AAPL rule-based-analysis neutral up 9.46% ✗ 2026-05-15 08:00
ETH rule-based-analysis neutral down -6.97% ✗ 2026-05-15 08:00
BTC rule-based-analysis neutral up 2.59% ✗ 2026-05-15 08:00
XRP groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bullish up 5.61% ✓ 2026-05-15 08:00
NASDAQ groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bullish up 17.25% ✓ 2026-05-15 08:00
NASDAQ groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant neutral up 17.25% ✗ 2026-05-15 08:00
NASDAQ groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bearish up 17.25% ✗ 2026-05-15 08:00
OIL groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bearish up 16.60% ✗ 2026-05-15 08:00
NASDAQ groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bullish up 17.25% ✓ 2026-05-15 08:00
DOW groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bullish up 5.58% ✓ 2026-05-15 08:00
DOW groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant neutral up 5.58% ✗ 2026-05-15 08:00
NASDAQ groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bullish up 17.25% ✓ 2026-05-15 08:00