Snowflake Stock Nearly Doubled On A Product Its Own Forecast Could Not See
The company's guidance method excluded a product it had only just launched, and management said so two months before the β¦
24.12 USD
USD per share
The 78% drawdown from peak valuation suggests significant de-rating in the consumer discretionary sector, while the reported margin improvement provides a potential fundamental counterpoint to the price action, creating a mixed signal for valuation reassessment.
2 open calls across the models tracking this asset.
1 of 168 calls on this asset have reached a verdict (1%).
2 of 2 open model calls on KE record no directional lean. Average recorded confidence is 30%. Most were logged against a 24h window.
A description of what the tracked models have logged. Not a recommendation, and not personalised to any reader.
Scored incorrect
Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_legacy_evaluations
Excluded: reference price integrity check failed: no stored price within Β±72h of 2026-08-28 13:46:52.804778+00:00 for KE (stock) to verify the reference price 24.85000000 against
Excluded: reference price integrity check failed: no stored price within Β±72h of 2026-08-28 11:41:20.172729+00:00 for KE (stock) to verify the reference price 24.85000000 against
Excluded: reference price integrity check failed: no stored price within Β±72h of 2026-08-27 11:25:08.876341+00:00 for KE (stock) to verify the reference price 24.85000000 against
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Every call logged on KE, traced from the source that triggered it to the outcome it was scored against.
rule-based-analysisv1.0rule-based-analysis #296917rule-based-analysisv1.0rule-based-analysis #294740rule-based-analysisv1.0rule-based-analysis #292365rule-based-analysisv1.0rule-based-analysis #292156rule-based-analysisv1.0rule-based-analysis #289706rule-based-analysisv1.0rule-based-analysis #289218rule-based-analysisv1.0rule-based-analysis #289211rule-based-analysisv1.0rule-based-analysis #289182168 calls logged on KE, newest first. Nothing is filtered out.
| Logged | Provider | Direction | Confidence | Reference price | Evaluated price | Lifecycle | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2026 13:57 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 24.85 | 24.21 | Verified | Incorrect -2.58% |
| Sep 1, 2026 06:04 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 24.85 | 23.90 | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_legacy_evaluations -3.82% |
| Aug 28, 2026 16:46 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 24.85 | 23.90 | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: reference price integrity check failed: no stored price within Β±72h of 2026-08-28 13:46:52.804778+00:00 for KE (stock) to verify the reference price 24.85000000 against -3.82% |
| Aug 28, 2026 14:41 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 24.85 | 23.90 | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: reference price integrity check failed: no stored price within Β±72h of 2026-08-28 11:41:20.172729+00:00 for KE (stock) to verify the reference price 24.85000000 against -3.82% |
| Aug 27, 2026 14:25 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 24.85 | 23.90 | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: reference price integrity check failed: no stored price within Β±72h of 2026-08-27 11:25:08.876341+00:00 for KE (stock) to verify the reference price 24.85000000 against -3.82% |
| Aug 27, 2026 09:41 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 24.85 | 23.90 | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: reference price integrity check failed: no stored price within Β±72h of 2026-08-27 06:41:43.138990+00:00 for KE (stock) to verify the reference price 24.85000000 against -3.82% |
| Aug 27, 2026 09:36 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 24.85 | 23.90 | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: reference price integrity check failed: no stored price within Β±72h of 2026-08-27 06:36:05.575765+00:00 for KE (stock) to verify the reference price 24.85000000 against -3.82% |
| Aug 27, 2026 09:26 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 24.85 | 23.90 | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: reference price integrity check failed: no stored price within Β±72h of 2026-08-27 06:26:01.255892+00:00 for KE (stock) to verify the reference price 24.85000000 against -3.82% |
| Aug 27, 2026 02:30 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 24.85 | 23.90 | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: reference price integrity check failed: no stored price within Β±72h of 2026-08-26 23:30:36.888775+00:00 for KE (stock) to verify the reference price 24.85000000 against -3.82% |
| Aug 26, 2026 18:24 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 24.85 | β | Awaiting evaluation | Pending |
| Aug 26, 2026 18:16 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 24.85 | β | Awaiting evaluation | Pending |
| Aug 26, 2026 16:21 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 24.85 | β | Excluded from scoring | Expired: no stored price within Β±6h of maturity (2026-08-27 13:21 UTC) for KE |
| Aug 26, 2026 10:38 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 24.85 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Aug 26, 2026 09:25 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 24.85 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Aug 26, 2026 03:41 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 24.85 | β | Excluded from scoring | No price movement recorded for KE in the 2 days after its timeframe closed; the symbol appears to have no active price feed |
| Aug 25, 2026 18:19 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 24.85 | β | Excluded from scoring | No price movement recorded for KE in the 2 days after its timeframe closed; the symbol appears to have no active price feed |
| Aug 25, 2026 09:09 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 24.85 | β | Excluded from scoring | No price movement recorded for KE in the 2 days after its timeframe closed; the symbol appears to have no active price feed |
| Aug 25, 2026 04:52 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 24.85 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Aug 24, 2026 16:33 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 24.85 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Aug 24, 2026 13:37 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 24.85 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Aug 24, 2026 08:09 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 24.85 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Aug 24, 2026 01:20 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 24.85 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Aug 22, 2026 18:48 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 24.85 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Aug 20, 2026 00:27 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 24.85 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Aug 19, 2026 01:09 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 24.85 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Aug 18, 2026 10:37 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 24.85 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Aug 17, 2026 23:12 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 24.85 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Aug 16, 2026 16:31 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 24.85 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Aug 15, 2026 20:22 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 24.85 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Aug 11, 2026 07:12 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 24.85 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Aug 11, 2026 03:11 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 24.85 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Aug 8, 2026 10:07 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 24.85 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Aug 8, 2026 09:15 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 24.85 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Aug 3, 2026 12:13 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 24.85 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Aug 2, 2026 06:39 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 24.85 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Aug 1, 2026 01:25 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 24.85 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Jul 31, 2026 14:03 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 24.85 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Jul 30, 2026 20:07 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 24.85 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Jul 30, 2026 14:30 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 24.85 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Jul 29, 2026 15:20 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 24.85 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Jul 25, 2026 13:32 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 24.85 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Jul 24, 2026 16:20 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 24.85 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Jul 24, 2026 16:14 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 24.85 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Jul 24, 2026 16:11 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 24.85 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Jul 19, 2026 20:52 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 24.85 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Jul 16, 2026 18:48 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 24.85 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Jul 16, 2026 18:41 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 24.85 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Jul 15, 2026 09:26 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 24.85 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Jul 15, 2026 03:04 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 24.85 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
| Jul 14, 2026 20:46 | Rule-Based Analysis | Neutral | 30% | 24.85 | β | Excluded from scoring | Excluded: no stored price within tolerance of this prediction's maturity, checked by rescore_expired_predictions |
0 correct of 1 verified predictions
Multi-Provider AI Analysis