Fitch: Protracted Strait of Hormuz Closure 'Unlikely'

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Fitch Ratings believes a potential closure of the Strait of Hormuz would have a significant impact on oil markets, but considers a protracted closure unlikely.

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Market impact analysis based on neutral sentiment with 80% confidence.

Sentiment
Neutral
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80%
Time Horizon
Short Term

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Fitch Ratings EMEA Natural Resources and Commodities Head Angelina Valavina discusses how a potential closure of the Strait of Hormuz could impact the oil trade and prices. She warns that if the Strait of Hormuz is closed, it would have a "significant" impact on markets and risk premium would go up "quite substantially," but it is "highly unlikely" a potential closure of the strait would be protracted. Valavina speaks on Bloomberg Television. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Original article published by Bloomberg on February 23, 2026.
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