Middle East Conflict Threatens to Derail the Region’s Carbon Capture Boom

The escalation of conflict in the Middle East is a stress test for the region’s carbon capture, utilization and storage (CCUS) projects and how bankable they remain when hydrocarbon operations are disrupted. Because most CCUS projects are linked to oil and gas value chains, the regional pipeline is being repriced as higher risk. Our base case of 20 million tonnes per annum (Mtpa) of capture capacity by 2030 now looks unlikely; we expect delays as priorities shift and capital is reallocated, leaving the region tracking closer to our low case…