How is AI prediction accuracy measured?

Every AI sentiment prediction is logged server-side when made, then automatically evaluated against real price movements after the predicted timeframe expires. Results are scored and published transparently.

Which AI provider is most accurate for market predictions?

Accuracy varies by market condition and asset class. Our leaderboard tracks real-time performance across all providers so you can see which performs best — currently updated with over 8,000 verified predictions.

Live Tracking

AI Prediction Accuracy

Real-time AI accountability — every prediction tracked, verified, and scored against live markets.

We log every AI prediction, wait for the market to move, then check if the AI was right. No cherry-picking — everything is automated and transparent.

What This Page Shows

AI Makes a Prediction

Our AI analyzes a stock or crypto and predicts: "price will go up" or "price will go down"

We Wait & Check

After 6 hours, 24 hours, or 7 days, we check what actually happened to the price

Score & Rank

Each AI provider gets a score. Higher accuracy = the AI was right more often

Methodology — how we evaluate AI outcomes Methodology v1.0

Each AI sentiment outcome is logged at the time of generation with: provider, symbol, sentiment (bullish/bearish/neutral), confidence, timeframe (6 h / 24 h / 7 d), and entry price.
After the timeframe elapses, we fetch the actual market price.
Bullish is correct if price rose more than 1%. Bearish if price fell more than 1%. Neutral if price stayed within ±1%.
If price data is unavailable, the outcome is excluded — never counted as correct or incorrect.
All outcomes are immutable; historical data is never deleted or edited.

Read the long-form methodology →

Evaluated Predictions

Overall Accuracy

AI Providers

Pending Evaluation

Being checked against real prices

Recent Predictions

Latest AI sentiment outcomes with live status tracking

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Provider Rankings

Ranked by accuracy across all evaluated predictions — updated automatically

Highly Accurate 75%+

Accurate 65–74%

Moderate 55–64%

Low <55%

News-based AI = sentiment from large language models. Technical heuristic = rule-based price/fear-greed signals. Separated so each is scored on its own merits.

No provider data yet — 0 evaluations so far. Check back after the next prediction cycle.

Accuracy by confidence

High confidence (80–100%)

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Not enough data for this filter yet.

Medium confidence (50–79%)

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Not enough data for this filter yet.

Low confidence (0–49%)

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Not enough data for this filter yet.

Accuracy Trend

Provider Breakdown

Accuracy by confidence level, sentiment type, and asset class

Provider Breakdown Coming Soon

More data accumulating — currently 0 evaluations. Detailed breakdowns appear automatically once enough predictions are scored.

How It Works

Four automated steps — no human intervention

AI Predicts

AI analyzes a stock or crypto and says: bullish, bearish, or neutral

Price Logged

We save the current price at the exact moment the prediction is made

Time Passes

We wait 6 hours, 24 hours, or 7 days for the market to move

Scored

We check the new price — did it go up or down like the AI predicted?

Early-Stage Data & Scoring

Scores become more reliable with more predictions. A prediction is correct if the price moved in the direction the AI said it would (at least 1% move required).

Prediction Logging

Every AI sentiment prediction is automatically recorded server-side with the current market price, confidence level, provider identity, and timestamp. No manual intervention, no cherry-picking.

Outcome Evaluation

After the timeframe expires (6h, 24h, or 7d), a scheduled job fetches the real market price and calculates the actual percentage change. If price data is unavailable, the prediction is excluded — never counted as correct or incorrect.

Correctness Rules

Strict, deterministic rules: Bullish is correct only if price rose >1%. Bearish is correct only if price fell <-1%. Neutral is correct only if price stayed within ±1%. No grey zones.

Full Transparency

Historical predictions are never deleted. Pending predictions do not affect accuracy scores. All calculations are timestamp-based and fully auditable. Providers need a minimum number of predictions before appearing on the leaderboard.

Not Financial Advice

This leaderboard measures AI prediction consistency, not investment quality. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research before making financial decisions.