Backtest History
Transparent record of AI sentiment predictions evaluated against actual market movements.
Total Evaluated
4785
Correct
1479
Win Rate
30.9%
30-Day Daily Win Rate
| Day | Total | Correct | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | 219 | 64 | 29.2% |
| 2026-08-29 | 478 | 101 | 21.1% |
| 2026-08-30 | 404 | 59 | 14.6% |
| 2026-08-31 | 279 | 45 | 16.1% |
By Provider (All-Time)
| Provider | Total | Correct | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|
| groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | 2385 | 927 | 38.87% |
| rule-based-analysis | 2396 | 552 | 23.04% |
| groq-llama-3.3-70b-versatile | 3 | 0 | 0.00% |
| huggingface-ProsusAI/finbert | 1 | 0 | 0.00% |
Recent Correct Predictions
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MSFT ✓ bullishrule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 17:00
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MANA ✓ bullishrule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 16:00
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META ✓ bullishrule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 16:00
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XRP ✓ bearishrule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 15:03
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MSFT ✓ bullishrule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 15:03
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SOL ✓ bullishrule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 14:00
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META ✓ bullishrule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 13:00
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PLATINUM ✓ bullishrule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 13:00
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ADA ✓ bearishrule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 13:00
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META ✓ bullishrule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 13:00
Recent Incorrect Predictions
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LINK ✗ bullishrule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 17:00
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XRP ✗ bullishrule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 17:00
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ETH ✗ bearishrule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 17:00
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BTC ✗ neutralrule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 17:00
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DOW ✗ bullishrule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 17:00
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XRP ✗ bullishrule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 17:00
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BTC ✗ neutralrule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 17:00
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LTC ✗ neutralrule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 17:00
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BTC ✗ neutralrule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 17:00
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BTC ✗ neutralrule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 16:00
All Evaluated Predictions
| Symbol | Provider | Predicted | Movement | Change % | Result | Evaluated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OIL | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bullish | up | 16.60% | ✓ | 2026-05-15 08:00 |
| META | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bullish | down | -5.25% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 08:00 |
| AMD | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bullish | up | 120.05% | ✓ | 2026-05-15 08:00 |
| DOW | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bearish | up | 5.58% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 08:00 |
| OIL | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bullish | up | 16.60% | ✓ | 2026-05-15 08:00 |
| ETH | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bearish | up | 10.31% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 08:00 |
| ETH | rule-based-analysis | neutral | down | -6.97% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 08:00 |
| OIL | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bullish | up | 16.60% | ✓ | 2026-05-15 08:00 |
| BTC | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | neutral | up | 14.95% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 08:00 |
| BTC | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bearish | up | 14.95% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 08:00 |
| NASDAQ | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bullish | up | 17.25% | ✓ | 2026-05-15 08:00 |
| DOW | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bullish | up | 5.58% | ✓ | 2026-05-15 08:00 |
| AMD | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bullish | up | 120.05% | ✓ | 2026-05-15 08:00 |
| META | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bullish | down | -5.25% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 08:00 |
| OIL | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bullish | up | 16.60% | ✓ | 2026-05-15 08:00 |
| META | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bullish | down | -5.25% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 08:00 |
| AMD | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bullish | up | 120.05% | ✓ | 2026-05-15 08:00 |
| OIL | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bearish | up | 16.60% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 08:00 |
| BTC | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bullish | up | 14.95% | ✓ | 2026-05-15 08:00 |
| BTC | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bearish | up | 14.95% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 08:00 |
| DOW | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bullish | up | 5.58% | ✓ | 2026-05-15 08:00 |
| NASDAQ | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bullish | up | 17.25% | ✓ | 2026-05-15 08:00 |
| META | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bullish | down | -5.25% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 08:00 |
| ETH | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bullish | up | 10.31% | ✓ | 2026-05-15 08:00 |
| OIL | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | bearish | up | 16.60% | ✗ | 2026-05-15 08:00 |