Wood Mackenzie Says Big Oil’s Strategy Has Snapped Back to Upstream

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Big Oil companies are refocusing on upstream portfolio renewal to ensure they have enough high-quality barrels to avoid production decline in the 2030s, according to WoodMac's analysis of Q4 data.

Market Impact

Market impact analysis based on bullish sentiment with 80% confidence.

Sentiment
Bullish
AI Confidence
80%
Time Horizon
Short Term

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If there was any lingering doubt about what’s keeping Big Oil executives up at night, the fourth-quarter results cleared it up. It’s not slogans. It’s not transition optics. It’s whether they have enough high-quality barrels to avoid production decline in the 2030s. The majors are refocusing hard on upstream portfolio renewal for the next decade, according to WoodMac, who analyzed Q4 data. The near-term commodity backdrop isn’t exactly inspiring, and Brent looks soft. Refining margins are decent, petrochemicals less…

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Original article published by OilPrice.com on February 20, 2026.
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