Here’s how high tariff rates would have to rise to bring manufacturing back to its glory days. Even Trump would be shocked.

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Affected assets and topics

TARIFF

Why it matters

Economists at UBS suggest that tariffs would need to be significantly high, at 42.5%, to bring manufacturing back to its former state, a rate that even President Trump might find surprising.

Article tone

Neutral How the article is written, as reported by the source.

Expected market reaction

Bearish Confidence 80% How confidence is read Impact: Moderate

Market impact analysis based on bearish sentiment with 80% confidence.

Evidence trail

Evidence
Source MarketWatch
Claim Here’s how high tariff rates would have to rise to bring manufacturing back to its glory days. Even Trump would be shocked.
AI inference Bearish · 80%
Generated 2025-11-10 13:18

AI provenance

Analysed by Llama 3.1 8B Instant (Groq) Methodology v1.0 Generated
Technical identifiers
Provider tag
groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant
Analysis version
groq-llama-3.1-8b-instant
Article id
8721

Original source

Economists at UBS pointed to analysis done by the center-right American Enterprise Institute, which calculated that tariffs would have to be set at 42.5% to level out manufacturing imports and exports.

Read the full article on MarketWatch

Original article published by MarketWatch on November 10, 2025. Analysis and insights provided by AnalystMarkets AI.

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