The Worst Year to Retire Wasn’t 1929. The Creator of the 4% Retirement Rule Says It Was 1968.

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According to William Bengen, creator of the 4% retirement rule, 1968 was the worst year to retire due to a prolonged bear market lasting until the early 1980s. This historical insight has implications for retirement planning and portfolio management. The finding highlights the importance of considering market conditions when planning for retirement.

تأثير السوق

The article's focus on the 1968 retirement scenario may lead to increased caution among investors approaching retirement, potentially resulting in a shift towards more conservative portfolio allocations. This could have a neutral to slightly bearish impact on equity markets, particularly those with high valuations, as investors prioritize capital preservation over growth.

المشاعر
Neutral
ثقة الذكاء الاصطناعي
50%
الأفق الزمني
طويل الأجل

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Bull markets come and go. Barron’s asked financial researcher and author William Bengen, who conceived the 4% rule for safe portfolio withdrawals, to calculate the worst time to retire over the past century. Retirees in 1968 fared worse when stocks encountered a prolonged bear market that persisted until the early 1980s.

متابعة القراءة
المقال الكامل على Yahoo Finance
قراءة المقال الكامل
المقال الأصلي منشور بواسطة Yahoo Finance في إبريل 19, 2026.
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