Traders on prediction markets see a 30% chance Supreme Court backs Trump's tariffs

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Prediction market traders have adjusted their odds of the US Supreme Court backing Trump's tariffs from 50% to 30% following a recent hearing, indicating a shift in sentiment.

Market Impact

Market impact analysis based on bearish sentiment with 80% confidence.

Sentiment
Bearish
AI Confidence
80%

Article Context

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On Kalshi, contracts tied to whether the court would rule in favor of Trump's tariffs slipped to around 30% from nearly 50% before Wednesday's hearing.

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Original article published by CNBC on November 5, 2025.
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