Venezuela’s Return Won’t Dethrone Latin America’s Oil Leaders

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Argentina, Guyana, and Brazil are expected to lead Latin American oil production growth in 2026, despite potential Venezuelan oil returns, which may impact long-term capital expenditure strategies.

Market Impact

Market impact analysis based on neutral sentiment with 80% confidence.

Sentiment
Neutral
AI Confidence
80%
Time Horizon
Short Term

Article Context

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Argentina, Guyana, and Brazil are poised to lead Latin American oil production growth in 2026, even though the possible return of Venezuelan barrels poses questions for the region’s long-term capital expenditure strategy. While the supermajors continue to flag Venezuela as difficult to underwrite on a long-term basis, traders and players like Trafigura and Hillcorp are increasingly drawn to near-term, structured opportunities in the country, signaling a possible rebalancing of portfolios. Although legal uncertainties persist and institutional…

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Original article published by OilPrice.com on February 6, 2026.
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