Backtest History
Transparent record of AI sentiment predictions evaluated against actual market movements.
Total Evaluated
3405
Correct
1210
Win Rate
35.5%
30-Day Daily Win Rate
| Day | Total | Correct | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-15 | 3350 | 1188 | 35.5% |
| 2026-05-16 | 55 | 22 | 40.0% |
By Provider (All-Time)
| Provider | Total | Correct | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|
| groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | 2385 | 927 | 38.87% |
| rule-based-analysis | 1019 | 283 | 27.77% |
| huggingface-ProsusAI/finbert | 1 | 0 | 0.00% |
Recent Correct Predictions
-
TSLA ✓ bullishrule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-05-16 09:00
-
BTC ✓ bullishgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-16 07:00Bitcoin bears 'annihilated' as analysis sees $65K support test next
-
NASDAQ ✓ bullishgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-16 06:00Virtuix Reports Third Quarter and Nine-Month Fiscal 2026 Financial Results
-
NASDAQ ✓ bullishgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-16 06:00Versamet Royalties to Commence Trading on Nasdaq
-
BTC ✓ bullishgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-16 05:00These 4 Bitcoin charts say BTC price is forming a bottom
-
OIL ✓ bullishgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-16 04:00Oil Climbs as Disruptions Mount From Iran War
-
OIL ✓ bullishgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-16 03:00Why Iran war oil price shock won't stop Fed pick Kevin Warsh from cutting inter…
-
OIL ✓ bullishgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-16 03:00Oil prices rise again as conflict in Middle East escalates
-
OIL ✓ bullishgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-16 03:00Traders Turn to Canada’s Dollar As Iran War Risks Jolt Market
-
VIX ✓ bearishgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-16 03:00Stock Futures Slip, Oil Rallies After Mixed Messages on Iran Peace Talks
Recent Incorrect Predictions
-
OIL ✗ bearishgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-16 08:00US Equity Rout Shows No Signs of Easing as Iran War Rages On
-
OIL ✗ neutralgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-16 08:00The S&P 500 Just Hit a 3-Month Low, But Oil Stocks Are Surging. Should Investor…
-
DOW ✗ bearishgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-16 08:00Stock Market Today: Dow Falls Ahead Of Jobless Claims; AI Leader Broadcom Jumps…
-
BTC ✗ neutralgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-16 08:00US Bitcoin reserve still has no plan to stack sats
-
OIL ✗ neutralgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-16 07:00The 2 indicators Wall Street is watching amid unfolding uncertainty
-
NASDAQ ✗ neutralgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-16 07:00The 2 indicators Wall Street is watching amid unfolding uncertainty
-
OIL ✗ neutralgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-16 06:00US Premarket Movers: Broadcom, Ciena, Stubhub, Trade Desk, Veeva
-
OIL ✗ neutralgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-16 06:00India Seeks Clarity From US on Strait of Hormuz Insurance Plan
-
META ✗ bullishgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-16 06:00Virtuix Reports Third Quarter and Nine-Month Fiscal 2026 Financial Results
-
OIL ✗ neutralgroq-llama-3.1-8b-instant - 6h - 2026-05-16 05:00Dow Jones Futures Fall, Oil Prices Rise Again; AI Chip Giant Broadcom Jumps
All Evaluated Predictions
| Symbol | Provider | Predicted | Movement | Change % | Result | Evaluated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DOW | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bullish | up | 5.58% | ✓ | 2026-05-15 03:01 |
| OIL | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bearish | up | 16.11% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 03:01 |
| DOW | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | neutral | up | 5.58% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 03:01 |
| MSFT | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bearish | up | 1.41% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 03:01 |
| OIL | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bearish | up | 16.11% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 03:01 |
| DOW | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | neutral | up | 5.58% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 03:01 |
| NASDAQ | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | neutral | up | 17.25% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 03:01 |
| META | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bearish | down | -5.25% | ✓ | 2026-05-15 03:01 |
| DOW | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bearish | up | 5.58% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 03:01 |
| ETH | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bearish | up | 10.29% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 03:01 |
| DOW | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bearish | up | 5.58% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 03:01 |
| BTC | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bearish | up | 14.89% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 03:01 |
| BTC | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bearish | up | 14.89% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 03:01 |
| NASDAQ | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bullish | up | 17.25% | ✓ | 2026-05-15 03:01 |
| TSLA | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bearish | up | 9.08% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 03:01 |
| NASDAQ | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | neutral | up | 17.25% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 03:01 |
| DOW | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | neutral | up | 5.58% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 03:01 |
| META | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | neutral | down | -5.25% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 03:01 |
| NVDA | rule-based-analysis | bullish | up | 24.05% | ✓ | 2026-05-15 03:01 |
| VIX | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | neutral | down | -29.46% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 03:01 |
| OIL | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bullish | up | 16.11% | ✓ | 2026-05-15 03:01 |
| DOW | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bearish | up | 5.58% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 03:01 |
| NASDAQ | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bearish | up | 17.25% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 03:01 |
| DOW | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bullish | up | 5.58% | ✓ | 2026-05-15 03:01 |
| NASDAQ | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | neutral | up | 17.25% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 03:01 |