Backtest History

Transparent record of AI sentiment predictions evaluated against actual market movements.

Total Evaluated
4601
Correct
1450
Win Rate
31.5%
Reset

30-Day Daily Win Rate

Day Total Correct Win Rate
2026-08-28 219 64 29.2%
2026-08-29 478 101 21.1%
2026-08-30 404 59 14.6%
2026-08-31 95 16 16.8%

By Provider (All-Time)

Provider Total Correct Accuracy
groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant 2385 927 38.87%
rule-based-analysis 2212 523 23.64%
groq-llama-3.3-70b-versatile 3 0 0.00%
huggingface-ProsusAI/finbert 1 0 0.00%

Recent Correct Predictions

  • XRP ✓ bearish
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 06:00
  • DOGE ✓ bearish
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 05:00
  • DOGE ✓ bearish
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 05:00
  • VIX ✓ bearish
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 05:00
  • MSFT ✓ bullish
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 05:00
  • META ✓ bullish
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 04:00
  • ADA ✓ bearish
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 04:00
  • DOT ✓ bearish
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 04:00
  • XRP ✓ bearish
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 03:00
  • SILVER ✓ bullish
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 03:00

Recent Incorrect Predictions

  • NASDAQ ✗ bullish
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 06:00
  • COPPER ✗ bullish
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 06:00
  • GOLD ✗ bullish
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 06:00
  • OIL ✗ neutral
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 06:00
  • WHEAT ✗ neutral
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 06:00
  • AMZN ✗ bearish
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 06:00
  • DOW ✗ bullish
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 06:00
  • BTC ✗ bearish
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 06:00
  • ETH ✗ bearish
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 06:00
  • OIL ✗ neutral
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 06:00

All Evaluated Predictions

Symbol Provider Predicted Movement Change % Result Evaluated
OIL groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant neutral up 17.25% ✗ 2026-05-15 09:00
NASDAQ groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant neutral up 17.25% ✗ 2026-05-15 09:00
DOW groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bullish up 5.58% ✓ 2026-05-15 09:00
ETH rule-based-analysis neutral down -6.97% ✗ 2026-05-15 09:00
NASDAQ groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bullish up 17.25% ✓ 2026-05-15 09:00
DOW groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bullish up 5.58% ✓ 2026-05-15 09:00
OIL groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant neutral up 17.25% ✗ 2026-05-15 09:00
DOW groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bullish up 5.58% ✓ 2026-05-15 09:00
NASDAQ groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bullish up 17.25% ✓ 2026-05-15 09:00
NVDA groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bullish up 27.07% ✓ 2026-05-15 09:00
NASDAQ groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant neutral up 17.25% ✗ 2026-05-15 09:00
DOW groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bullish up 5.58% ✓ 2026-05-15 09:00
NASDAQ groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bullish up 17.25% ✓ 2026-05-15 09:00
OIL groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bearish up 17.25% ✗ 2026-05-15 09:00
BTC groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bullish up 14.95% ✓ 2026-05-15 09:00
NASDAQ groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bullish up 17.25% ✓ 2026-05-15 09:00
OIL groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bearish up 17.25% ✗ 2026-05-15 09:00
NASDAQ groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bearish up 17.25% ✗ 2026-05-15 09:00
DOW groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bearish up 5.58% ✗ 2026-05-15 09:00
SILVER groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bullish down -8.77% ✗ 2026-05-15 09:00
ETH rule-based-analysis neutral down -6.97% ✗ 2026-05-15 09:00
META groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant neutral down -5.25% ✗ 2026-05-15 09:00
XRP groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bullish up 5.61% ✓ 2026-05-15 09:00
ETH groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bullish up 10.31% ✓ 2026-05-15 09:00
BTC groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bullish up 14.95% ✓ 2026-05-15 09:00