Dollar Drops Before Payrolls on Rate-Cut Bets; Yen Strengthens

Market Intelligence Analysis

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Why This Matters

The US dollar dropped for a fourth day due to rate-cut bets following softer-than-forecast retail sales data, while the yen strengthened after Japan's recent election. Traders are trimming dollar positions ahead of US payrolls data and inflation numbers. This shift is driven by investors pricing in a greater chance of further Fed rate cuts.

Market Impact

Market impact analysis based on bearish sentiment with 90% confidence.

Sentiment
Bearish
AI Confidence
90%
Time Horizon
Short Term

Article Context

Note: This is a brief excerpt for context. Click below to read the full article on the original source.

Bloomberg’s gauge of the US currency fell for a fourth day, with the yen leading major peers higher following Japan’s recent election, after softer-than-forecast retail sales data published Tuesday reinforced the case for more Fed easing. Concern ahead of US payrolls data due Wednesday and inflation numbers on Friday are giving traders further reason to trim dollar positions. “The relative rates story is back in play with soft US economic data encouraging investors to price in greater chance of further Fed rate cuts,” said David Forrester, a strategist at Credit Agricole in Singapore.

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Original article published by Yahoo Finance on February 11, 2026.
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