The Oil Glut That Never Showed Up

Market Intelligence Analysis

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Why This Matters

The article challenges the widely-held expectation of an impending oil glut, citing a lack of physical market signs to support this narrative.

Market Impact

Market impact analysis based on bullish sentiment with 85% confidence.

Sentiment
Bullish
AI Confidence
85%
Time Horizon
Short Term

Article Context

Note: This is a brief excerpt for context. Click below to read the full article on the original source.

Every cycle produces its own comforting myth, for 2026, that is the “inevitable oil glut.” The reasoning behind that is mainly that crude oil producers are pumping more, Iran is still exporting despite sanctions pressure, and the market expects OPEC+ to edge toward output hikes. The current story in the market still is that surplus is building and prices must eventually fall. When, however, looking at the physical market, the latter is bluntly refusing the script. There are no real signs, at least for a longer period, that the tanks…

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Original article published by OilPrice.com on February 27, 2026.
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