AI Prediction Accuracy
Real-time AI accountability — every prediction tracked, verified, and scored against live markets.
We log every AI prediction, wait for the market to move, then check if the AI was right. No cherry-picking — everything is automated and transparent.
What This Page Shows
Our AI analyzes a stock or crypto and predicts: "price will go up" or "price will go down"
After 6 hours, 24 hours, or 7 days, we check what actually happened to the price
Each AI provider gets a score. Higher accuracy = the AI was right more often
Last evaluation: Outcomes are scored continuously as their timeframe (6 h / 24 h / 7 d) closes.
Methodology — how we evaluate AI outcomes Methodology v1.0
- Each AI sentiment outcome is logged at the time of generation with: provider, symbol, sentiment (bullish/bearish/neutral), confidence, timeframe (6 h / 24 h / 7 d), and entry price.
- After the timeframe elapses, we fetch the actual market price.
- Bullish is correct if price rose more than 1%. Bearish if price fell more than 1%. Neutral if price stayed within ±1%.
- If price data is unavailable, the outcome is excluded — never counted as correct or incorrect.
- All outcomes are immutable; historical data is never deleted or edited.
Recent Predictions
Latest AI sentiment outcomes with live status tracking
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Provider Rankings
Ranked by accuracy across all evaluated predictions — updated automatically
News-based AI = sentiment from large language models. Technical heuristic = rule-based price/fear-greed signals. Separated so each is scored on its own merits.
| # | Provider | Correct | Incorrect | Total | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant | 927 | 1458 | 2385 | 38.9% |
| 2 | huggingface-ProsusAI/finbert | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.0% |
Accuracy by confidence
Accuracy Trend
Provider Breakdown
Accuracy by confidence level, sentiment type, and asset class
groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant
38.9%927/2385 predictions correct
huggingface-ProsusAI/finbert
0.0%0/1 predictions correct
How It Works
Four automated steps — no human intervention
Early-Stage Data & Scoring
Scores become more reliable with more predictions. A prediction is correct if the price moved in the direction the AI said it would (at least 1% move required).