Energy shock risks pushing EUR/USD toward 1.13 floor, says Morgan Stanley

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Morgan Stanley warns that the ongoing Middle East conflict may lead to heightened energy supply disruptions, potentially pushing the EUR/USD exchange rate towards 1.13, a key support level.

Market Impact

Market impact analysis based on bearish sentiment with 80% confidence.

Sentiment
Bearish
AI Confidence
80%
Time Horizon
Short Term

Article Context

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Investing.com — Currency markets are bracing for a period of heightened volatility as analysts weigh three distinct energy supply scenarios stemming from the ongoing Middle East conflict. A new impact assessment by Morgan Stanley says the U.S. Dollar (USD) and the Euro (EUR) remain tethered to the severity of disruptions in the global oil complex.

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Original article published by Yahoo Finance on March 7, 2026.
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