Backtest History

Transparent record of AI sentiment predictions evaluated against actual market movements.

Total Evaluated
4767
Correct
1476
Win Rate
31.0%
Reset

30-Day Daily Win Rate

Day Total Correct Win Rate
2026-08-28 219 64 29.2%
2026-08-29 478 101 21.1%
2026-08-30 404 59 14.6%
2026-08-31 261 42 16.1%

By Provider (All-Time)

Provider Total Correct Accuracy
groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant 2385 927 38.87%
rule-based-analysis 2378 549 23.09%
groq-llama-3.3-70b-versatile 3 0 0.00%
huggingface-ProsusAI/finbert 1 0 0.00%

Recent Correct Predictions

  • XRP ✓ bearish
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 15:03
  • MSFT ✓ bullish
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 15:03
  • SOL ✓ bullish
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 14:00
  • META ✓ bullish
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 13:00
  • PLATINUM ✓ bullish
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 13:00
  • ADA ✓ bearish
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 13:00
  • META ✓ bullish
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 13:00
  • META ✓ bullish
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 12:02
  • SILVER ✓ bullish
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 12:02
  • ETH ✓ bullish
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 12:02

Recent Incorrect Predictions

  • DOW ✗ bullish
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 15:03
  • OIL ✗ neutral
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 15:03
  • BTC ✗ neutral
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 15:03
  • BTC ✗ neutral
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 15:03
  • OIL ✗ neutral
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 15:03
  • NASDAQ ✗ bullish
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 15:03
  • DOW ✗ bullish
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 15:03
  • DOW ✗ bullish
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 15:03
  • BTC ✗ neutral
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 15:03
  • XRP ✗ bullish
    rule-based-analysis - 24h - 2026-08-31 15:03

All Evaluated Predictions

Symbol Provider Predicted Movement Change % Result Evaluated
NASDAQ groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bullish up 17.25% ✓ 2026-05-15 08:00
DOW groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bullish up 5.58% ✓ 2026-05-15 08:00
OIL groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant neutral up 16.60% ✗ 2026-05-15 08:00
OIL groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bearish up 16.60% ✗ 2026-05-15 08:00
BTC groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant neutral up 14.95% ✗ 2026-05-15 08:00
NASDAQ groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bullish up 17.25% ✓ 2026-05-15 08:00
DOW groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bullish up 5.58% ✓ 2026-05-15 08:00
NASDAQ groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant neutral up 17.25% ✗ 2026-05-15 08:00
DOW groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant neutral up 5.58% ✗ 2026-05-15 08:00
META groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bearish down -5.25% ✓ 2026-05-15 08:00
AMD groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bearish up 120.05% ✗ 2026-05-15 08:00
BTC groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bullish up 14.95% ✓ 2026-05-15 08:00
META groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bullish down -5.25% ✗ 2026-05-15 08:00
NASDAQ groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bullish up 17.25% ✓ 2026-05-15 08:00
DOW groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bullish up 5.58% ✓ 2026-05-15 08:00
BTC rule-based-analysis neutral up 2.59% ✗ 2026-05-15 08:00
DOW groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bullish up 5.58% ✓ 2026-05-15 08:00
ETH groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bearish up 10.31% ✗ 2026-05-15 08:00
DOW groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bullish up 5.58% ✓ 2026-05-15 08:00
NASDAQ groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bullish up 17.25% ✓ 2026-05-15 08:00
OIL groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bearish up 16.60% ✗ 2026-05-15 08:00
OIL groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bullish up 16.60% ✓ 2026-05-15 08:00
META groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bullish down -5.25% ✗ 2026-05-15 08:00
AMD groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bullish up 120.05% ✓ 2026-05-15 08:00
BTC groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant bearish up 14.95% ✗ 2026-05-15 08:00