Kalshi Fed Forecasts Are as Good as Wall Street’s, Study Says

Market Intelligence Analysis

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Why This Matters

A study found that Kalshi's predictions on Federal Reserve policy and economic data are as accurate as those from Wall Street, indicating a potential new player in the market forecasting space.

Market Impact

Market impact analysis based on bullish sentiment with 80% confidence.

Sentiment
Bullish
AI Confidence
80%
Time Horizon
Short Term

Article Context

Note: This is a brief excerpt for context. Click below to read the full article on the original source.

Kalshi, the booming platform that churns out predictions on everything from the Super Bowl to US elections, is showing early promise as an accurate forecaster of Federal Reserve policy and economic data, a new study finds.

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Original article published by Bloomberg on January 28, 2026.
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