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Key Levels
Support
67.50 USD
Resistance
74.60 USD
Volume & Momentum
Volume
Weak
0.8x avg
Momentum
0.00%
Weak
Related events
Stories on this asset that a model actually logged a call against.
Model agreement
1 open call across the models tracking this asset.
Rule-Based Analysis Bearish
Verification state
3 of 4 calls on this asset have reached a verdict
(75%).
Generated
4
Awaiting evaluation
1
Verified
3
Excluded
0
How these are scored →
▼
Bearish
1 of 1 open model calls on ES lean lower. Average recorded confidence is 60%. Most were logged against a 6h window.
Agreement
1 of 1 open calls
Horizon
6h
Invalidating condition
A sustained move above 74.60 USD — the observed resistance level — would remove the basis for this reading.
Rule-Based Analysis
not AI
Bearish
60% conf.
Sep 4 23:52 · 6h
Generated
→
6h
→
Verified
Rule-Based Analysis
not AI
Neutral
30% conf.
Sep 2 21:25 · 24h
Generated
→
6h
→
24h
→
Verified
Scored incorrect
Rule-Based Analysis
not AI
Bearish
30% conf.
Sep 1 13:56 · 24h
Generated
→
6h
→
24h
→
Verified
Scored incorrect
Mistral Small Latest
Neutral
60% conf.
Sep 1 13:27 · 24h
Generated
→
6h
→
24h
→
Verified
Scored correct
Timezone
America/New_York
Provider track record
Not enough scored provider calls yet for this asset.
Confidence trend
45%
No prior-week baseline yet
Avg confidence across 4 calls in the last 7 days
What sources say
Bearish
1 article
Acuerdo de Trump en Venezuela inquieta a ejecutivos petroleros de EE.UU.
Neutral
1 article
SB Energy files for US IPO with $439B contracted backlog
Insider
Role
Date
Type
Value
Conner Penelope M
EVP-Cust Exp …
Aug 25 '26
Sale
107250.0
Conner Penelope M
EVP-Cust Exp …
Aug 24 '26
Sale
106650.0
Conner Penelope M
Officer
Aug 25 '26
Proposed Sale
107250.0
Conner Penelope M
Officer
Aug 24 '26
Proposed Sale
106650.0
BUTLER GREGORY B
Executive VP …
Jun 04 '26
Sale
489160.0
BUTLER GREGORY B
Officer
Jun 04 '26
Proposed Sale
484821.0
Mudge W Robert
Trustee
May 08 '26
Buy
49864.0
Conner Penelope M
EVP-Cust Exp …
Mar 04 '26
Sale
105000.0
Conner Penelope M
Officer
Mar 04 '26
Proposed Sale
105000.0
CLEVELAND COTTON M
Trustee
Feb 24 '26
Sale
193239.0
Source: FinViz — Data may be delayed
Refreshing technical observations from FinViz...
Every call logged on ES, traced from the source that triggered it to the outcome it was scored against.
Rule-Based Analysis
Awaiting evaluation
Sep 4, 2026 23:52
Direction Bearish
Confidence 60%
Reference price 71.04
Verification window 6h
Outcome
Not yet due
Evidence
Claim
Acuerdo de Trump en Venezuela inquieta a ejecutivos petroleros de EE.UU.
Affected assets
DE, EL, ES, SU
AI inference
Bearish · 60%
Generated
2026-09-04 20:52
AI inference
Bearish · 60%
Reference price
71.04
Verification window
6h
Actual outcome
Awaiting evaluation
Provenance
Provider Rule-Based Analysis
Model version
Not recorded for this call
Methodology version
Scored before versions were recorded
Record
free-analysis-rule-based-analysis #299413
Rule-Based Analysis
Verified
Sep 2, 2026 21:25
Direction Neutral
Confidence 30%
Reference price 70.50
Verification window 24h
Outcome
Incorrect
+1.22%
Evidence
Source
Technical analysis pipeline
Claim
Neutral reading on ES
Affected assets
ES
AI inference
Neutral · 30%
Reference price
70.5
Verification window
24h
Actual outcome
Incorrect · +1.22%
Provenance
Provider Rule-Based Analysis
Model version
rule-based-analysis
Methodology version
v1.0
Record
rule-based-analysis #297556
Rule-Based Analysis
Verified
Sep 1, 2026 13:56
Direction Bearish
Confidence 30%
Reference price 70.14
Verification window 24h
Outcome
Incorrect
+0.51%
Evidence
Source
Technical analysis pipeline
Claim
Bearish reading on ES
Affected assets
ES
AI inference
Bearish · 30%
Reference price
70.14
Verification window
24h
Actual outcome
Incorrect · +0.51%
Provenance
Provider Rule-Based Analysis
Model version
rule-based-analysis
Methodology version
v1.0
Record
rule-based-analysis #295353
Mistral Small Latest
Verified
Sep 1, 2026 13:27
Direction Neutral
Confidence 60%
Reference price 70.14
Verification window 24h
Outcome
Correct
+0.51%
Evidence
Claim
SB Energy files for US IPO with $439B contracted backlog
Affected assets
NEE, DUK, ES, AES, AMZN, MSFT
AI inference
Neutral · 60%
Generated
2026-09-01 10:27
AI inference
Neutral · 60%
Reference price
70.14
Verification window
24h
Actual outcome
Correct · +0.51%
Provenance
Provider Mistral Small Latest
Model version
mistral-small-latest
Methodology version
v1.0
Record
mistral-small-latest #295372
4 calls logged on ES, newest first. Nothing is filtered out.
Logged model predictions for ES
Logged
Provider
Direction
Confidence
Reference price
Evaluated price
Lifecycle
Outcome
Sep 4, 2026 23:52
Rule-Based Analysis
Bearish 60%
71.04
—
Awaiting evaluation
Pending
Sep 2, 2026 21:25
Rule-Based Analysis
Neutral 30%
70.50
71.36
Verified
Incorrect
+1.22%
Sep 1, 2026 13:56
Rule-Based Analysis
Bearish 30%
70.14
70.50
Verified
Incorrect
+0.51%
Sep 1, 2026 13:27
Mistral Small Latest
Neutral 60%
70.14
70.50
Verified
Correct
+0.51%
33.3%
1 correct of 3 verified predictions
Timeframe
Total
Correct
Accuracy
24h 3
1
33.3%
Not ranked
✗
Neutral
Rule-Based Analysis
30% conf. · 24h
Sep 3, 2026 22:02
· Move: 1.22%
✓
Neutral
Mistral Small Latest
60% conf. · 24h
Sep 3, 2026 17:36
· Move: 0.51%
✗
Bearish
Rule-Based Analysis
30% conf. · 24h
Sep 3, 2026 17:36
· Move: 0.51%
