Why Oil Reacts Violently at “Random” Levels

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Why This Matters

The article discusses how oil prices can experience sudden and seemingly random fluctuations, but these moves are not actually random and are influenced by various market factors.

Market Impact

Market impact analysis based on neutral sentiment with 80% confidence.

Sentiment
Neutral
AI Confidence
80%
Time Horizon
Short Term

Article Context

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The Illusion of Randomness in Oil Markets Anyone who trades crude oil futures has seen it happen. Price sells off hard into a round number, stalls, and then snaps violently higher. Or oil grinds higher all morning, only to reverse sharply mid-session with no headline, no inventory release, no obvious catalyst. This can be especially confusing for fundamental traders and analysts who try to explain price action solely through data and headlines. To many, these moves appear random. In reality, they aren’t random at all. Many of these moves…

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Original article published by OilPrice.com on January 28, 2026.
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